Which Tactic Will They Use After Iowa?
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CPUd
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All they can really do is keep talking about other candidates.
Probably ignore. They'll talk about Trump/Cruz/Rubio no matter how those three finish. If Rand is 4th it'll be, "as we all know there are only three tickets out of Iowa." If he's third it'll be, "Clearly its a two horse race now..". If he gets to 2nd, though, they'll attack the message and claim his ideas are dangerous and then compare him to Ron.
ALibertarianInNewYork
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Honestly, I think a top 3 finish would be too hard to downplay. So I'm optimistic.
PhineasFinn
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Remember when Ron had decent momentum after NH and then CNN brought up the racist newsletters again? That will happen again alongside the mention of Jack Hunter'so former association with the campaign.
Although I don't think it may get that far because the establishment has doubled down against the liberty movement every election cycle since 2008.
Although I don't think it may get that far because the establishment has doubled down against the liberty movement every election cycle since 2008.
CPUd
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Megyn Kelly tried that with Rand in the interview after the rally. Rand said to her, Bush, Kasich and Christie are in the bottom 5 and LOL if people think they dropping out before NH.
groverblue
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Rand is positioning himself nicely. If it goes to convention, then the first delegates he needs to pick up are Carson's, which will put him well above Cruz, and will put Cruz's delegates in a tough position to overcome. A negotiation with Cruz delegates (which might not even be need, as I seem them gravitating to Rand naturally) will probably put Rand in a tight race with Rubio, who will no doubt pick up the other non-Trump delegates. Since Trump supporters hate the establishment more than anything, I see them going to Rand. Then, it becomes a state-by-state negotiation to get the remaining delegates needed for the nomination, which shouldn't be hard to do.
but I really don't know what I'm talking about, so ignore me.
but I really don't know what I'm talking about, so ignore me.
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You sound pretty good to me. From your mouth to God's ear.Rand is positioning himself nicely. If it goes to convention, then the first delegates he needs to pick up are Carson's, which will put him well above Cruz, and will put Cruz's delegates in a tough position to overcome. A negotiation with Cruz delegates (which might not even be need, as I seem them gravitating to Rand naturally) will probably put Rand in a tight race with Rubio, who will no doubt pick up the other non-Trump delegates. Since Trump supporters hate the establishment more than anything, I see them going to Rand. Then, it becomes a state-by-state negotiation to get the remaining delegates needed for the nomination, which shouldn't be hard to do.
but I really don't know what I'm talking about, so ignore me.
I sure hope Rand is playing the delegate strategy as well or better than Ron did in 2012. I do agree a contested convention is very likely given how many huge egos are involved. Also after you get past the egos you have establishment favorite Jeb Bush involved who I don't see quitting until the convention decides who's rightfully winning the nomination. Regardless what happens tonight I sure hope we see Ron on the campaign more after this because despite his age the man excites young people more so than anyone including the socialist candidate for president!
CPUd
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It's going to go a bit different than Ron 2012. Rand doesn't need to "win" a bunch of states via popular vote, but he will need to consistently hit the 10-20% threshold and get a share to ensure someone else doesn't clinch before the convention.
hells_unicorn
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I'm thinking this will be the approach if Rand were to pull out a victory, but put Rubio in the place of Trump with 20%.
The thing is, I'm not sure if Rand really wouldn't be the most personally popular of the 3, if the 3 is Trump, Cruz and Rand. To the extent that the media profits from Trump and to a lesser extent Cruz, maybe they would still be the ones pumped, but if there is more to it that just that (at all), at some point everyone from the establishment on down is going to need to realize that the most reasonable, pragmatic, intelligent guy in the race just happens to be a libertarian, and either they can get on board and be at peace with that or not.
Theocrat
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Christians in IA Are Smitten With Pagans
I don't know about that. It seems like Iowan "evangelical Christians" favor Trump over Rubio (especially after Jerry Falwell, Jr.'s recent endorsement of Trump).
I don't know about that. It seems like Iowan "evangelical Christians" favor Trump over Rubio (especially after Jerry Falwell, Jr.'s recent endorsement of Trump).
This made me LOL. I don't think Rand has much of a chance of winning (unfortunately), but he has a good shot at 3rd. I don't remember what state it was in 2012, but Ron got 3rd place with like 8.8% and someone else got say 8.1%. They reported them as a tie, and of course put Ron 4th on the listing.
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