Elwar
Member
- Joined
- May 14, 2007
- Messages
- 8,226
According to scientific polls, are you excluded from the polls?
A scientific poll would not include you if you don't have a land line, have not voted since you had your current land line phone number, did not vote Republican in the last presidential election (at that same phone number), are 21 or younger.)
Would a "scientific poll" exclude you from their results with this criteria?
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From:
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/articles/pollster-justifies-ron-paul-exclusion-texas-poll.html
I had a conversation with the CEO of a major polling organization...
He replied that he has automated callers to call your homes. The numbers he uses are from voting lists and he agreed to the following shortcomings:
1. He cannot poll those that have never voted before. (Many Ron Paul supporters have never voted before.)
2. He must ignore those that were never eligible to vote before (18-21). (This age group is likely to favor Ron Paul). Historically, 17% of primary voters are between 18-29. But from a polling perspective are probably only polled at a 10% rate.
3. Although they make a conscience effort to restrict the number of voters to each area of the state, they cannot restrict the number of voters to a specific ethnicity. This could lead to inaccurate polling of candidates that appeal to a certain ethnic minority like Barack Obama or Bill Richardson.
4. They cannot poll anyone that has recently switched
A scientific poll would not include you if you don't have a land line, have not voted since you had your current land line phone number, did not vote Republican in the last presidential election (at that same phone number), are 21 or younger.)
Would a "scientific poll" exclude you from their results with this criteria?
----
From:
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/articles/pollster-justifies-ron-paul-exclusion-texas-poll.html
I had a conversation with the CEO of a major polling organization...
He replied that he has automated callers to call your homes. The numbers he uses are from voting lists and he agreed to the following shortcomings:
1. He cannot poll those that have never voted before. (Many Ron Paul supporters have never voted before.)
2. He must ignore those that were never eligible to vote before (18-21). (This age group is likely to favor Ron Paul). Historically, 17% of primary voters are between 18-29. But from a polling perspective are probably only polled at a 10% rate.
3. Although they make a conscience effort to restrict the number of voters to each area of the state, they cannot restrict the number of voters to a specific ethnicity. This could lead to inaccurate polling of candidates that appeal to a certain ethnic minority like Barack Obama or Bill Richardson.
4. They cannot poll anyone that has recently switched
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