rp08orbust
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- Joined
- Dec 20, 2007
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- 4,803
Based on my surveying tonight, the race in North Dakota is as follows:
Rick Santorum 35%
Mitt Romney 28%
Ron Paul 25%
Newt Gingrich 12%
In 2008, there were 9,743 votes in the Republican caucus. Let's suppose that turnout more than doubles to 20,000. According to those percentages, Ron Paul is behind by 2,000 votes.
Grassroots for Liberty is currently identifying Ron Paul supporters in North Dakota at a cost of about $0.57 each, and we project that we'll have over 6,000 identified by caucus time tomorrow, as long as donations keep coming in. With about $2,000 raised so far, we need another $2,000 to cover all expenses for North Dakota, including text messages.
33% turnout among those we identify would be high. However, if Rick Santorum under-performs in North Dakota like he did in Washington, or if overall turnout is less than I have assumed, we just might be able to pull off a straw poll win in North Dakota tomorrow.
What Ron Paul supporter in his right mind would not want to be a part of Ron Paul's first statewide victory this year?
Please donate at rp2012.org .
Rick Santorum 35%
Mitt Romney 28%
Ron Paul 25%
Newt Gingrich 12%
In 2008, there were 9,743 votes in the Republican caucus. Let's suppose that turnout more than doubles to 20,000. According to those percentages, Ron Paul is behind by 2,000 votes.
Grassroots for Liberty is currently identifying Ron Paul supporters in North Dakota at a cost of about $0.57 each, and we project that we'll have over 6,000 identified by caucus time tomorrow, as long as donations keep coming in. With about $2,000 raised so far, we need another $2,000 to cover all expenses for North Dakota, including text messages.
33% turnout among those we identify would be high. However, if Rick Santorum under-performs in North Dakota like he did in Washington, or if overall turnout is less than I have assumed, we just might be able to pull off a straw poll win in North Dakota tomorrow.
What Ron Paul supporter in his right mind would not want to be a part of Ron Paul's first statewide victory this year?
Please donate at rp2012.org .
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