To Invest Or To Reduce Debt, That's The Question

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To Invest Or To Reduce Debt, That's The Question
by William Artzberger,CFA (Contact Author | Biography)
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Investors face the dilemma of whether to pay down debt with excess cash or to invest that money in an attempt to turn it into even greater amounts of wealth. If you pay off too much debt and reduce your leverage, you may not garner enough assets to retire. Conversely, if you're too aggressive, you may end up losing everything. In order to decide whether to pay down debt or invest, you must consider your best investment options, risk tolerance and cash flow situation. Read on to learn more.

Investment Options
From a numbers perspective, your decision should be based on your after-tax cost of borrowing versus your after-tax return on investing. Suppose, for instance, that you are a wage earner in the 34% tax bracket and have a conventional 30-year mortgage with a 6% interest rate. Because you can deduct mortgage interest from your federal taxes, your true after-tax cost of debt is around 4%.

If you hold a diversified portfolio of investments that includes both equities and fixed income, you may find that your after-tax return on money invested is higher than your after-tax cost of debt. For example, if your mortgage is at a lower interest rate and you are invested in riskier securities, such as small cap value stocks, investing would be the better option. If you're an entrepreneur, you also might invest in your business rather than reducing debt. On the other hand, if you are nearing retirement and your investment profile is more conservative, the reverse may be true. (To learn more about saving for retirement, see Retirement Savings Tips For 25- To 34-Year-Olds and Maxing Out Your RRSP (Canadian).)

Risk Tolerance
When determining risk, consider the following:
Your age
Income
Earning power
Time horizon
Tax situation
Any other criteria that's unique to you
For example, if you're young and able to make back any money you might lose and you have a high disposable income in relation to your lifestyle, you may have a higher risk tolerance and can afford to invest more aggressively versus paying down debt. If you have pressing concerns, such as high healthcare costs, you may also opt not to pay down debt. However, rather than investing excess cash in equities or other higher risk assets, you may choose to keep greater allocations in cash and fixed-income investments. The longer the time horizon you have until you stop working, the greater potential payoff you could enjoy by investing rather than reducing debt, because equities historically return 10% or more pretax over time.

A second component of risk tolerance is your willingness to assume risk. Where you fall on this spectrum will help determine what you should do. If you are an aggressive investor, you will probably want to invest your excess cash rather than pay down debt. If you are fairly risk averse in the sense that you cannot stand the thought of potentially losing money through investing and abhor any kind of debt, you may be better off using excess cash flow to pay down your debts. However, this strategy can backfire. For instance, while most investors think paying down debt is the most conservative option to take, paying down, but not eliminating debt, can actually produce results that are the opposite of what was intended. For example, an investor who aggressively pays down his mortgage, leaving him with a very meager cash reserve may regret his decision should he lose his job and still need to make regular mortgage payments. (To learn more about risk tolerance, see Personalizing Risk Tolerance and Determining Risk And The Risk Pyramid.)

Cash and Debt
Financial advisors suggest that working individuals have at least six months' worth of monthly expenses in cash and a monthly debt-to-income ratio of no more than 25-33% of pretax income. Before you begin investing or reducing debt, you may want to build this cash cushion first, so that you can weather any rough events that occur in your life. Then, pay off any credit card debt you may have accumulated. This debt usually carries an interest rate that is higher than what most investments will earn before taxes. Paying down your debt saves you on the amount that you pay in interest. Therefore, if your debt-to-income ratio is too high, focus on paying down debt before you invest. If you have built a cash cushion and have a reasonable debt-to-income ratio, you can comfortably invest. (For more insight, read What's Your Debt-To-Income Ratio?)

Keep in mind that some debt, such as your mortgage, is not bad. If you have a good credit score, your after-tax return on investments will probably be higher than your after-tax cost of debt on your mortgage. Also, because of the tax advantages to retirement investing, and given the fact that many employers partially match employee contributions to qualified retirement plans, it makes sense to invest versus paying down other types of debt, such as car loans.

If you are self-employed, having cash on hand may make the difference between keeping the doors open and having to go back to work for someone else. For example, suppose that an entrepreneur with a fairly tight cash flow gets an unexpected windfall of $10,000. She has $10,000 in debt. One obligation carries a balance of $3,000 at a 7% rate and the other is $7,000 is at an 8% rate. While she can pay both off, she has decided to pay off only one to conserve cash. The $3,000 note has a $99 monthly payment, while the $7,000 note has a $67 monthly payment. Conventional wisdom would say she should pay off the $7,000 note first because of the higher interest rate. However, in this case, it may make sense to pay off the one that provides the greatest cash flow yield. In other words, paying the $3,000 note off instantly adds nearly $100 a month to her cash flow, or almost 40% cash flow yield ($99.00 x 12/$3,000). The remaining $7,000 can be used for growing the business or as a cushion for business emergencies. (For related reading, see Invest In Spite Of Debt.)

Conclusion
Knowing whether to pay down debt or invest depends not only on your economic environment, but also your financial situation. The trick is to set reasonable financial goals, keep your perspective and evaluate your investment options, risk tolerance and cash flow.

by William Artzberger (Contact Author | Biography)

Bill Artzberger, CFA, is an entrepreneur and investor in Houston, Texas. Before striking out on his own, Bill worked for more than five years at a privately held trust company. He has an MBA from Rice University and undergraduate degrees in marketing and journalism from Southern Methodist University.
 
Invest or reduce debt is actually a fairly easy question. Which will earn or cost you more? Can your investment generate you (after taxes on the returns and your investment costs) a greater rate of return than the intetest rate you are paying on your debt? Today it is hard to find investments with a positive rate of return- let alone a large rate of return. If you have a credit card at 16%- pay that sucker off.

If you are paying even 7% on a debt but only earning 3%, you are better off paying off the debt. Otherwise you are losing four percent. Pay the debt.

You can split it up- put some money into debt payment and some into saving/ investment so you do have some money in case of disaster or unemployment (you should have at least enough money to be able to pay your bills for six months or more should you end up not working) but your priority should be getting rid of the debt. That money should not be in high risk investments either but fairly secure and liquid.
 
Yes but if huge inflation is in the cards....debt will get eaten away. I almost see this as a kind of hedge against inflation, I mean if it has to happen at least get some benefit out of it.

Meanwhile take money and find places where you can protect that from inflation. If high inflation is seriously unavoidable, debt would be almost ok.
 
Invest or reduce debt is actually a fairly easy question. Which will earn or cost you more? Can your investment generate you (after taxes on the returns and your investment costs) a greater rate of return than the intetest rate you are paying on your debt?

Exactly, Only a question if you're not thinking.
 
Here is what Dave Ramsey Suggest:

1. $1,000 to start an Emergency Fund
2. Pay off all debt using the Debt Snowball
3. Three to six months of expenses in savings
4. Invest 15 percent of household income into Roth IRAs and pre-tax retirement
5. College funding for children
6. Pay off home early
7. Build wealth and give!
Invest in mutual funds and real estate

I think most people can easily agree that steps 1-3 should be first for individuals. The real question is whether you should do more of 6 before 5 and 4. If your on a fixed mortgage then you would probably be better off in a defensive portfolio considering we are likely to be in an inflationary cycle with big losses in purchasing power.
 
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