Breaking on Drudge... new Rasmussen Iowa poll.

[bronxboy10]

Is Huntsman even competing in Iowa?

Huntsman is supposedly polling around 13% in NH according to some polls. Looks like the media might be ready to pump this guy up right before the caucus/primary.

 

[mwkaufman]

Is Huntsman even competing in Iowa?

There's no way he gets more than the 4,099 voters or 3.44% that Giuliani did in 2008 without some kind of shadow campaign. On this day in 2007, Giuliani was still polling third in Iowa with around 10%.

Going further, there's no chance he has as strong a showing as Ron Paul did in 2008, and that's what he'd need to get any positive attention from it.

 

[braane]

Romney at 23% is interesting, really interesting. That's the highest we have seen him :S.

 

[iamse7en]

This is the best result we have had in a Rasmussen poll by far - I was shocked it was that high...I think they realize that they have under three weeks to adjust their polls to reality, and this is the beginning. Rasmussen has always beent he worst polling and the out-lier (liar?) by far. This is a positive sign.

Precisely!

 

[wgadget]

How much time did Romney spend in Iowa?

 

[trey4sports]

keep in mind this is Rasmussen and were 3 weeks or so out from the election. They are still somewhat trying to mold perception. Just give it time. We are doing very well.

 

[ShaneEnochs]

Thank goodness iowa is a caucus state where soft support sucks.

 

[Spikkle]

keep in mind this is Rasmussen and were 3 weeks or so out from the election. They are still somewhat trying to mold perception. Just give it time. We are doing very well.

And also mold tonight's debate positions. Can't have Newt and Ron center stage now can we? ;-)

 

[mwkaufman]

Romney at 23% is interesting, really interesting. That's the highest we have seen him :S.

How much time did Romney spend in Iowa?

It doesn't really matter how much time, Romney is the leading second choice amongst Gingrich supporters. If Gingrich collapses badly in the final few weeks, Romney could win the state. In the debate tonight, aside from Paul doing well, I'd root for Romney to do the worst, along with Bachmann doing well.

A big win over Bachmann is Paul's best possible result, Gingrich third or worse and Romney fourth or worse would both be seen as deflating heading into New Hampshire and South Carolina.

 

[RonPaul101.com]

Assuming this poll is accurate, this is why I hope the campaign moves back to ads about Ron Paul and moves away from the ads about Gingrich. We're spending advertising dollars to help Romney as much as it helps us, if not more. If Gingrich falls to say 8% by 1/1/2012, Romney will beat us because Newt won't take enough of his votes. I think it works best for us to have a three way race of ~20% each and we win it on ground game.

 

[tremendoustie]

Rinse and repeat: We ARE the anti-romney. Newt has no real chance against Obama, because of his checkered past. Paul and Romney by far do the best against Obama head to head, and we all know Romney's no conservative.

 

[wgadget]

It doesn't really matter how much time, Romney is the leading second choice amongst Gingrich supporters. If Gingrich collapses badly in the final few weeks, Romney could win the state. In the debate tonight, aside from Paul doing well, I'd root for Romney to do the worst, along with Bachmann doing well.

A big win over Bachmann is Paul's best possible result, Gingrich third or worse and Romney fourth or worse would both be seen as deflating heading into New Hampshire and South Carolina.

Reason I ask is that typically Iowans don't approve of candidates who don't like to "visit."

 

[braane]

I just think it's weird that polls hard Romney as low as 12% earlier this week. Not to mention that Iowa is a state that should go for anyone but him.

 

[trey4sports]

I just think it's weird that polls hard Romney as low as 12% earlier this week. Not to mention that Iowa is a state that should go for anyone but him.

yes. There is no way Romney is in the lead IMO. Especially after the 10K bet.

 

[jkob]

This is still a great poll for us despite being in 3rd. With in 5 points of 1st with Gingrich collapsing. I don't believe Romney has had that much of a boost to get to 23% and his support is SOFT. We're right in this thing.

 

[mwkaufman]

I just think it's weird that polls hard Romney as low as 12% earlier this week. Not to mention that Iowa is a state that should go for anyone but him.

It was an Insider Advantage poll which is rated as the worst non-Zogby poller in Nate Silver's rankings. The second worst pollster is American Research Group. Romney is averaging over 19% in the December average of other pollsters.

 

[wgadget]

I bet Rasmussen polls have a lot in common with those Fox polls that showed up yesterday..with a pic of Obama as Romney and with Ron Paul's numbers confused with Gingrich's.

SCREWED UP.