ARG IOWA POLL - Gingrich 27%, Romney 20%, Paul 16% (on DRUDGE)

[KramerDSP]

http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/primary/rep/ia/

 

[bluesc]

BS.

 

[LibertyEsq]

if Gingrich implodes, Romney doesn't stand a chance

 

[european]

the website is down

 

[SchleckBros]

FoxNews just showed this poll and Gingrich had 30% while Paul had 14%. I'm confused.

 

[KingNothing]

That's fine. Gingrich will be the talk of the table in Republican families this Thanksgiving.

Anyone want to take bets on whether he'll be discussed over Christmas dinner at those same tables?

 

[IndianaPolitico]

Not too bad actually. Went up 4 points from their last poll, and we are the highest we have ever been in their survey. Perry has dropped like a rock, and so has Bachmann. Santorum has gone up a bit though.

 

[mwkaufman]

It's important to note that American Research Group has far from a sterling record in the Iowa caucus. In their poll covering the three days before the Democratic caucus, they had Clinton winning by 9 points. Obama won by 7. They definitely missed the entirety of the voting population last time around, and if Paul is attracting new supporters the way Obama did, it's quite plausible that they're missing the entirety of the voting population this time too.

 

[SchleckBros]

FoxNews just showed this poll and Gingrich had 30% while Paul had 14%. I'm confused.

I figured it out. FoxNews purposely included Republicans and not Independents so they can give Gingrich higher poll #s.

 

[Johnnybags]

Awesome news, registered republicans, and we know we win with independents. I say Romney is toast in Iowa and its a Gingrich/Paul race in Iowa. LOL, Mitt is losing his mind. Not bad at all to get 16% of the neocons.

 

[KingNothing]

It's important to note that American Research Group has far from a sterling record in the Iowa caucus. In their poll covering the three days before the Democratic caucus, they had Clinton winning by 9 points. Obama won by 7. They definitely missed the entirety of the voting population last time around, and if Paul is attracting new supporters the way Obama did, it's quite plausible that they're missing the entirety of the voting population this time too.

I bet they more heavily weight the importance of older voters than some other pollsters do.

 

[RecoveringNeoCon]

Down the stretch we go folks! The Iowa debates in December must be used to halt Gingrich. After Gingrich and Paul went at it regarding the Patriot Act, I think now would be a perfect time to continue to expose Gingrich over the duration of the next few weeks.

The National ABC News debate on December 10th, and the Fox News Debate on the 15th will be crucial. Not to mention, the two forums that Mike Huck is hosting in December will be a solid chance to increase the social conservative vote. Its comin' down to it.......




Phone Bank!!

 

[IndianaPolitico]

Gingrich will fall, just like all of the others have. Perry and Bachmann have both dropped by 9 points in one month. From the looks of this poll, Cain is now where he was a month ago. 6%.

 

[Naraku]

This is a great poll that demonstrates the legitimacy of several prior polls. Look at the criteria and see where the "definite" caucus voters go. It isn't as good as the RevPAC poll, but like most other polls it excludes the likely Blue Republican vote (Democrats who will cross over to vote for Paul).

 

[TomtheTinker]

good good..16% is solid

 

[jkob]

It's not that bad of a poll, Ron is clearly surging in Iowa. 16% is a lot better than 10% or whatever a lot of polls had us sitting at before. Gingrich's support is soft and can't be held and Romney can't seem to break 20%. No time to get discouraged. As said, a lot of it has to do with who they're polling.

 

[ctiger2]

When Gingrich implodes... Romney doesn't stand a chance anyway

Fixed

 

[trey4sports]

Awesome news, registered republicans, and we know we win with independents. I say Romney is toast in Iowa and its a Gingrich/Paul race in Iowa. LOL, Mitt is losing his mind. Not bad at all to get 16% of the neocons.

Romney is going to compete in Iowa per latest reports. It will be Romney vs. Paul in Iowa.

 

[KingRobbStark]

I like this number, and most of the old folks who support the media figureheads will probably die before the election anyway.

 

[Echoes]

Gingrich is just the flavor of the month after Cain went down. He WILL fall, there's no chance he wins IOWA. He's got so much shit on him, it aint even funny. We need to focus our energy on the rat romney.