There are more "D"'s than "R"s

[robertwerden]

http://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Senate/2010/KY

Look at the total number of voters. This could be bad come November

 

[IPSecure]

All we need is to have a Dr. Paul debate the democrats, and we will win.

Never happened before...

 

[BamaFanNKy]

http://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Senate/2010/KY

Look at the total number of voters. This could be bad come November

Not in Kentucky. Many and I mean many dems are pro-Rand. The state is very GOP just registers democrat because of family tradition.

 

[RonPaulFanInGA]

It's a closed primary, and 56% of Kentucky's registered voters are registered democrats.

 

[tnvoter]

I was thinking that until I remembered this is a primary. The majority of voters stay home during state primaries.

 

[sailingaway]

WAY more voters for Conway than Rand......

Way more Dems than GOP......


Kentuckians, is this usual?

 

[South Park Fan]

It's because the Democratic primary is actually competitive.

 

[lildave2586]

It's a family thing, really. Back in the day there was no republican party in KY. If you wanted to vote in the primary, you had to be a demorcat. Most people haven't changed their registration. This state consistently votes for Republicans, but that doesn't mean we don't have our work cut out for us. Just don't pay any attention to the number of voters in the democratic primary.

My grandmother called me yesterday and asked why she couldn't vote for Rand Paul. I had to explain to her that she was a registered democrat and that we have a closed primary system. There are thousands of little old ladies across the state just like her.

 

[klamath]

People many of the democrats vote rep. McCain won with 57% and I believe bush won with upper 50s as well, both times.

 

[johnnycakes]

I asked my 79 year old grandfather today if he voted for Rand. He said "no" because he was still registered as a Democrat. I was shocked. For as long as I've been cognizant he's been very much a conservative Republican.

 

[amisspelledword]

yeah, Dems in KY are conservative Dems that Obama abandoned. thats why Obama is so unpopular here.

 

[sofia]

WAY more voters for Conway than Rand......

Way more Dems than GOP......


Kentuckians, is this usual?

dont sweat it...


KY is a solid GOP state (Bunning, McConnell)....voter registration means nothing in national elections......


Obama cant even carry Democrats in liberal Massachussetts and New Jersey....aint no way Conway will win in a GOP state in an anti-Obama mode.

 

[eb44345]

Looks like the more liberal candidate (Conway) will win in Kentucky. I don't know for sure if he's the more liberal candidate, but since Kos is rooting for him, he must be. The more conservative candidate (Mongiardo) lost. Much of his support will go to Paul. Also, independents will vote Paul. I bet Obama's approval ratings in KY are in the toilet.

 

[bew2005]

Since Kentucky is a closed primary, you can only vote for your registered party's election in the primary. After the Civil War, Kentucky became part of the straight ticket Democrat South. Not until the 1960's / 1970's did Kentucky start trending Republican. The reason there are still more registered Dems is that most primaries are uncontested on the Republican side and most state / local candidates run as Democrats. If you want your vote to mean anything in the primary, you usually need to be a Democrat here.

This is nothing new.
This is nothing to fear.

Rand will be fine in November.

 

[specsaregood]

I think it is safe to say that Rand will pull in a lot of Dr. Dan's voters.

For one thing, Conway was the only pro-choice candidate. I know that isn't what Dr. Paul wants to make the campaign about, but KY is a pro-life state IIRC.

 

[bew2005]

Rand's key to success here in November: make the election a referendum on Obama. He'll win easy.

 

[Inflation]

Not that it's a big issue in KY, other than in liberal college towns and urban jungles, but the revamped chatter about a progressive-libertarian antiwar alliance could help us win Democrats' votes.

 

[Trigonx]

Conway only got 20k or so more votes than Dr. Paul.

 

[SolusSLX]

http://elect.ky.gov/results/


Primary- 1996
Dem:
BESHEAR BARLOW LANIER, JR.
177,859 64,235 25,856

Rep:
MCCONNELL KLEIN
88,620 11,410


General - 1996
MCCONNELL: 724,794
BESHEAR: 560,012
LACY: 8,595



Primary- 1998
Dem:
BAESLER OWEN HENRY BROWN WILLIAMS THOMPSON
194,125 166,472 156,576 19,975 16,366 14,778

Rep:
BUNNING METCALF
152,493 52,798


General - 1998
REP DEM REF
BUNNING BAESLER ARBEGUST
569,817 563,051 12,546



Primary- 2004
TOTAL VOTES CAST: 218,969 PCT OF REGISTERED VOTERS: 13.9%
PTY CANDIDATE VOTES RCD PCT RANK
D Daniel Mongiardo 142,162 64.9% 1
D David L. Williams 76,807 35.1% 2

TOTAL VOTES CAST: 114,940 PCT OF REGISTERED VOTERS: 12.1%
PTY CANDIDATE VOTES RCD PCT RANK
R Jim Bunning 96,545 84.0% 1
R Barry Metcalf 18,395 16.0% 2


General - 2004
TOTAL VOTES CAST: 1,724,362 PCT OF REGISTERED VOTERS: 61.7%
PTY CANDIDATE VOTES RCD PCT RANK
R Jim Bunning 873,507 50.7% 1
D Daniel Mongiardo 850,855 49.3% 2


Primary - 2010
Dem:
James BUCKMASTER (DEM)
3.95% 20,539
Jack CONWAY (DEM)
43.91% 228,531
Daniel MONGIARDO (DEM)
43.23% 224,989
Darlene F. PRICE (DEM)
5.48% 28,543
Maurice M. SWEENEY (DEM)
3.42% 17,810
520,412

Rep:
C.M. 'Trey' GRAYSON (REP)
35.44% 124,710
Bill JOHNSON (REP)
2.23% 7,855
Gurley L. MARTIN (REP)
0.81% 2,852
Rand PAUL (REP)
58.77% 206,812
Jon J. SCRIBNER (REP)
0.80% 2,813
John STEPHENSON (REP)
1.96% 6,885
351,927

General - 2010
Paul:
Toady: