HOLLYWOOD
Member
- Joined
- Nov 29, 2007
- Messages
- 22,314
I think you're asking the wrong question. Buffett is not making a prediction in the sense that most people are used to hearing "gurus" predict. Hes simply espousing the point that profitable, healthy American businesses are a good investment, and that the least risk and most return associated with said investment is when prices are beaten down and pessimism/fear abounds. He thinks long term, and in the long term, say, 20+ years, high quality companies will produce outstanding returns, especially if bought at firesale prices. Buffett's real talent is a powerful, intuitive knowledge of business and business value, so he can find those good companies with much more certainty than you or I, thus he is able to take massive, billion dollar positions without even flinching. Thats why he is a multibillionaire... that and his constant cash-flow and resources from insurance float and his other 50+ businesses.
Investing isn't about making predictions, its about consistency, depth of knowledge, patience, and discipline.
Yes, From the mouth of America's #1 Insider Trader and GREED opportunist. Remember the numbers have to always balance out... you spend there, you have to cut there... one side wins and the loses.
Buffet is his own hedge fund... he knew the insider deal with Wachovia and Wells Fargo... Buffet made $20 Billion off the FDIC/FED RESERVE.U.S. Treasury deal.
lot's of other senarios, but most here get the picture, what Warren Buffet and his quests are all about.
I'm trying to figure out who's worst; The 3 Financial Stooges(Blair,Bernake,Paulson), Warren Buffet, Goldman sachs, or JP Morgan.
Duh... I forgot... they're all the same inner CASH circle (ICC)
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