Part of why I was against this originally is because it would be a total 180 from the strategy we've focused on over the past four years of trying to gain influence in the party.
In America's political system, the two big parties have to work to assimilate and placate the smaller factions they want in their tent. The two parties compete for those factions.
The GOP hasn't done that. Neither have the Democrats. But our ideology overlaps much more with the "conservative base" the GOP does court. So when we move in our own direction, the GOP is hurt more than the Democrats, and the GOP is already not in a good position because a lot of Americans are plain fed up with them. So the GOP is the party that really NEEDS to assimilate us to survive.
I don't think the dream of overthrowing the two-party duopoly is realistic. But what I'm thinking now is, the Republican Party has tempted fate, it has practically dared us to turn our backs on them.
If we can achieve credit for costing Romney the election (or at least being one of the major factors in that outcome), it will, politically, force the GOP to usher us back into the party tent, this time with a much louder voice.
ESPECIALLY if we craft our message not as extreme libertarian, but as "believable conservatism." If our chief complaint is basically, "we're libertarians, if the GOP was actually conservative we would coalesce with them since that's a good compromise, but since they aren't even conservative and are instead just as liberal/authoritarian as the Democrats, we part ways."
But the key is, it needs to be painfully obvious that we dealt a major body blow to the GOP come November. The people we're trying to get the attention of are not the GOP's leaders, who would rather lose an election than risk giving voice to our message, but rather the party regulars who at a certain point will start pressuring the establishment leaders when they can't understand how the pros of ostracizing us outweigh the cons of losing such a valuable constituency. That's why the establishment will focus their efforts on making sure our role in the outcome is not widely understood. We have to make sure EVERYBODY knows that the GOP's failure to embrace Ron Paul was an insurmountable handicap to Romney in the general election.
I also question Rand Paul's strategy of trying to reverse the GOP's co-opting of the Tea Party. The "liberty movement" is a brand that we control far more handily than the more amorphous Tea Party. Let the Tea Party do it's thing. We may not be as large a movement as the Tea Party, but if we can remain what we are, we'll be one of the only political movements in modern history to successfully resist being co-opted by insincere sheep herders (politicians).