Zippyjuan
Banned
- Joined
- Feb 5, 2008
- Messages
- 49,008
I was going to reply to all the other stuff but if you don't understand this, the rest is useless.
If the ration of A to B remains constant, that ratio is useless as a predictor. Don't you understand that?
Let me try to simplify it even more.
What number would come next in this series: 14, 21, 2, 7, 20, 5?
That is your series shortened by two digits. You said it would be 12 since that is the average of them. But since the numbers look random it could be anything. 12 is no more likely than any other number.
You can use the past to try to predict the future if there is a pattern. (Still doesn't mean the prediction will come true though). The numbers you posted of the gold/ monetary base ratio don't have any sort of pattern at all so the monetary base is not related to the price of gold.
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