At RCP Harris takes EC lead and now leads in PA

Harris - 276

Trump - 262

https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/no-toss-up/electoral-college

Harris now up 0.1 in PA.

In NV leads by 0.9

In WI leads by 1.2

In MI leads by 0.7

Well the campaign has definitely been playing to his base recently. That's what the likes of Nick Fuentes told him to do. And....he's losing ground. Take from that what you will. He should take the advice of his old pal Bill Clinton. "It's the economy stupid." Even immigration doesn't have to be a divisive issue. That requires everything to be grounded in fact as opposed to hyperbole. No it's not the case that Venezuelan gangs took over an entire appartment building "New Jack City" style, but members of such a gang are on video brandishing their weapons and forcing their way into an appartment.



Even the Democratic mayor had to admit that part of the problem is "Venezuela doesn't cooperate with America on vetting criminals." Of course that gets to the root of the immigration problem. We have a horrible relationsihp with Venezuela because we've spent decades trying to overthrow that government in part because Venezuela has lots of oil. But you're not going to here "Let's have better relations with Venezuela in order to slow down mass migration and be able to vet those who do come to the U.S." from any candidate that's currently running except perhaps a Jill Stein or a Cornell West.
 
Well the campaign has definitely been playing to his base recently. That's what the likes of Nick Fuentes told him to do. And....he's losing ground. Take from that what you will. He should take the advice of his old pal Bill Clinton. "It's the economy stupid." Even immigration doesn't have to be a divisive issue. That requires everything to be grounded in fact as opposed to hyperbole. No it's not the case that Venezuelan gangs took over an entire appartment building "New Jack City" style, but members of such a gang are on video brandishing their weapons and forcing their way into an appartment.



Even the Democratic mayor had to admit that part of the problem is "Venezuela doesn't cooperate with America on vetting criminals." Of course that gets to the root of the immigration problem. We have a horrible relationsihp with Venezuela because we've spent decades trying to overthrow that government in part because Venezuela has lots of oil. But you're not going to here "Let's have better relations with Venezuela in order to slow down mass migration and be able to vet those who do come to the U.S." from any candidate that's currently running except perhaps a Jill Stein or a Cornell West.

The economy and immigration is what likely is going to hurt the Harris Campaign this year.
 
These polls are really bad for Harris, way below 2020 and 2016 numbers. I really don't think pollsters have solved the shy Trump voter problem from prior elections. So expect Trump to outperform the polls again. I think he can win it.
 
These polls are really bad for Harris, way below 2020 and 2016 numbers. I really don't think pollsters have solved the shy Trump voter problem from prior elections. So expect Trump to outperform the polls again. I think he can win it.

Hard to say. This is WAY too plausible for a steal. Many of the same rules are still in place that allow for mass cheating.
  • Early voting (ballot-stuffing) has already started in PA.
  • AZ, FL, GA, MI, NV, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI all allow drop boxes.
  • There have been more than 3 million new naturalized citizens since the last election. As citizens, these people are legally allowed to vote.
  • Some accounts put the number of NEW illegal aliens in the country at 10 Million since the last election, not counting the ones who have been here longer. These people are not allowed to vote, but the controls to prevent that have been eroded.


Unless there is a dramatic shift where her victory is seen as not plausible, I think the Trump side needs to prepare themselves for a President Kamala and more complaining about the process.

If you want to look for optimism, I think the "surprises" are going to continue. Assassination attempts, coups, foreign entanglements, censorship, Fed policy... All ripe for shocks. Who knows what the next month and a half will hold?!
 
Can somebody please explain to me as to why Trump is allowing the Democrats to outplay him and walk all over him every step of the way?
 
Hard to say. This is WAY too plausible for a steal. Many of the same rules are still in place that allow for mass cheating.
  • Early voting (ballot-stuffing) has already started in PA.
  • AZ, FL, GA, MI, NV, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI all allow drop boxes.
  • There have been more than 3 million new naturalized citizens since the last election. As citizens, these people are legally allowed to vote.
  • Some accounts put the number of NEW illegal aliens in the country at 10 Million since the last election, not counting the ones who have been here longer. These people are not allowed to vote, but the controls to prevent that have been eroded.


Unless there is a dramatic shift where her victory is seen as not plausible, I think the Trump side needs to prepare themselves for a President Kamala and more complaining about the process.

If you want to look for optimism, I think the "surprises" are going to continue. Assassination attempts, coups, foreign entanglements, censorship, Fed policy... All ripe for shocks. Who knows what the next month and a half will hold?!

If they thought they could steal it they wouldn't be trying to kill him.
 
He's not, and you know he's not.

He was for sixty years.

How do you know he isn't? How do you know what AG knows? You have an awful lot of faith in your ESP, but considering how many of us have been lied to about what we know or what we're thinking, it's all humorous at this point.

He's not a Democrat because Democrats threw him out of the party the way you think you threw Miss Lindsay out of the GOP?
 
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He was for sixty years.

How do you know he isn't? How do you know what AG knows? You have an awful lot of faith in your ESP, but considering how many of us have been lied to about what we know or what we're thinking, it's all humorous at this point.

He's not a Democrat because Democrats threw him out of the party the way you think you threw Miss Lindsay out of the GOP?

He's not allowing anyone to outplay him or walk all over him, that's what he's not.
What counts as a Demoncrat is constantly shifting left, but he's well outside of the current definition, more like some late 80s Democrats, and definitely to the right of many RINOs.
 
Something something "veto proof" something.

He has footprints all over him. And an army of hypocrites making excuses for that.

A: we are talking about the current campaign which AG pretends to believe Trump is throwing.

B: to have a stronger opponent walk all over you is not the same as allowing it.
 
to have a stronger opponent walk all over you is not the same as allowing it.

Stronger candidate? Stronger candidate?

Are we talking about Biden or Harris?

According to you, those footprints were left on him by people like Bolton, Pelosi and Fauci. And he had the power to fire two of the three at any time, and didn't.
 
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Stronger candidate? Stronger candidate?

Are we talking about Biden or Harris?

According to you, those footprints were left on him by people like Bolton, Pelosi and Fauci. And he had the power to fire two of the three at any time, and didn't.
We are not talking about any candidate in the current race, stop trying to confuse people.
We are talking about the entire deepstate that opposed him while he was in office and severely limited what he could accomplish, you are the one who tried to change the subject to that instead of this election.
He had limited power to fire the people who needed to be fired, both because of unconstitutional civil service laws and because of the political balance of power and the RINOs, and yet he did fire a number of people.
Bolton got absolutely nothing out of him, he gave him a powerless job and proceeded to ignore his ideas and humiliate him.
In this campaign nobody is walking all over him, and he certainly is not allowing it.
 
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