The smart money says it's a 2 man race now.

[ProBlue33]

I think South Carolina will see more drop outs too.
So far Bauchman was taken out by Iowa.
Then Huntsman is taken out by New Hampshire.
Next would be Perry by South Carolina.
After that either Newt or Rick after Florida maybe both.

 

[ProBlue33]

It's really amazing that so few make it to super tuesday

 

[Duckman]

I think if either Santorum or Newt finishes < 10% in SC or FL they will drop.

 

[seapilot]

RP is 1.2% chance and Mitt is at 1.5%. Mitt has a greater chance of dropping out than RP.

 

[ProBlue33]

So RP is 1.2% chance and Mitt is at 1.5%. Mitt has a greater chance of dropping out than RP.

Everybody knows Ron Paul is in this until convention no matter what

 

[thoughtomator]

RP is 1.2% chance and Mitt is at 1.5%. Mitt has a greater chance of dropping out than RP.

Yeah I noticed that too and I agree with it. That 1.2% chance on Ron is high though, if it were higher I'd be tempted to buy some shorts (can you short an InTrade stock?)

 

[kah13176]

If Perry is so likely to drop out, then why's he concerned about getting on the VA ballot?

 

[economics102]

RP is 1.2% chance and Mitt is at 1.5%. Mitt has a greater chance of dropping out than RP.

Well technically that is logical. RP is not JUST campaigning to win, he's also campaigning to spread the message, he has no logical reason to even consider dropping out.

If RP keeps picking up steam and another candidate, say, Rick Perry or Gingrich starts to pick up steam, at a certain point there will be pressure on Mitt to back the anti-Paul candidate to prevent Paul from taking the nomination. This is a very unlikely scenario but it's easily more likely than RP dropping out before the nomination.

 

[Restore America Now]

If Perry is so likely to drop out, then why's he concerned about getting on the VA ballot?

Because he thinks he will do well in SC.

 

[socal]

Maybe Huntsman had some bills to pay so he purchased lots of Huntsman contracts to drop out by Feb 5th and announced tonight. lol