2022 midterm election results *** OFFICIAL THREAD ***

Yeah pretty much this.

Assuming there IS a "red wave" the best I can hope for is that some of the very worst from Biden et al gets stymied.


I know you understand this, but for any who may still be on the fence about it:

Elections will not save us. There are no political saviors that are going to come riding over the hill on their gleaming white steeds to pull our fat out of the fire.

If we’re ever to be saved we have to do that ourselves.

We have the power.

We have the necessary numbers.

And yet I look around and can’t help but notice we’re still not free. We’recstill tolerating this bullshit.

History and our posterity will not be kind to us.
 
DeSantis is going to win. He might even win Miami-Dade, which is a big deal. The rest I have no clue what might happen.
 
Yeah pretty much this.

Assuming there IS a "red wave" the best I can hope for is that some of the very worst from Biden et al gets stymied.

My take is that the Democrats and corrupt cronies (including McConnell) pushed through 10 years worth of pork, graft and corruption as fast as they could during the first 2 years of the Biden Admin. They knew the pendulum would swing back hard, and this was their opportunity to loot and pillage as much as they possibly could before losing power.
 
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1. Senate
53R
2. House
240R
3. Governor
+1 R

I don't have high confidence in these numbers, but it is what I've landed on based on the available data. Dems seem even more apocalyptic than 2020 and will cheat.
 
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I think we too often focus on R vs. D. I'm much more interested in the incumbency reelection number.

In 2020, it was 94.7% in the House and 83.9% in the Senate.
In 2018, 91% in the House, 84.4% in the Senate.
In 2016, 96.7% in the House, 93.1% in the Senate.
https://www.opensecrets.org/elections-overview/reelection-rates

After what our government (both parties) have done to us over the last few years, I'd like to see that number under 80% in both chambers, but I find that incredibly unlikely.

To all the Blue vs. Red people, enjoy your horse race. But this is what I'll be watching.
 
I think we too often focus on R vs. D. I'm much more interested in the incumbency reelection number.

In 2020, it was 94.7% in the House and 83.9% in the Senate.
In 2018, 91% in the House, 84.4% in the Senate.
In 2016, 96.7% in the House, 93.1% in the Senate.
https://www.opensecrets.org/elections-overview/reelection-rates

After what our government (both parties) have done to us over the last few years, I'd like to see that number under 80% in both chambers, but I find that incredibly unlikely.

To all the Blue vs. Red people, enjoy your horse race. But this is what I'll be watching.

Yes, I agree, throw the rascals out.

But when you find a good one, keep them, always with the goal of reducing government's power and control.

Would liberty be served throwing Paul, Massie and Lee out and replacing them with a clone of Sanders, Cortez and Hirono?
 
Yes, I agree, throw the rascals out.

But when you find a good one, keep them, always with the goal of reducing government's power and control.

Would liberty be served throwing Paul, Massie and Lee out and replacing them with a clone of Sanders, Cortez and Hirono?

I don't get to vote for them. I have a VERY strong bias against incumbents and it would take a lot to get me to vote for one. That being said, if I had a Massie or Paul on my ballot, I'd overcome that bias. (Lee would merit some consideration, at least)
 
I don't get to vote for them. I have a VERY strong bias against incumbents and it would take a lot to get me to vote for one. That being said, if I had a Massie or Paul on my ballot, I'd overcome that bias. (Lee would merit some consideration, at least)

Lee's opponent Evan McMullin is "former" CIA. The only ad I saw where somebody gave him an endorsement, it was a CIA officer endorsing him.

Fortunately Lee got to air a very nice endorsement ad from Huntsman Jr.

McMullin's biggest attack ad shows a clip of Lee talking about phasing out social security and then McMullin makes it sound like Lee is trying to cut social security and medicare for old people.

McMullin is an evil dude, but he has a well oiled machine behind him.. surprisingly the race might be a little bit close, though I wouldn't be surprised if Lee wins by 5-10 points, more if Republicans really turn out.

The election stealing story in Utah is that you had ballots from an entire dark red county "accidentally" shipped out of state, some made their way back in time but many did not receive their ballots in the mail. This is a very rural area where most people will have to drive a long way to get to the polls.

McMullin ran for President in 2016 as an anti-Trump independent.. he literally just starts his career on the national stage. When he decided he needed to scale back and actually run a campaign in Utah, he realized he was single and un-electable. So instead of setting down and starting a family, he married a widow with like 6 kids. Now suddenly he's a family guy, and boy does he let everyone know.
 
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Lee's opponent Evan McMullin is "former" CIA. The only ad I saw where somebody gave him an endorsement, it was a CIA officer endorsing him.

Fortunately Lee got to air a very nice endorsement ad from Huntsman Jr.

McMullin's biggest attack ad shows a clip of Lee talking about phasing out social security and then McMullin makes it sound like Lee is trying to cut social security and medicare for old people.

McMullin is an evil dude, but he has a well oiled machine behind him.. surprisingly the race might be a little bit close, though I wouldn't be surprised if Lee wins by 5-10 points, more if Republicans really turn out.

The election stealing story in Utah is that you had ballots from an entire dark red county "accidentally" shipped out of state, some made their way back in time but many did not receive their ballots in the mail. This is a very rural area where most people will have to drive a long way to get to the polls.

McMullin ran for President in 2016 as an anti-Trump independent.. he literally just starts his career on the national stage. When he decided he needed to scale back and actually run a campaign in Utah, he realized he was single and un-electable. So instead of setting down and starting a family, he married a widow with like 6 kids. Now suddenly he's a family guy, and boy does he let everyone know.

McMullin is a hardcore neoconservative and MIC shill. Lying comes naturally to him and his ilk.
 
The election stealing story in Utah is that you had ballots from an entire dark red county "accidentally" shipped out of state, some made their way back in time but many did not receive their ballots in the mail. This is a very rural area where most people will have to drive a long way to get to the polls.


Unless you live in utah try to avoid the "urge to do something" at the federal level. Although I'm guessing that urge is minimal now that biden is in the white house.

If utah is corrupting their voting process, let people in utah handle it. Hopefully you can see why.
 
I predict that after the dust settles and everything is said and done, nothing much of substance will actually have changed.

Chris, we agree on so much, but this smacks of normalcy bias to me.

I couldn't agree with you more that the Republicans are feckless and ineffectual; but I do not agree that they are the mora equivalent of the Democrats. That party is openly, proudly promoting the sexualization of preteen and teen kids, of full-term abortion, and of CRT. James Lindsay and Chris Rufo have well-documented that racial identitarianism is a Marxist subcurrent.

There needs to be a stemming of the tide. I'm not voting this election, because I live in a state wherein my vote doesn't particularly count in mid-terms. But to presume that it's all a bunch of the same no matter who wins is not in line with reality. I'd rather see the "do-nothing" party win than the "pedal to the metal" avowed socialist party win.

Give me Massie and Rand every single day of the week, and twice on Sunday; rather than Manchin and Sinema, I guess is what I'm saying. That's a clear and real choice on the ballot today. Tom Woods has given us the justification for voting for the lesser of the two evils. I say, take it.
 
Once all the votes are counted and all of the fixes are in.... The Dems keep the House and add 1 seat in the Senate.
 
Once all the votes are counted and all of the fixes are in.... The Dems keep the House and add 1 seat in the Senate.

I still the GOP taking most of the seats at the House and Senate.


The biggest War Monger lindsey graham will likely win which is unfortunate.
 
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