Maybe advertise for a "Vote for Ron Paul in the NH Primary" event on facebook. If people join the event, you then can remind them the day of to actually go out and vote. This could be replicated for SC, NV, and other primaries/caucuses.
Each share is worth $10 (combined from the buyer and seller). The Ron Paul market has had a lifetime volume of 160,000. This means that a total of $1.6M has been put into that contract. Now obviously that is not the open interest, as people can buy and sell and buy again. But all those...
I agree with da32130: Huntsman is probably rising because people are buying in anticipation that Gingrich will falter and someone else must take the anti-Romney vote. At this point it is either Paul or Huntsman, both trading about the same amount. Here is the history of this market since April...
We need to do a better job of retweeting each others' tweets. That is how twitter picks tweets to show when someone searches for a hashtag like #tcot #ronpaul #teaparty etc. I suggested this many pages back but no one has jumped on board. If we coordinate by adding #rpfs to our tweets we can...
This is the history of the Intrade market. They never had Bachman over 20% and never had Cain over 10%. That is far more accurate than the polls at the time. Perry fell pretty quick once it became obvious he couldn't debate.
None of this means Paul cannot win. It means that people are giving...
I believe in Intrade far more than I do in any poll. Consider this: even at the hight of his popularity, Intrade never gave Cain more than a 10% chance of winning the nomination. The fact that Gingrich has risen so high (almost 4 times as likely as Cain ever got) indicates to me that he should...
Candidate Chance of beating Obama if nominated (found by dividing general election market by nominee market)
Ron Paul 65.91%
Cain 50.00%
Gingrich 47.17%
Rick Perry 45.71%
Mitt Romney 45.20%
Bachmann 26.67%