The German Spike and The Sturgis Slaughter

[Badnon Wissenshaftler]

It has been 16 days since the mass protests in Germany where attendance estimates range from 20,000 ("officials") to 1 million people. With that kind of attendance, and the disobedience being practiced, (i.e. no masks being worn, no antisocial distancing) clearly COVID-19 would become a plague of Biblical proportions washing over merry old Deutchland, right?

Well, the data are in.

Have a look at the (supposed) cases on the day of the protest, in which 955 people tested positive for the dreaded 'Rona.

2 weeks later, the rate of mass infections, which might be directly linked to those protests, are limited to an additional ~500 people per day? Shouldn't the dead be lining the streets of Berlin at this time, having succumbed to their own stupidity in violating the dictates of the modern Reich?!

Also of interest should be the effects of the unconscionable Sturgis rally, in which and estimated 250,000 insane, freedom-loving, American bikers congregated for 2 weeks in the free state of South Dakota. And, of course, these stiff-necked ruffians enjoyed themselves, drinking beer and partying hardy, and refused to be good little boys and girls and put on their face-diapers and keep 6 feet apart.

So Death took his scythe and cut right through South Dakota with extreme prejudice, right?

The cases per day at the beginning of the rally: 193.
Check out the cases per day at the end (the highest rate, at 8/15): 221

So, no? No post-apocalyptic wasteland of skeletons in leather strewn all about the countryside?

I can think of a few hypotheses for why this would be so. In the German case, it was one day of mass protests, outside, bathed in the Sun's UV light. In the Sturgis case, many of the people were out of state, so maybe they took their dreaded coronaviruses with them. Also, of course, the sheer ineptitude of the testing being done could be the culprit.

Then again, maybe it's all a huge pile of BS.

-BW

 

[AngryCanadian]

I also think the data numbers are complete numbers as they are on the Syrian death toll how did they count the Syrian death toll when considering the rebel themselves were giving the news media outlets these numbers that cant be even verified?

What about the BLM/Antifa protest spikes? any data on them?

 

[Badnon Wissenshaftler]

I also think the data numbers are complete numbers as they are on the Syrian death toll how did they count the Syrian death toll when considering the rebel themselves were giving the news media outlets these numbers that cant be even verified? What about the BLM/Antifa protest spikes? any data on them?

It is difficult to say with certainty how much the protests and/or riots have contributed to cases. Here in Arizona, for example, a rise in cases began about 2 weeks after the lockdowns were lifted, and also testing was increased. King Ducey (Az governor) let his lockdown decree expire on May 15. George Floyd was killed May 25th. 2 weeks following that, the cases did begin to accelerate, it appears, yes. Not so entirely clear cut, as the protests/riots here were limited. I think our rises in cases were mainly due to orgies at bars, increased testing, and the fact that we'd suppressed the spread of the virus before our local epidemic largely began. That said, I will thank the young men and women of the nightlife scene for volunteering to take the coronavirus bullet and further herd immunity. If one views the data from Oregon, however, it would seem that there is a similar correlation. 2 weeks after Floyd's death, and the subsequent reaction, there does appear to be a marked acceleration of cases. I could be wrong, but I don't see that their governor has lifted their lockdown at all since March. What I will say, is that I remember the media claiming the protests/riots had NOT contributed to a rise in cases anywhere, mere DAYS after they began, though I just tried to parse though some results to support that, and could only find more recent articles vehemently denying that they contributed.

 

[AngryCanadian]

It is difficult to say with certainty how much the protests and/or riots have contributed to cases. Here in Arizona, for example, a rise in cases began about 2 weeks after the lockdowns were lifted, and also testing was increased. King Ducey (Az governor) let his lockdown decree expire on May 15. George Floyd was killed May 25th. 2 weeks following that, the cases did begin to accelerate, it appears, yes. Not so entirely clear cut, as the protests/riots here were limited. I think our rises in cases were mainly due to orgies at bars, increased testing, and the fact that we'd suppressed the spread of the virus before our local epidemic largely began. That said, I will thank the young men and women of the nightlife scene for volunteering to take the coronavirus bullet and further herd immunity. If one views the data from Oregon, however, it would seem that there is a similar correlation. 2 weeks after Floyd's death, and the subsequent reaction, there does appear to be a marked acceleration of cases. I could be wrong, but I don't see that their governor has lifted their lockdown at all since March. What I will say, is that I remember the media claiming the protests/riots had NOT contributed to a rise in cases anywhere, mere DAYS after they began, though I just tried to parse though some results to support that, and could only find more recent articles vehemently denying that they contributed.

I do think they indeed contributed as the virus takes a week or so before any signs of the illnesses show up. I dont the media would ever admit that protests/riots contributed to rise of recent in spike in cases because it would ruin and hurt their agenda.

 

[Badnon Wissenshaftler]

I do think they indeed contributed as the virus takes a week or so before any signs of the illnesses show up. I dont the media would ever admit that protests/riots contributed to rise of recent in spike in cases because it would ruin and hurt their agenda.

If they didn't contribute, you'd have to wonder why. How do hordes of people, gathered together and yelling and shouting, especially at night time, not cause the spread of a supposedly moderately contagious virus? And if not, then why is it we must wear a muzzle (of dubious efficacy) while taking a trip to the store? Solely because it's indoors? Among the reasons cited by the media: social distancing actually increased during the protests, as those not involved elected to stay inside and away from everyone else. So, can those not involved stay indoors while I visit the gym and bar, perhaps? So many questions!

 

[Anti Globalist]

I also think the data numbers are complete numbers as they are on the Syrian death toll how did they count the Syrian death toll when considering the rebel themselves were giving the news media outlets these numbers that cant be even verified?

What about the BLM/Antifa protest spikes? any data on them?

BLM/Antifa protests are coronavirus free zones.