Recent content by LilGator

4th Quarter Contributions so far: Giuliani: $14.2M McCain: $6.8M Brownback: $0.1M What was Paul's final number, $19M-ish?

Got this email from my uncle I'm in the process of converting (and am actually close), but his only hangup is the war. As you know, those who support the war are hung up on silliness like this, but what can I send his way in Paul's defense? Typical email fwd, I know, but it's the way older...

How is this a welfare check, just because it applies to those below the $75K mark? I'm a married full-time student also working full-time and would qualify for this, yet I still pay a good chunk out of my paycheck for the fed. How is that welfare? It sounds a lot more like refunding the taxes I...

Fred was Pro-Choice, Pro-Gun Laws, was and still is Pro-Amnesty (as long as it isn't "easy") in his 8 years in the senate - so why does everyone all the sudden think he's conservative ?

30%

I'm also in SC, this is not what I predict, but what I'm hoping we'll be lucky enough to pull out of here: 1. McCain 2. Huckabee 3. Romney 4. Thompson 5. Ron Paul 6. Giuliani 7. Hunter Keep in mind that McCain is in third place right now as far as delegate count is concerned, I'd rather him...

I'm sorry, but here in SC, he will be very lucky to pull 5th. 6th is more likely.

23% of the SC voters in the 2000 primary were in Greenville - and it can't be denied that this area is full of fundamentalists, with BJU as its backbone (as far as the Republican support goes). Not taking the opportunity to let 5,000+ in on our message would be the bad idea. That being said...

It was one of those, ok, if we don't let him come we'll have a big fuss made at us, so we'll let him come, but give him a classroom so nobody thinks it's a big deal. Boy were they wrong.

Just got back from this- Bob Jones University's incompetence knows no bounds. They moved the event from a mid-sized amphitorium, to a classroom at the end of a building. :| There were hundreds packing the room and the hallway was flooded. A good chunk of us had to huddle around the windows...

'DelgWon' is the number of delegates we'd take at that percentage, but this is proportional, not winner take all as I don't know which states are/arent'. No actual voting data is included here, this is solely based on voter to donor ratio, and the 2000 primary turnout + 10% as requested.

That is incorrect, the turnout for Republicans in 2000 in Michigan was 1.2M.

Here's about what you're looking for. Sorted by highest predicted % to lowest. 'Delg' is the number of delegates available. 'DelgWon' is the number of delegates we'd take at that percentage, but this is proportional, not winner take all as I don't know which states are/arent'. 'PrdVot' is...

Well, Grandma is a convert and will be voting in AL (48 delegates, and a 9.7% prediction so far based on voter:donor ratio). Uncle is looking into it! Says he will vote, but is being more cautious this time, after deciding on Fred before and being let down.

Hmm, now I'm seeing 573,101 as the total SC 2000 primary turnout ... that would put us at 3.85%...