Tweet from PPP: New SC numbers due out tonight

KramerDSP said:
And the people voting for Gingrich are doing so "just so they can see the debates between Gingrich and Obama", per CNN. The American people are so easily fooled.
Click to expand...

9-9-9 all over again. "Lincoln Douglas, Lincoln Douglas, Lincoln Douglas, Lincoln Douglas, Lincoln Douglas, Lincoln Douglas, Lincoln Douglas, 24 hours!"
 
How far off were they in New Hampshire? Seems like it was around 7 points off, outside their margin of error! We'll see if they are outside their margin this time too. If they are, this is proof of incompetence or fraud, they can take their pick.
 
Well, the last five polls have had Newt ahead of Mitt. I guess that's a good thing.
 
Gingrich is running away with SC. I think it will be:

Gingrich - 38%
Romney - 25%
Paul - 20% (and winner of the district Spartanburg county is in)
Santorum - 10%
Cain/Colbert - 4%

Then Romney and Gingrich spend millions and millions of dollars in Florida while Ron Paul focuses on the other states. If Romney wins Florida, Gingrich is wounded. If Gingrich wins Florida, Romney is mortally wounded, IMO. I am certain we will be in the final two, but if it does appear to be a three man race all the way to the convention, I fear that the GOP will pull shenanigans and have a President Gingrich/VP Rubio, Sec. of State Romney deal lined up so everything goes through on the first vote.

I agree that Gingrich needs to win in SC. I am hoping Romney wins in Florida, and then Ron Paul wins the majority, if not all, of the caucus states. Super Tuesday would be epic.
 
,,,,,AAAAnd They're destruction is complete.

Yay, MSM.
 
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Like I wrote in another thread, RP took only 3.5% of the vote in 2008. We should consider ourselves lucky to beat Santorum for third. Expecting anything beyond that is just kidding yourself. Even expecting to beat Santorum is stunningly optimistic.
 
dmitchell said:
Like I wrote in another thread, RP took only 3.5% of the vote in 2008. We should consider ourselves lucky to beat Santorum for third. Expecting anything beyond that is just kidding yourself. Even expecting to beat Santorum is stunningly optimistic.
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And we were low to mid single digits in November, too.
 
Usually when we poll in the closing days before an election and find someone ahead by 9 points we'll say with a pretty high degree of confidence that person's going to win. I'm not comfortable saying that about South Carolina. A primary election with a lot of new news in the closing days for voters to absorb is fertile ground for a final result that's at odd with the polls. Mark Blumenthal's piece today for Huffington Post about 'expecting the unexpected' tomorrow is well worth a read. Gingrich will probably win tomorrow- but there's a higher than normal chance for a surprise given everything that's gone down in the last 48 hours.
 
Remember that in New Hampshire they had Ron dropping to 18 and trending downwards with Huntsman surging from 12 to 16 with expectation of passing Ron, and Ron was in second with 23 %.

Not saying that will happen this time, just reminding you that it is what happened last time.

Then they claimed they did great because of Romney's numbers, ignoring how far off they were on Ron.

IN case you want to see that final NH poll again: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/01/romney-holding-steady-in-nh.html
 
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