I missed out because I got greedy wanting 214. I should've stayed in. This is one volatile mother right now.
been swinging on 216-220 for about 2 weeks now. Targeting 250ish on the daily. 25% long, 75% dry powder. Starting to feel like a big momentum shift.
Hoping to hit a trailing stop at 240 and lock in. We'll see. 240 is gonna be tough cause we are at LOOOONNGG term down side trend resist, but again, looks like momentum to break it finally.
Also, notice the H&S I called a while back did make an appearance, just totally not with the metrics I described. It failed. Also nice counter trend rally on the daily, support building solidly in the 210-220 range. Nice long term pivot I nailed that call, what years ago now![]()
On the 1H I see 1 week, not 2.
Anywho, glad to see you are back. I still think we're going to go sideways for a while...if you can call 100-300 swings "sideways".
What I've been hearing/reading is that some bearwhale of sorts got lynched earlier on a short margin call of 31k contracts
http://www.forexnews.com/blog/2015/04/21/bitcoin-spikes-8-in-minutes-on-margin-call/Bitcoin Spikes $8 in Minutes on Margin Call
By Petar Kotevski on Apr 21, 2015 11:59:29 GMT
After several days of uneventful price action, bitcoin spiked close to $8 dollars in 8 minutes today. The surge higher started right at 22:00 CET (16:00 EST) as BTC/USD moved from $222.74 to a high of $230.35. This large 3.4 percent move took just 8 minutes to complete. An extension to the gains followed in the hour with bitcoin rallying to the daily high of $232.85. We are currently quoted at $231.25 on BTC-E. As usual, BTC is trading at a slight premium on other exchanges with OKCoin quoting $234.71 and BitStamp quoting $234.70. The 1 minute chart below shows today’s spike from $222 to $230.
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The reason for the spike is likely a margin call on OKCoin futures platform. The holder of a large short position totaling around 31,000 contracts (approximately $3 million dollars) got margin called at $232.85. On this pic (found on Reddit) we can see the margin call occurring at 4.04 AM China Standard Time. This corresponds to 22:04 Central European Time. As the call started to get executed, prices surged to a high of $237.80 in two minutes on the nearest futures contract expiring April 24th. By 22:05, the entire stash of 31,000 contracts was cleared, an impressive feet for such a large amount.
The spike higher changes little in the grand scheme of things however. Since the move was most likely the result of a large margin call and not caused by an unexpected news event, today’s gains could prove tentative. In addition, no major resistance levels have been broken to warrant a change in our assessment. The key number to watch remains to be $258.52 per coin. A rally above this important swing high may end the current downtrend. On the lower end, the first weak support is at last week’s low of $213.98. However, a stronger support level can be found in the area between $200 and $208 per coin. Bitcoin will need to clear this area to head lower and continue the losses.
- See more at: http://www.forexnews.com/blog/2015/...-minutes-on-margin-call/#sthash.p7ezwD7R.dpuf
Still bearish guys? I think the market wants to fill in to at least to the 78.6 fib level, which is just below $200.
Er, nevermind. Btc-e pump. What to think?
My guess is it's some whale trying to put the short squeeze on and get a reversal going on or someone w/ lotsa cash that is using BTC-e as a means to convert to bitcoin and move his money out of a certain area and fast. Otherwise, he wouldn't be gobbling up orders in such a progressive way and scooping coins all the way up to 260.It would be interesting to know what happened on BTC-e. Someone with a million bucks or so pushing the market around for fun? It's pretty sad that such a small amount of money can cause the entire market to react, we need moar mkt cap!!
Stockholm, SWEDEN (April 28, 2014) - XBT Provider AB (publ) announced today the authorization of Bitcoin Tracker One, the first bitcoin-based security available on a regulated exchange. XBT Provider is launching this financial instrument to meet the needs of investors' growing appetite for exposure to Bitcoin prices.
Alexander Marsh, Chief Executive Officer of XBT Provider, says: "We are proud to offer the world's first "Bitcoin tracker" to be traded on a regulated exchange. By enabling this easy and secure way to invest in Bitcoin we hope to have eliminated the boundaries that earlier prevented individuals and companies from being able to actively invest in what we believe to be the future of money."
Bitcoin Tracker One is designed to provide investors with convenient access to the returns of the underlying asset, U.S. dollar (USD) per bitcoin, less investor fees. Bitcoin Tracker One is authorized by Sweden's financial supervisory authority, Finansinspektionen, and will be admitted to trading on Nasdaq Stockholm. The first day of trading is expected to be May 18th, 2015.