Which States do you think that Rand could realistically win?

[mello]

I'd have to go with Kentucky, Colorado, Alaska, & maybe Iowa (the youth vote turnout is the wildcard I'm hoping for.) How many delegates would that be?

 

[CPUd]

See sig

 

[thatpeculiarcat]

ME (even though Paul LePage flaked on the liberty movement), MT, and ND are good bets as well if he wins IA and NH. If he continues to do well NV, NC, WA, VA, WV, UT, are all possibilities.

We can count out all of the south. We're for Bush and Cruz down here. NY, FL, CA rule out as well.

 

[Uriah]

All of them if he wins Iowa.

 

[Theocrat]

First Things First

All of them if he wins Iowa.

I wish that were true, but you know that the mainstream networks would downplay Sen. Paul's victory in Iowa by reminding the public that "an Iowa victory has never led to a Republican nomination." From that, they would probably shift the focus back to their top-tier trinity of Trump-Cruz-Rubio.

I just think Sen. Paul's campaign needs to be ready to deal with that backlash, should he win Iowa. When that happens, the first thing he should do is expose how much the polls are unreliable and unscientific, just to set the record straight for the next primaries.

 

[ALibertarianInNewYork]

by reminding the public that "an Iowa victory has never led to a Republican nomination."

Last time was Bush in 2000, but I wouldn't put it past the MSM to lie about it.

 

[TheNewYorker]

Probably California. It's a liberty loving state

 

[Peace&Freedom]

I wish that were true, but you know that the mainstream networks would downplay Sen. Paul's victory in Iowa by reminding the public that "an Iowa victory has never led to a Republican nomination." From that, they would probably shift the focus back to their top-tier trinity of Trump-Cruz-Rubio.

I just think Sen. Paul's campaign needs to be ready to deal with that backlash, should he win Iowa. When that happens, the first thing he should do is expose how much the polls are unreliable and unscientific, just to set the record straight for the next primaries.

True. A shocker first or second place finish in IA (especially a first) simultaneously establishes Rand as a WINNER (which the media can't deny), and that polling cannot be trusted (which the media can't deny). Two monster talking points, from one win. It will also embarrass Trump-Cruz-Rubio by pushing them down to 2,3, and 4 respectively, while dropping their momentum and numbers in NH, SC and NV.

Rand will need to quickly follow-up with another first or high finish, perhaps in NH or NV, to defeat the MSM narrative he is a one-hit wonder. Once that happens, he can't be written off, thus Rand can credibly fight for the nomination, and perhaps get it.

 

[CPUd]

#1 or even #2 in Iowa almost guarantees a win in NV.

 

[trey4sports]

If Rand wins IA the headline will be "Trump's Strong Second Place Finish Will Propel Him To Nomination!"

 

[presence]

Per google trends he gets the most hits from New Hampshire (aside from KY and DC)

https://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=rand+paul&geo=US

 

[Theocrat]

Primaries Are Easier to Corrupt Than Caucuses

True. A shocker first or second place finish in IA (especially a first) simultaneously establishes Rand as a WINNER (which the media can't deny), and that polling cannot be trusted (which the media can't deny). Two monster talking points, from one win. It will also embarrass Trump-Cruz-Rubio by pushing them down to 2,3, and 4 respectively, while dropping their momentum and numbers in NH, SC and NV.

Rand will need to quickly follow-up with another first or high finish, perhaps in NH or NV, to defeat the MSM narrative he is a one-hit wonder. Once that happens, he can't be written off, thus Rand can credibly fight for the nomination, and perhaps get it.

Yes, but going into the first primary race in NH, it also makes me worry about the integrity of the voting process from the GOP establishment there (to stifle Sen. Paul's momentum). I've mentioned that here.

 

[TomtheTinker]

Virginia?? Have the other candidates taken proper steps there?

 

[Tywysog Cymru]

Probably California. It's a liberty loving state

You have to be joking.

 

[69360]

Sadly at this point in time I would have to say none. That could change, anything is possible, but not likely.

 

[rg17]

Rand could win Kentucky, Colorado, Alaska, Idaho, Montana and North and South Dakota.

 

[adam220891]

Virginia?? Have the other candidates taken proper steps there?

Nearly everyone has gotten on the ballot in Virginia this go around. Ron got 40% but was the only alternative to Romney. Still, people where quiet receptive to my Randwagon when I was vacationing there in May.

If he does well in Iowa and respectable in NH and SC, I can see Nevada, Kentucky, Wyoming, and Alaska being in reach.

A lot hinges on Iowa.

 

[squirl22]

We can count out all of the south.

NC is the south. Ron had following in Western NC, in fact he carried a county or two.

 

[mello]

If Rand wins IA the headline will be "Trump's Strong Second Place Finish Will Propel Him To Nomination!"

Also, the Fox Graphic of Rand's win would look something like this:

Cruz 21%
Trump 18%
Paul 24%

 

[mello]

Didn't Ron nearly win Louisiana, Nevada, & Maine but shenanigans from the Republican Party literally stole those away from him?