Huckabee got ~5% national bump in the week after he won the Iowa caucuses last time, even though he had slim chances of winning the nomination. If we win the caucuses, I would expect it to affect Paul similarly, as he may start polling in high teens and low twenties. That should also translate into a high single digits boost in New Hampshire, putting us very close to puncturing Romney's lead. Of course, this all depends on winning on January 3, preferably by a larger margin than polls would suggest.