Who will likely get the Republican, Democratic and 3rd party nominations?

[rg17]

Who do you think will get the 2016 Republican, Democratic, Libertarian, Green, Constitution party nominations and other minor parties?

 

[Warlord]

If Rand Paul is not nominated then you can look forward to 8 years of Clinton

 

[rg17]

If Rand Paul is not nominated then you can look forward to 8 years of Clinton

Wonderful! Thats the last thing we need.

 

[Ronin Truth]

Ask me again, next Summer.

 

[AuH20]

If Rand Paul is not nominated then you can look forward to 8 years of Clinton

Given what's coming, maybe that ain't so bad...

 

[Peace&Freedom]

If Rand Paul is not nominated then you can look forward to 8 years of Clinton

If Clinton is elected, it will be a pyrrhic victory, as the backlash against Democrats in the 2018 mid term elections will dwarf that of the 2010 and 2014 losses. I believe there are 18 Senate Democrats up for reelection that year, and almost no Republicans. The GOP may pickup a 60+ majority at that point.

 

[William Tell]

I assume Gary Johnson will get the LP nomination again. Jill Stine will probably get the Green Party nomination again. Darrell Castle will most likely win the Constitution Party nomination.

 

[69360]

Bush and Clinton. The rest really don't matter, we have a 2 party system like it or not. Clintons will probably retake the white house, all they have to do is nothing to win.

 

[rg17]

What do you think of Chad Koppie?

http://2016.candidate-comparison.org/?compare=Koppie

 

[kahless]

If Clinton is elected, it will be a pyrrhic victory, as the backlash against Democrats in the 2018 mid term elections will dwarf that of the 2010 and 2014 losses. I believe there are 18 Senate Democrats up for reelection that year, and almost no Republicans. The GOP may pickup a 60+ majority at that point.

It probably will not matter if that happens since the Progressive Republicans will fall inline behind Hillary.

Bush and Clinton. The rest really don't matter, we have a 2 party system like it or not. Clintons will probably retake the white house, all they have

to do is nothing to win.

More like one party system.

 

[Sam I am]

Actually, I think that Bernie Sanders just might be able to get the Democratic nomination. He has a more enthusiastic base than Hillary does, and I suspect that a large chunk of the people voting for Hillary in the polls are voting based on name recognition alone.

 

[rg17]

Current Democratic Polls show Clinton with 57% and Sanders with only 11%.

http://2016.election-polls.org/President/Democratic-Primary/

 

[ItsTime]

Clinton, Jeb.

 

[Todd]

Current Democratic Polls show Clinton with 57% and Sanders with only 11%.

http://2016.election-polls.org/President/Democratic-Primary/

Wouldn't it be cool to see Bernie be the one to run 3rd party. I'm doubting that helps Hillary.

 

[rg17]

Wouldn't it be cool to see Bernie be the one to run 3rd party. I'm doubting that helps Hillary.

Sanders could run switch to the Socialist Party USA.

 

[r3volution 3.0]

In the GOP race, you have the "primary within a primary" to see who will become the anti-Jeb (aka "conservative alternative").

The way this is is supposed to work, is that the anti-Jeb is actually a ringer, controlled opposition, who lays down and gives it to Jeb.

Rand puts a wrinkle in the plan (as Ron did before), since he's not an establishment ringer.

So two possibilities:
(1) Rand becomes the anti-Jeb and there's a real contest, which he may or may not win,
or (2) someone else becomes the anti-Jeb, which guarantees that Jeb will be the nominee.

Rand's odds of becoming the anti-Jeb? The real contenders for the slot, I'd say, are Rand, Walker, & Rubio. Let's give them each at equal chance, so Rand's chance is 33%. Then, supposing Rand does become the anti-Jeb, I'd give him a 50% chance against Bush. Doing the math, Rand has a total chance at the nomination of 16.5%. Since Walker and Rubio would each, as anti-Jeb, definitely lose to Bush, they have a 0% chance at the nomination. So, Rand 16.5%, Bush 83.5%.

...that's how I see it at the moment, anyway.

...and, of course, Hillary will be the Dem nominee (and the next POTUS unless Rand gets the nomination).