Brogdon doesn't have a shot. He is polling under 10% in all polling, and TW Shannon has sucked up all of the support from outside conservative groups. Brogdon should be dropping out and waiting for a better opportunity.
You do realize that's a strawman, right? There have been successful campaigns run primarily by outside operatives.
There are obviously situations where out-of-state consultants fail to acknowledge local conditions and so make poor tactical decisions. But there are also states where bringing in...
A few notes.
1) There is a very simple explanation for why Brannon lost: he got majorly outspent. You don't have to perfectly match spending with your opponent, but it has to be enough to get your message out there. We saw the polls start closing when Brannon actually raised some money and got...
Stockman has absolutely no chance.
1. Gravis has a pretty mixed record with its polling.
2. Stockman has been getting hammered on the airwaves. While I was home in Texas the only political ads on the air were the shady Stockman ads- they spent millions on it.
3. Stockman himself has spent...
Another poll came out today with Land leading, from PPP. http://images.politico.com/global/2013/12/09/michiganresults.html
Note: Peters is an incumbent congressman- he is the presumptive Democrat nominee, so you can just remove the other person.
Which is great, but from this perspective then it is not mutually exclusive for liberty folks to root for Tisei from the perspective that he is the next best thing to a liberty candidate.
She won an incredibly low-turnout special election in a three-way race that included a left-leaning independent. It is hardly comparable to a congressional race with presidential turnout and the Warren operation driving out Democrats to vote.
Hey, that's not fair! Don't compare Renaissance Fairs to the LP and give my larping a bad rap.
Anyway, the reason Sarvis gets so much support has nothing to do with Sarvis- as a third party candidate without a big name or a lot of money, the only reason anyone says they support him is because...
That tweet was a short version of Paul's response, but it pulled it out of context. Here is what I got listening from the audience (posted at http://twitter.com/DanielSurman)
I'm going to play devil's advocate here, but at least one member of the CCRP did something that (as an outsider looking in with no local knowledge), seemed designed to poke the establishment in the eye with no clear goal to be achieved...
Cruz has been an amazing Senator for Texas, and I am glad to have voted for him in the primary. You are cherry-picking here. Bates was talking about how Cruz and Paul could split support, not that Cruz was necessarily more libertarian than Paul. Their bases overlap- just see how many folks from...