2016 Iowa Straw Poll Results, Rand in 2nd place with 18%

[LatinsforPaul]

2016 Iowa Straw Poll Results

DES MOINES, Iowa, Jan. 14, 2016 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- The 2016 Online Iowa Straw Poll http://2016IowaStrawPoll.com results are now available. This has been the most inclusive Iowa Straw Poll in history because it has included ALL Iowa voters, both Republicans and Democrats. After the GOP unilaterally canceled the traditional Iowa Straw Poll, America's Term Limits Campaign decided to sponsor an on-line straw poll to give both parties an opportunity to register their votes.

REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES
Trump – 34%
Paul – 18%
Rubio – 9%
Cruz – 8%
Carson – 8%
Christie – 4%
Bush – 3%
Fiorina – 2%
Kasich -1 %
Huckabee – 1%

DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES
Clinton – 40%
Sanders – 39%
O'Malley – 4%

 

[grayfoxjls]

I doubt that that many Trump supporters are going to take the time to caucus. Just my instinct.

 

[thatpeculiarcat]

When was this conducted?

 

[moraha]

This is just another poll the media will ignore since it's an online poll. Looks like anyone can vote on it.

 

[LatinsforPaul]

This is just another poll the media will ignore since it's an online poll. Looks like anyone can vote on it.

From the poll questions...

If you are a registered Iowa voter, please enter the following information.

To improve the accuracy of our results, we kindly ask that you provide the following information.

 

[erowe1]

I doubt that that many Trump supporters are going to take the time to caucus. Just my instinct.

I used to think that. But more and more I don't know. I don't see what they all see in him. It really bothers me. But there's obviously a lot of enthusiasm there.

I know a good number of them are scraping the bottom of society's barrel, and have probably never voted before and may not even be registered or know what a caucus is. But if more than half of his support shows up he'll still be a contender.

 

[moraha]

From the poll questions...

If this is accurate...then I'd be worried about Trump.

 

[limequat]

Finally a realistic poll. Trump won't be this high though.

 

[CaptUSA]

I'd say this is the closest poll to the final caucus results. Although, there will be a lot of shuffling during the caucus itself and I could see the Rubio/Christie/Bush/Kasich/Fiorina supporters coalescing in each caucus location.

 

[rich34]

I would venture to say these results are likely accurate. Look at the other side Clinton and Sanders virtually reflect the actual poll results. I wonder why the democratic polls can pick up Sanders youth support, but on the republican side they cannot pick up Rands? Well I think we know the answer to that...

 

[luctor-et-emergo]

Probably not an accurate poll.

However, on the Democrat side it looks pretty decent.

On the Republican side ? More accurate than most of the others probably.

 

[laurak]

This is just another poll the media will ignore since it's an online poll. Looks like anyone can vote on it.

I agree that anyone outside IA can vote, but still the poll is accurate in itself as they verify ID through phone.

 

[LatinsforPaul]

I agree that anyone outside IA can vote, but still the poll is accurate in itself as they verify ID through phone.

Only the Iowa voters were used in the results.

 

[luctor-et-emergo]

Only the Iowa voters were used in the results.

That makes it just as valid as the landline polls. Not everybody uses the internet either.

 

[laurak]

Only the Iowa voters were used in the results.

True but I was able to give an Iowa address and my cell number and I was able to vote and I'm not from IA. It would have been more accurate if they restrict by geolocation either through IP or some other mechanism..

 

[jkob]

This would be a miracle if it actually happened but there is no way Cruz is finishing with 8% in Iowa

 

[CPUd]

This is the software the Trump campaign is using in Iowa:
http://www.votermapping.com/ground-game-door-to-door-canvassing-with-mobile-devices/


But they don't have a real presence in all the counties. The only place they have anything close to what Rand has is in Des Moines and Scott County. They are not going after swing voters, just registered Republicans. When they get around to GOTV, they will be bringing Republicans who may or may not be identified as Trump supporters. I'm guessing they are going to try to convert them on the way .

 

[derek4ever]

Ron got 27% and a technical win in ames 2012 and ended up getting about 22% in the caucus. So, rand has core support of 15% at least! I'd say it's plausible!

 

[hells_unicorn]

I think there is a very real possibility that this could be the results of the caucus, though I think Cruz may end up a somewhat less distant 3rd and I think Trump will not bring in these kinds of numbers. I do think there is a fairly decent chance that Trump may end up winning the votes, but I don't think he will enjoy a margin that big, and I am still of the opinion that most of his voters are too stupid to understand the process enough to caucus for him and get him the actual delegates. Frankly I don't think Trump cares about the delegates anyway, he's in this to cause trouble, not to win.

 

[mit26chell]

Nothing would make me happier than to see Rand beat Cruz and I think he will. As long as Rand places, or finishes even top 4, I think his campaign will continue and be quite successful in NH.