https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...idates-four-pieces-of-bad-super-tuesday-news/
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Donald Trump can't close the deal. It sounds funny, but he can't. In the deep South, Trump was helped massively by early voting, because he consistently lost late-deciders. In Tennessee, just 21 percent of people who decided to vote "in the last few days" backed Trump, putting him third behind Cruz and Rubio. In Virginia, which Trump nearly lost, just 18 percent of late-deciders chose him. (That was in a heretofore unique situation where many liberal voters, seeing no close contest on their ballot, voted to stop Trump.) In just one of the states he won, Massachusetts, did Trump win late-deciders, and that was in a place that everyone else except Kasich had abandoned. (Trump won late-deciders 32-26 over Kasich.)
In every case, the late movement away from Trump cost him delegates. He missed out on a big delegate lead by falling just below 50 percent in Massachusetts. Rubio's late surge in Virginia muddled the delegate picture. Wednesday, Republican strategists are telling themselves that voters demonstrated how Trump could be brought down.
"This isn't a typical nomination fight, where the front-runner gains momentum from week to week," said Tim Miller, the former Jeb Bush communications director who Tuesday night joined the stop-Trump group Our Principles PAC. "He's losing momentum."
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Donald Trump can't close the deal. It sounds funny, but he can't. In the deep South, Trump was helped massively by early voting, because he consistently lost late-deciders. In Tennessee, just 21 percent of people who decided to vote "in the last few days" backed Trump, putting him third behind Cruz and Rubio. In Virginia, which Trump nearly lost, just 18 percent of late-deciders chose him. (That was in a heretofore unique situation where many liberal voters, seeing no close contest on their ballot, voted to stop Trump.) In just one of the states he won, Massachusetts, did Trump win late-deciders, and that was in a place that everyone else except Kasich had abandoned. (Trump won late-deciders 32-26 over Kasich.)
In every case, the late movement away from Trump cost him delegates. He missed out on a big delegate lead by falling just below 50 percent in Massachusetts. Rubio's late surge in Virginia muddled the delegate picture. Wednesday, Republican strategists are telling themselves that voters demonstrated how Trump could be brought down.
"This isn't a typical nomination fight, where the front-runner gains momentum from week to week," said Tim Miller, the former Jeb Bush communications director who Tuesday night joined the stop-Trump group Our Principles PAC. "He's losing momentum."
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