Hayekforever
Member
- Joined
- Jul 27, 2011
- Messages
- 16
I was on the message boards at Amazon and I read some pretty good arguments from an Keynesian. He has pretty much debunked Austrians, gold standard and everything in between.
http://www.amazon.com/review/R2IB97...=books&cdThread=Tx4L2J5WTEQW8X#wasThisHelpful
Here is just a little excerpt of his comments
Just wanted to see what you guys think about his arguments. So far no one on the board can make a sensible rebuttal against him
http://www.amazon.com/review/R2IB97...=books&cdThread=Tx4L2J5WTEQW8X#wasThisHelpful
Here is just a little excerpt of his comments
Alex Imas
The basic idea was that giving countries the ability to mint their own currency to pay off debts would create uncontrollable inflation, which in turn would discourage the extension of credit and, by extension, investment. The diagnosis of the problem is at least somewhat sound, but gold is NOT the solution. The argument for the gold standard is that, because gold is a tangible commodity, governments can't print it. Which is true. But if you make gold freely exchangeable for currency (which is the implication of the gold standard), the result is an international tug of war to accumulate gold reserves, which greatly distorts the market. Ahamed's book does a great job explaining that dynamic.
Ultimately, academics on the left and the right roundly rejected gold. Conservatives moved toward Milton Friedman's idea of a constant, predictably expanding supply of monetary base (money), while liberals prefer discretionary monetary policy by an independent central bank to conduct countercyclical monetary policy (expand credit during downturns, restrict it during booms). The two positions, however, aren't really all that far apart (strict monetarism failed when it was tried, and the only real difference between Friedmanites and New Keynesians over what should have been done in response to the recent downturn is one of degree-- Friedman would have prescribed aggressive, unconventional monetary policy from the Fed (QE3 and QE4), while New Keynesians would see large doses of fiscal stimulus (roughly 3-4 times the size of the one that actually passed) to combat the problem.
I think the gold bug argument comes out of irrational fears of inflation-- they see it everywhere, and think that any inflation is the worst thing ever. Where really, too much inflation is disastrous, while a low, steady rate of inflation (2-5% annually) is very much a good thing in a functioning economy (it encourages extension of credit and discourages hoarding of cash). And, as Paul Volcker's work in the early 1980's shows, an independent central bank is capable of making unpopular decisions to fight inflation, even if it means significant short-term suffering. But that's far from the problem now-- core inflation is well below target, and wage growth is actually falling, so fears of inflation are completely wrongheaded right now. But gold bugs tend not to be persuaded by models or evidence. What they do isn't economics-- it's more of a religion.
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Just wanted to see what you guys think about his arguments. So far no one on the board can make a sensible rebuttal against him