The Official Dec. 16 Fed Rate-Hike Thread

I'm guessing yes, as long as nothing crashes in the next 40 minutes.


If they do "raise" rates, keep things in perspective. I don't even think .25% will show up on a long term chart. It's just a symbolic move. They need to get to 2 or 3% to claim they raised rates. Even 3% is historically very easy monetary policy.

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My favorite part is the market reaction to any announcement the Fed makes. It always looks like an earthquake on a seismograph.
 
How does an interest rate hike improve anything?

In the short term, it won't, but it will decrease the ability of people and governments to increase the amount of debt. Currently the rates are much lower than what the market would provide. If the Fed was able to guess the market rate for interest, they would do a lot less damage.
 
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/fe...st-rates-for-first-time-since-2006-2015-12-16

Federal Reserve lifts interest rates for first time since 2006

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - The Federal Reserve voted unanimously on Wednesday to raise interest rates by a quarter point, marking the first increase in more than nine years. The bank raised its fed funds rate to a range of 0.25% to 0.5%, ending an unprecedented seven-year run of near-zero interest rates. The vote was 10-0. The board of directors also raised the discount rate to 1% from 0.75%. Looking ahead, the Fed said it will "carefully'monitor" actual inflation in light of 'current shortfall." And given current economic conditions, the bank said interest rates are only likely to increase in a "gradual" manner, ending up at a long-run target of 3.5%. That was unchanged from its September forecast.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/fe...nals-4-interest-rate-hikes-in-2016-2015-12-16

Federal Reserve 'dot plot' still signals 4 interest-rate hikes in 2016


WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - The Federal Reserve's so-called dot plot signaled that the central bank still plans to increase interest rates four times in 2016, bringing its benchmark rate to a median of 1.4%. And the Fed's long-run goal of 3.5% remained the same. Yet the Fed also expects to act a bit less aggressively in 2017 and 2018. The bank sees the median fed funds rate at 2.4% at the end of 2017 vs. a prior forecast of 2.6%. The 2018 target was reduced a touch to 3.3% from 3.4%. Each dot in the dot plot reflects where individual members of the FOMC expect interest rates to end up at the end of the year.

As of about fifteen minutes after the announcement, the DOW is up about 100 points on the day- which will make the third straight day this week with triple digit gains if it holds.
 
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Thanks Obama and all for turning this economy around -you were right all along.

Amazing, you sign a climate agreement and the economy strengthens -they really are intertwined...

:toady:
 
http://money.cnn.com/2015/12/15/news/economy/fed-rate-hike-2-minutes/index.html

The Fed's rate hike...in 2 minutes

1. It's the first rate hike in nearly 10 years: This is the Fed's first rate increase since June 2006. Back then, the economy was hot: Unemployment was at 4.4%, and the housing bubble was about to burst. The Fed tried to cool it down by raising rates.

2. It's a good sign for the economy: The rate increase is a signal that the U.S. central bank is confident about the strength of the economy and its ability to handle higher borrowing costs. It also shows how far the economy has come since the Great Recession ended in 2009, when unemployment hit 10%. Now it's at 5%.

3. Interest rates are coming off zero: The Fed put rates near zero in December 2008 to boost the economy and stimulate the collapsed housing market. Rates haven't budged since then.

4. The Fed wants to raise rates slowly: The Fed increased its target rate from near zero to 0.25%. That's a very small move. The Fed also said it expects to continue to raise rates at a slow, gradual pace next year.

5. Savers will finally make a little money: If you put money in your savings account, you will slowly start to earn interest over the next couple years as rates start climbing higher. Savers haven't earned any interest since 2008.

6. Higher rates are usually bad for stocks: But not always. When the Fed last raised rates between 2004 and 2006, the S&P 500 actually gained 15%. But higher rates increase how much it costs companies to borrow. And that can the economy to slow, which is not what stock markets want. On Wednesday, U.S. stocks went higher after the rate hike was announced.

7. Home buyers, now's the time to pay attention: Mortgage rates won't skyrocket overnight but they are expected to start climbing. A typical rate on a 30-year mortgage is 3.9%. That's very low. In 2006, mortgage rates were above 6%.

8. Higher rates will make the dollar stronger. A strong dollar is a nice perk for U.S. travelers but it's not good for American businesses, such as Apple (AAPL, Tech30) and Nike (NKE), that sell their products abroad. A strong dollar makes American products more expensive -- and less attractive -- to foreign shoppers.

9. The Fed doesn't want to be late. The Fed doesn't want to hurt U.S. trade. Interest rates often take a few months to really have an impact on the economy. If it waited much longer, it runs the risk of an overheated economy.

10. Almost everyone had expected a rate hike: Over 80% of traders expected the Fed to raise rates, according to a CME Group analysis.

I don't expect much impact. The hike has been expected for several months and is already priced into things. That and the fact that the rate increase is so small.

NOT raising them at this time would have impacted things- it would have signaled economic weakness.
 
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Four .25 point increases over the next year...

Lol... I literally just closed escrow on my house and got it at 3.75% for a fixed 30. Timing is everything :cool:
 
Four .25 point increases over the next year...

Lol... I literally just closed escrow on my house and got it at 3.75% for a fixed 30. Timing is everything :cool:

I was able to get 3.25 for a 30 a little earlier this year... I've never had a knack for timing the market, but I lucked out on that one...

3.75 is still very very good...
 
Happy times are here again! Call off the naysayers! The economy is BOOMING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
Four .25 point increases over the next year...

Lol... I literally just closed escrow on my house and got it at 3.75% for a fixed 30. Timing is everything :cool:

The Fed is setting very short term interest rates- the rates banks borrow from the Fed overnight. Changes in short term rates do not necessarily impact long term rates but you did get locked in on a good one. Mortgage rates follow ten year Treasury notes.
 
Banks already announcing higher interest rate charges but no change to interest bearing deposit accounts.
 
I'm just glad we have a bunch of smart fellas like Janet Yellen to figger this stuff out for us.

'Coz, like, you know, otherwise we'd have to let the free market sort things out ... :eek:
 
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