The Official Ames Straw Poll Thread

economics102 said:
Wow, that's a huge jump. I assume that's based on some insider trading from Ames? Or just attendees who feel confident from their on-the-ground sense of things that she's going to win?
Click to expand...

Hard to say, but it's been holding at around 17.5 for a while (most of last hour), so it suggests to me that it doesn't have insiders and/or it's fairly close. If there were insiders on the intrade market and bachmann was the known winner, then they would be stupid not to trade it down to 0%. Plus, volume is thin. It's up in the air, IMHO.

I'm not logged in. It just occurred to me that they might have halted trading when the polls close. Anyone know? They should leave the market open until the outcome is known, but they may have stopped trading.
 
Guys, I've got a c-span and a fox stream. Is the stuff on cspan live? I don't know which stream i should watch to see the actual announcement of the winner.
 
Nah I just still have a bitter taste in my mouth from New Hampshire the last go around. All of us on this board and supporters on the net so believed we were going to either going to win NH or come close and guess what? it wasn't even close. Why? Because we overestimated the number of supporters we were sending up there the weeks before to do get out the vote activities. I personally went up there in subzero degree temperature standing out in the snow handing out fliers going door to door canvassing and doing what I could but my first visit up there I knew we were in trouble.

There was a serious disconnect between what we were all talking about that was happening in NH and what was actuallly happening. This time around if you guys want a serious chance at winning it has to be more than just speculation or arm chair quarter backing at home. The money that was spent wastefully instead of bussing people and having the needed materials up in NH really pissed me off too. Instead we spent tens of thousands and probably more sending in money to the campaign and buying blimps could have been used on something more useful like getting hundreds and thousands of supporters and literally getting boots on the ground in states where we needed it to make a major impact early on in the 2008 campaign.
 
The decision coming in late... so must be Paul win. They are doing everything they can atm to recount, restructure, disqualify, lolol.
 
well how much percent will the other candidates (exc bachmann) get?

29% is pretty good but I'm not sure if that'll win it.
 
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