Writing-in Ron Paul to Win in Iowa, NH, Maine: The Numbers Are There

[RonRules]

OP I love your spirit, and wish you success.

That's the spirit!

As far as getting RP on the ballot, because Ron is a Republican and Romney is already there, I don't think that's possible.

To those that say Write-Ins are unlikely to succeed, history shows otherwise: (From Wiki)

Presidential primaries:

In 1928, Herbert Hoover won the Republican Massachusetts presidential primary on write-ins, polling 100,279.

In 1940, Franklin D. Roosevelt won the Democratic New Jersey presidential primary with 34,278 write-ins.

In 1944, Thomas Dewey won the Republican Pennsylvania presidential primary with 146,706 write-ins. He also won the Oregon Republican presidential primary with 50,001 write-ins.

In 1948, Harold Stassen won the Republican Pennsylvania presidential primary with 81,242 write-ins.

In 1952, Robert Taft won the Republican Nebraska presidential primary with 79,357 write-ins.

Also in 1952, Estes Kefauver won the Democratic Pennsylvania presidential primary with 93,160 write-ins.

Also in 1952, Dwight Eisenhower won the Republican Massachusetts presidential primary with 254,898 write-ins.

In 1956, Dwight Eisenhower won the Republican Massachusetts presidential primary with 51,951 write-ins.

In 1960, Richard Nixon won the Republican Massachusetts presidential primary with 53,164 write-ins.

Also in 1960, John F. Kennedy won the Democratic Pennsylvania presidential primary with 183,073 write-ins, and he won the Democratic Massachusetts presidential primary with 91,607 write-ins.

In 1964, a write-in campaign organized by supporters of former U.S. Senator and vice presidential nominee Henry Cabot Lodge, Jr. won Republican primaries for President in New Hampshire, New Jersey, and Massachusetts, defeating declared candidates Barry Goldwater, Nelson Rockefeller, and Margaret Chase Smith.

In 1968 in the Democratic presidential primary in New Hampshire, incumbent President Lyndon Johnson did not file, but received write-ins totaling 50% of all Democratic votes cast. Senator Eugene McCarthy, who campaigned actively against Johnson’s Vietnam war policies, was on the ballot. He received an impressive 41% of the vote and gained more delegates than the President. Johnson was so stunned that he did not run for reelection.

Consumer advocate Ralph Nader ran a write-in campaign in 1992 during the New Hampshire primary for the presidential nomination of both the Democratic and Republican parties. Declaring himself the "none of the above candidate" and using the Concord Principles as his platform, Nader received 3,054 votes from Democrats and 3,258 votes from Republicans.

Senate

Republican William Knowland was elected in 1946 to the U.S. Senate from California, for a two-month term. The special election for the two-month term featured a November ballot with no names printed on it, and all candidates in that special election were write-in candidates.

Democrat Strom Thurmond was elected in 1954 to the United States Senate in South Carolina as a write-in candidate, after state Democratic leaders had blocked him from receiving the party's nomination.

In 2010 incumbent Alaska Senator Lisa Murkowski lost the Republican primary to Joe Miller. Following her defeat she ran in the general election as a write in candidate. Murkowski had filed, and won, a lawsuit requiring election officials to have the list of names of write in candidates distributed at the polls and subsequently won the election with a wide enough margin over both Miller, and Democratic Party candidate Scott T. McAdams, to make moot the write-in ballots that had been challenged by Miller.


House of Representatives

In 1918, Peter F. Tague was elected to the U.S. House as a write-in independent Democrat, defeating the Democratic nominee, John F. Fitzgerald.

In 1930 Republican Charles F. Curry, Jr. was elected to the House as a write-in from Sacramento, California. His father, Congressman Charles F. Curry Sr., was to appear on the ballot, but due to his untimely death his name was removed and no candidate's name appeared on the ballot.

Plus 8 more ...

State legislatures

Charlotte Burks won as a Democratic write-in candidate for the Tennessee State Senate seat left vacant when the incumbent, her husband Tommy, was assassinated by his opponent, Byron Looper, two weeks before the elections of November 2, 1998. The assassin was the only name on the ballot, so Charlotte ran as a write in candidate.

Carl Hawkinson of Galesburg, Illinois won the Republican primary for State Senator from Illinois's 47th District in 1986 as a write-in candidate. He went on to be elected in the general election and served until 2003. Hawkinson defeated another write-in, David Leitch, in the primary. Incumbent State Senator Prescott Bloom died in a home fire after the filing date for the primary had passed.

Plus 2 more ...


Local government

Julia Allen of Readington, New Jersey won a write-in campaign in the November 2005 elections for the Township Committee, after a candidate accused of corruption had won the primary.

Tom Ammiano, President of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors, entered the race for Mayor of San Francisco, California as a write-in candidate two weeks before the 1999 general election. He received 25% of the vote, coming in second place and forcing incumbent Mayor Willie Brown into a runoff election, which Brown won by margin of 59% to 40%. In 2001, the campaign was immortalized in the award-winning documentary film See How They Run.

Plus 9 more ...

Others

Aaron Schock was elected to the District 150 School Board in Peoria, Illinois in 2001 by a write-in vote, after his petitions were challenged and his name was removed from the ballot. He defeated the incumbent by over 2,000 votes, approximately 6,400 to 4,300 votes. He went on to serve in the Illinois House of Representatives, and was elected to the United States House of Representatives in 2008.

John Adams became an Orange County, California judge in November 2002 after running along with 10 other write-in candidates in the primaries on March 5, 2002 against incumbent Judge Ronald Kline

Plus 2 more

Other countries

With a few exceptions, the practice of recognizing write-in candidates is typically viewed internationally as an American tradition.

One of the most famous examples was the 1826 County Clare By-Elections in Ireland. Daniel O'Connell had won by way of a write-in due to the illegality of an Irish Catholic running as a political candidate at that time.

Plus 3 more.

There are so many successful cases of Write In elections that I had to cut the length of the post and remove some.

We CAN do this. Ron Paul is a popular guy and most people are unhappy with the two current choices. Help Iowa do this.

 

[RockEnds]

As far as getting RP on the ballot, because Ron is a Republican and Romney is already there, I don't think that's possible.

It's not possible because the ballot is already printed. There's no changing who will or will not appear on the Iowa ballot at this date.

 

[ssjevot]

This topic is the summation of the cult-like behavior Ron Paul supporters get accused of. You're voting for someone who legally cannot win in states that do not have demographics to allow him to win and who isn't even actively running, and the scary part is you think he can win.

Let's say you believe in the vote flipping conspiracy theory and you believe Paul won a large number of votes in these states and the support is secretly there and is disguised by all the mainstream news media because their polls are evil NWO Lizardpeople polls that report false numbers.

Let's pretend all of that is true. Why then... why would they let Ron Paul win on the official election ballot? Why would all the vote flipping NWO Lizardpeople let Ron win on the official ballot?

This topic is demonstrating some really scary North Korea level of personality cult-like behavior.

 

[helmuth_hubener]

As far as getting RP on the ballot, because Ron is a Republican and Romney is already there, I don't think that's possible.

It's not possible because the ballot is already printed. There's no changing who will or will not appear on the Iowa ballot at this date.

OK, fair enough. Best of luck! I just thought one of the existing minor political parties might be able to put Ron on their ballot line.

I'm all for writing in Ron Paul, by the way. It's what I'll certainly do, if I vote this November, which I may. Just don't get discouraged or disenchanted if a realistic outcome (e.g.: Ron Paul not winning Iowa) happens to occur. Keep fighting for liberty!

 

[RonRules]

Here's how Lisa Murkowski did it:

http://www.campaignsandelections.com/print/303362/lessons-from-lisa.thtml

"“We really had to go the write-in route because there was no other way,” says Kevin Sweeney, Murkowski’s write-in campaign manager. “Given the choice, I would have much rather had [her] name on the ballot.”

When Murkowski declared her write-in bid six weeks before the general election date, she announced her campaign slogan: “Let’s make history.” Indeed, no one had run a successful write-in campaign for Senate since 1956, the year the late Sen. Strom Thurmond won as a Democrat in South Carolina."

Organization and Voter Education

"If you’re waging a write-in bid, volunteers and political organizers better head into the field more prepared and educated than in a traditional race. They can employ traditional campaign methods, such as knocking on doors or distributing yard signs, but every organizer also needs to know the basic instructions of the state’s write-in ballot. For example, Murkowski’s volunteers distributed literature and paraphernalia with the words “Fill it in; Write it in.” It was a reminder that in Alaska, voters must not only write in her name, but also fill in the corresponding bubble with a writing utensil to ensure their ballot is counted correctly.

In any race, it helps if the candidate is an established officeholder or is already well known."

"The bottom line, say strategists of both Murkowski’s 2010 effort and past write-in campaigns, is that while there is a path to success, you need some prerequisites. A lack of high name ID and a built-in base of fundraising support and organization are more likely than not disqualifiers.

More importantly, the lasting impact of Murkowski’s 2010 victory may be that more established candidates will now see the write-in route as a viable option if they do get edged out in a party primary. If a candidate does opt for the write-in route, Murkowski’s playbook is a pretty good start."

She, being and "establishment" candidate may have had help from vote flipping. I have yet to check that election.

 

[Wesley]

This thread is kind of ridiculous....

The numbers are there?

I'm assuming your plan involves voting for Ron Paul without any active campaigning from him.

How could that possibly work?


The only way I think Ron Paul has the chance to win a state is if he actively campaigned as an independent

taking every scrap of elector he can get,

and to really get the largest slice of the pie possible... include so called faithless electors (who don't show their hand early like some have recently). Which were similarly planned by many as covert delegates in the primary.


(BTW, does anybody have any idea how many "stealth" candidates, or otherwise bound Paul supporters there were at the convention??)


Now if Ron really did run as an independent it would cause quite a splash.
Obviously a running mate would have to be chosen in order to be a legitmate candidate in most states.

That choice could potentially get people talking. Of course the media would be screaming spoiler at the top of their lungs and when Ron achieves vote totals as high as 5 to 10 percent in some states ( I imagine feasibly), one party is going to be angry and blame him for their loss. Hard to say how all that would play out really, but it seems to be the more exposure the liberty movement gets, the better. Are the electoral numbers there for an actual victory through write-in at this point?
It sounds like you're just trying to win one state like an island, and there's no possiblity of a write-in win.

I don't have delusions of grandeur and think he's going to mysteriously win at this point, I just think that if he made a real effort as campaigning as an independent a single state victory could be possible. And it would also give a voice to all the people who truly feel NOBP and refuse to vote for anyone else.
If Ron Paul agreed to run as a write-in candidate then many more people would be able to vote for him instead of settling for an alternative like Gary Johnson who they don't even really like. Hell, I voted for Obama last time because I thought his foreign policy and civil liberties would be better than the other guy. Boy was I wrong.

As I said earlier, if he runs independent, the media will bash him for it but it might get people's attention.
Garner a lot of votes from the 'screw both parties' people.

Ron Paul hasn't endorsed Romney so why should he care if he loses?

Does Ron Paul have a loyalty to the Republican party based mainly through Rand?

It looks like Ron isn't going to run in order to avoid problems with us continuing to work within the Republic party (if you can even call it that).

 

[Keith and stuff]

You can actually get some media from this. Have Ron Paul visit Dixville, New Hampshire on the day before the election and give a speech. Dixville is known as the 1st place to vote in Presidential elections. It only has 12 people and it does vote unusually from time to time.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dixville,_New_Hampshire

It was organized for voting purposes in 1960, and the village of Dixville Notch is commonly known as the first place to cast votes in U.S. elections.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dixville_Notch,_New_Hampshire#Midnight_voting_tradition

Dixville Notch is best known in connection with its longstanding middle-of-the-night vote in the U.S. presidential election, including during the New Hampshire primary (the first primary election in the U.S. presidential nomination process). In a tradition that started in the 1960 election, all the eligible voters in Dixville Notch gather at midnight in the ballroom of The Balsams. The voters cast their ballots and the polls officially are closed one minute later. The results of the Dixville Notch vote in both the New Hampshire primary and the general election are traditionally broadcast around the country immediately afterwards.

Press accounts occasionally state, without qualification, that Dixville Notch "votes first". The village's authentic electoral distinctions include the following:
Longest continuous record of midnight voting
Highest count of midnight presidential primaries (13 as of 2008, vs. 5 to 9 for Hart's Location)
At least one of the first handful of lawful votes (nationwide) in each presidential campaign's binding primaries
Often first to report its returns

In the presidential election of November 2, 2004, the village had 26 registered voters, roughly half of whom were registered Republican; the other half were registered "undeclared", i.e., unaffiliated with a party. New Hampshire law, though, allows a voter to declare or change a party affiliation upon arriving at the polling place, so a number of independent voters vote in the Democratic party primary.

The votes are counted immediately after all are received; the Dixville Notch results of the primary (and now the Hart's Location ones as well) often lead morning news programs on election day. During every election year since 1968, the candidate with the plurality of Dixville Notch's voters has been the eventual Republican nominee for president. On the Democratic side, however, the village's election results have less often predicted the nominee. In 2000, for example, Bill Bradley won the most votes among Dixville Notch's Democratic primary voters although Al Gore was the party's eventual nominee.

In 1992, the Libertarian Party unsuccessfully attempted to capitalize upon Andre Marrou's unexpectedly strong showing in Dixville Notch in the general election. In 2004, Democratic candidate Wesley Clark was the only contender to personally visit Dixville Notch; he was on hand when the votes were cast and counted, and he received the majority of Democratic votes cast. (Clark placed third and received only 13 percent of votes statewide.)

The community's voting tradition received a nod in the 2002 third season episode of US television program The West Wing, in an episode entitled "Hartsfield's Landing", named after a town clearly modeled on either Dixville Notch, or its companion, Hart's Location.

In 2008, Senator Barack Obama became the first Democrat to win the community's vote in a presidential election since 1968, by a margin of 15 to 6.[3]