Why do you think Ron Paul can win?

[itsnobody]

After Iowa, I had given up all hope on Ron Paul ever winning, I looked at the polls for Iowa and they were exactly right in predicting Ron Paul as 5th, everything I had thought was all wrong, I predicted AT LEAST 3rd in Iowa, and I thought the polls were inaccurate, but everything about the polls were accurate

The voter turn out for Republicans in NH is around 200,000, so Ron Paul needs around 70,000 votes to win in NH...

So what makes you all think that Ron Paul really can win or even has the slightest, smallest, most infinitesmal chance of even coming close to coming close to even being able to possibly come close to possibly ever coming close to being able to possibly come close to winning the nomination?

 

[losinglife]

if you were REALLy banking on a 3rd for RP you were dreaming. 4th is what he shoulda got and technically did.

He is doing just fine. Giving up hope now is like saying the ship is sinking when there is a crack on the top deck.

 

[itsnobody]

if you were REALLy banking on a 3rd for RP you were dreaming. 4th is what he shoulda got and technically did.

He is doing just fine. Giving up hope now is like saying the ship is sinking when there is a crack on the top deck.

So what do you predict for NH? Seems like you ALREADY know Ron Paul won't win the nomination....

 

[losinglife]

most likely a 3rd spot. I wont be suprised if he clinches 1st tho, just like i wouldnt have been suprised if he got 1st in Iowa. The support is there, its just the turnout that needs to follow thru.

EDIT: i should point out i totally think he will get the nomination. Iowa was no higher than 3rd tho and that was at best. Its just the way the state is. Wich is my point in telling you not to ever give up till the last state has cast its votes.

 

[SeanEdwards]

Welcome to ignore.

 

[itsnobody]

Come on someone answer the question please, why do you think Ron Paul can ACTUALLY win in something called "REALITY"?

 

[OptionsTrader]

After Iowa, I had given up all hope on Ron Paul ever winning, I looked at the polls for Iowa and they were exactly right in predicting Ron Paul as 5th, everything I had thought was all wrong, I predicted AT LEAST 3rd in Iowa, and I thought the polls were inaccurate, but everything about the polls were accurate

The voter turn out for Republicans in NH is around 200,000, so Ron Paul needs around 70,000 votes to win in NH...

So what makes you all think that Ron Paul really can win or even has the slightest, smallest, most infinitesmal chance of even coming close to coming close to even being able to possibly come close to possibly ever coming close to being able to possibly come close to winning the nomination?

Reason 1:
http://www.concordmonitor.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080105/FRONTPAGE/801050301

Reason 2:
http://voters.ronpaul2008.com

I've got about 1000 reasons, but those are topical.

 

[losinglife]

are you kidding me? You do understand he is THE only republican candidate that will win the general election right? (not withstanding hillary geting the nom then its up in the air)

 

[electronicmaji]

Vote percentage or numbers are pointless. We seem to have more delegates signed up than any other besides Romney. Most of them are in Vacancy spots but let me translate WHAT this means.

If either Mccain or Thompson drop out before the national convention we could absorb there delegate spots. We have about 10% of delegates now probably maybe a bit less. Say thompson drops out. We could easily get 15% or 20% of delegates or even more. Thats what important.

We had a very strong showing in Iowa. If you look at the entrance polls and the people voting if you thought that ron paul was gonna get more you are saddly mistakened.

Hell he scored highter than the entrance polls mind you.

 

[juddpuds]

The media in the last 30 hours or so has been by far the most favorable for Paul that I have seen. The media is starting to cover him more and more. 10% has made him viable in some pundits eyes. As much as we all hate the MSM here, it was when the coverage of Huck ramped up that he took off. The Moyers interview, discussions on pretty much every news outlet today, etc....it's all good. It has seemed to me that today with 10% he is for the first time not viewed as fringe by the media and by the public at large.

As far as winning, a lot of odd things are going to happen this year. I really think that four or five different Republicans are going to win early states. In a scenario like that, who knows, we have as good a chance as anyone as long as the movement keeps building.

The crazy cast of candidates with no one able to unite the Evangelicals, Neocons, Libertarians, and Corporatists (for lack of a better word) means that there is a very real chance we could go to the convention with no candidate chosen. If that happens all bets are off, and Paul having a lot of support could mean a major voice in choosing the candidate if it isn't him. Incidentally, if that would happen we could end up with someone not even running now (i.e. Gingrich).

Don't give up hope. Even though we all hoped to do better, I think that we did far, far better than casual observers expected, and our momentum will build.

 

[Mark Rushmore]

Ron Paul got third. I consider him tied for third. I refuse to let 3000 people decide whether Ron Paul is or is not a viable presidential candidate.

 

[BucksforPaul]

To answer your question... Ron Paul stands for truth and truth shall be around for eternity standing tall in the face of lies. If you look at history, great leaders have always come in a time of widespread deceipt and in most cases stood against greater odds than what we face presently.

 

[losinglife]

The media in the last 30 hours or so has been by far the most favorable for Paul that I have seen.

damnit... i must have bad luck or something cause every time i try to watch some news about the debates they dont say jack about .

 

[itsnobody]

Well these are all good responses, making me have a little bit more hope now, but I'm not really sure we'll even get 3rd in NH

 

[AceNZ]

1. NH has the highest number of campaign donors per capita of any state in the US
2. HQ and the grassroots are much more organized in NH than they were in Iowa
3. NH has a large number of independent voters. Polls in Iowa showed RP was getting something like 26% of independents there.
4. Press coverage has been better in NH than in Iowa
5. The things that are important to people in NH are more in-line with RP than they were with Iowans (at least as articulated in the press and commercials). Iowa is full of farmers who love their subsidies, for example. The NH state slogan is "Live Free or Die".
6. Iowans pick corn. NH picks Presidents.
7. Dr Paul spent a lot more time in NH than in IA

Finally, Ron Paul's campaign is all about momentum. Although the goal should be to win NH, it wouldn't be the end of the world if we didn't. I think that doing better than in Iowa should be the benchmark. The better we do, the more media coverage we'll get, and the more momentum will develop.

Also, don't forget about Wyoming (today!). RP could end up doing very well there too.

 

[hawkeyenick]

Because it's about delegates, not voting percentage

We have the money to go the distance, and no one else does

Ron has faced a more hostile GOP before and become victorious

 

[european]

Come on someone answer the question please, why do you think Ron Paul can ACTUALLY win in something called "REALITY"?

I believe that Ron Paul can actually win the nomination if we all put in our biggest effort. For Iowa I felt the most important thing was for him to get the double digits. The exact ranking isn't that important then. Having double digits is important because it shows you are a factor. That mission is accomplished.
A R3volution is not something that comes easy. It requires a lot of effort and loads of stamina. This is a road that still goes on for a full year, and exactly 1 month from now there is a HUGELY important event: super duper tuesday. We NEED to make sure we have done ALL we could.

People qoute: "let it not be said we did nothing".

I prefer: "let it be said we did everything we could!"

This is a once in a lifetime opportunity! This is the moment, the 1 month in our lives that we can actually make a difference. This is the time not just to call for action, but make the action happen ourselves. That is the true and only way a R3volution can take place. Go out on the streets, pass on slim jims, buy local advertisementspace, go door to door, donate to help the official campaign to get the $23M that they need,.

Set the goal that you want to reach and work for it! Take responsibility into you own hands! If you do that, others will follow your example, and the movement grows. We got the passion and it reflects. We are honest and that reflects as well. We truely believe in the message and upholding the constitution and rule of law. And this passion drives people to unseen hights, and it will drive Ron Paul to the nomination as well.

So ACT NOW!

and that is why Ron Paul will win

 

[juddpuds]

damnit... i must have bad luck or something cause every time i try to watch some news about the debates they dont say jack about .

Well on PBS, besides the long Paul interview with Moyers on PBS, he was discussed (usually in reference to Fox and the debate) on the NOW show, and on Newshour....I've also heard him and the debate situation discussed on several national radio shows today. This is far more coverage than I can remember him getting in one day, and while they are talking about Huck, and to a lesser degree McCain and Romney, nobody seems interested in talking about Thompson or Giulinani. Paul is a top tier candidate now.

 

[losinglife]

and to a lesser degree McCain and Romney, nobody seems interested in talking about Thompson or Giulinani. Paul is a top tier candidate now.

I really must have bad luck then cause all i saw was Huckster, Romney, guilliani.. course this was MSNBC so who knows

 

[OferNave]

itsnobody was just banned from the ronpaulradio.com chat room for constantly posting shit like "there's no chance, we should all give up" and wouldn't shut up. Guess he found a new outlet...