Very Cool Google: Ron Paul/Search/News Trendline

JWallace

Member
Joined
Nov 29, 2007
Messages
343
Here's a really great raw news data tool

http://www.google.com/trends?q=Ron+Paul&ctab=0&hl=en&geo=US&geor=all&date=ytd&sort=0

Maybe this can be added as a permeant link here at the forum also good for use with the other candidates & issues as they pop-up in the campaign.

Look at where the searches are coming from, major stories vs. search pattern.
For example,
- RP has high, but even searches across the US. Especially in early primary states
- Mitt not so much, more action coming out of Utah (wonder if they are trying to figure him out)
- Huckabee more searches from ARK...
- FRED Iowa, TN and SC strongest.
- Look at Rudy, no trend for early primary state searches
etc.

Sorry, but this seems like valuable raw data. I'd love to see someone who's got a statistics background run an analysis of these search trends verses actual primary voting verse historical polling. That might be a model for future polling.
 
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Why does the News trend line stop at December? I know he is being blacked-listed.. but it's not THAT bad!
 
What does the search trend have to say about 'mike+huckabee+rapist' after the events today, I wonder? :D
 
With Google trends, you have to be careful. If you use people's full names, you will get smaller results than just their last name, like Clinton, Obama, Huckabee. Clearly you can't do that with Ron Paul, because he has 2 first names.

So when you just use last names, Ron Paul still all the Republicans candidates (Huckabee is much closer if youjust use his last name) , but not Clinton or Obama.
 
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With Google trends, you have to be careful. If you use people's full names, you will get smaller results than just their last name, like Clinton, Obama, Huckabee. Clearly you can't do that with Ron Paul, because he has 2 first names.

So when you just use last names, Ron Paul still all the Republicans candidates (Huckabee is much closer if youjust use his last name) , but not Clinton or Obama.


SEE EXAMPLE HERE: http://www.google.com/trends?q=Giul...&ctab=0&hl=en&geo=US&geor=all&date=mtd&sort=0
 
It will be interesting to see the primary results. Perhaps google trends presents a more scientific measure of who voters are likely to vote for?
 
The trend of searches in Iowa even if you only use last names clearly indicates Ron Paul is the most searched candidate.

If you buy this odd argument that users of the internet are somehow the minority, this would be meaningless. Since 80% of adults (and growing) use the internet, it's quite clear that any internet trends are a very good indication of the general population trends.

I can't believe how people are making out the internet to be some sort of hip new technology that only a few people are using to support Ron Paul.
 
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