VOTE-Where do we finish in South Carolina

[Duckman]

I think 2nd would definitely seal the deal that it's Paul vs. Romney. I would be estatic with 2nd, and I think it's doable. Paul will HAVE to get equal time next debate. The way other candidates have attacked Romney has majorly backfired, and Ron has benefitted from this backfire. All this on top of 2nd in NH....

 

[Aratus]

mitt romney
dr. ron paul
newt gingrich

win,place,show

 

[pilby]

A bump from NH, plus positive attention from DeMint & Tom Davis... could it put Paul at or near the top...?

 

[dfalken]

A second place finish would basically finish off the rest of the clowns. I think all 4 of them would have to drop out immediately or after Florida max. And then the real fun could begin when it's us against Romney. I am seeing a real path to the nomination at this point but I do think a second in South Carolina is almost necessary. If it takes too long to make it a Paul/Romney race then Romney might get too much of an advantage to be caught.

 

[axlr]

I'm going conservative here and saying 3rd. I think it will be a close 3rd though, and he'll get somewhere around 17% of the vote.

 

[Peace&Freedom]

Paul is in 2nd place, REALISTICALLY. 1) He's been in the 23% zone in the first two actual contests. 2) He is objectively surging, not the media propped up surges of Santorum/Huntsman, and this should lift him into the mid 20's. 3) Today's SC polls show Gingrich and Santorum only at about 20-21%, so a 23%+ finish could beat them out if their support flatlines. 4) The heavy negative ad storm headed Romney's way will drop him back down to 30% or below. My prediction:

Romney: 29%
Paul: 24%
Gingrich: 18%
Santorum: 14%
Perry: 9%
Huntsman/misc: 6%

And 2 or 3 will drop out after SC.

 

[nyrgoal99]

See how it goes

 

[Neomatrix]

Ummm

1st place finish! Winning!

 

[Endthefednow]

Paul will have 0%

 

[cowpunk12]

We ought to win Nevada. I'm concerned about the West to some extent, as the most libertarian leaning states (Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, Nevada, etc.) also have the some of the highest Mormon population, which will certainly generate some automatic identity politics votes for Romney. But Nevada is libertarianish as a state, and it's a caucus. That ought to be a win.