Just for political interest looking at the map and the delegate counts I project he has it in the bag. Newt is done. Santorum can only win in rural midwestern counties. If here is a majority of these counties in the state like that he can win. Mitt has shown solid strenght in the northeast industrial midwest and west and a number of southern states. He has over 50% of the allocated delegate now. If the trend continues he will have the magic number after CA.
Mitt Romney vote projections (pure and varying speculation)
- Thread starter klamath
- Start date
Feeding the Abscess
Member
- Joined
- Jun 9, 2010
- Messages
- 8,340
Don't go too far out on that limb. It might bend a little or something.
James Madison
Member
- Joined
- Feb 11, 2008
- Messages
- 5,121
Doubt it. Most of the southern states have yet to vote. Same goes for the midwest.
Santorum will win the majority of delegates in: Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas, North Carolina, Missouri, Kansas, Nebraska, South Dakota, and Wisconsin.
I'd also wager he places strongly in Kentucky, West Virginia, Indiana, and Illinois.
Romney's best states will be California, Oregon, Utah, New Mexico, and the mid-atlantic.
Texas and Pennsylvania are toss-ups.
Santorum will win the majority of delegates in: Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas, North Carolina, Missouri, Kansas, Nebraska, South Dakota, and Wisconsin.
I'd also wager he places strongly in Kentucky, West Virginia, Indiana, and Illinois.
Romney's best states will be California, Oregon, Utah, New Mexico, and the mid-atlantic.
Texas and Pennsylvania are toss-ups.
Well we will see. I challenge your south projections. It was romney that won FA, 2nd to newt in GA, 2nd to newt in SC 1st in VA.
Romney winning WV. Al and MS are not sure santorum states as he placed third in the adjoining states. NC is more probably Romney. I see Santorum winning KY and maybe IN. IL is a toss up as Romney does well in the cities of the midwest and chicago is pretty large. AR probably Santorum.
Missouri, Kansas, Nebraska, South Dakota, and Wisconsin, yes probably Santorum.
Here in West Virginia, it is Newt/Romney territory. We have a strong Ron Paul base in some of Harrison County and the college campuses of Morgantown (because of WVU students) but other than that Romney will take over. Santorum does do well with last minute Fox News watchers, though.
Ron would have done a lot better had he won some earlier contests. He was fighting the idea that he wasn't viable in ID so the voters pick who they liked the most out of what they thought were the viable candidates.
I was watching CNN, they were showing the Boise precinct and the guy said they kept voting (eliminating the lowest vote getter) until someone got 51% or something like that. That might be why Romney got such a high percentage.
Anyways the South is Romney's kryptonite. If Santorum and Gingrich continue to trade off wins in the south I'm not sure if there will be enough for Romney to win outright.
I really don't know what election you have been following but but it has not been santorum trading off wins in the south. It is romney and newt. Santorum has won only one state TN. Romney has won VA and FL came in second in GA and SC.
1. You'd be hard pressed to find many people that consider Florida part of the South (other than they're geographically in the South of the US, they are completely different demographically from the rest of the South).
2. Santorum and Newt were not on the ballot in Virginia.
Look I'm not the only one that thinks Romney is weak in the South, there's a reason the GOP made those states proportional. Doug Wead has mentioned this several times.
Last edited:
Similar threads
