The case for the occurence of algorithmic vote flipping

Thanks for all you are doing RonRules, and others. I keep checking this thread for updates, and I am always left in awe of how much hard work you put into this.

What do you plan to do with all this once voting stops and you have analyzed everything you can possibly analyze?

Thank you for the encouragement.

First it's not that hard. Thank God for SEO/Syctl's data format! They are making it real easy for election clerks and in the process are making it real easy for me. Their data is in the right format with each candidate in columns. I just cut&paste in a ".csv" file and run "program4liberty" Java charting program.

Within 10 minutes of a state announcing results, I can have a chart posted here in the forum.

What's unfortunate though is that many counties use real odd formats or will not provide data at all, after numerous requests. Milwaukee City is one such local that won't cooperate.

I have a multi-step plan. Others are helping in the background, including two from other countries. I will be seeking more confirmation form academia shortly. Next ALL 3,144 county election clerks will be notified. There's other steps, but the Main Stream Media will be notified LAST.

I encourage anybody to confirm or deny the results and help out. Please use math and science, not just talk.
 
Here's an example of background activities that I'm posting for everyone to see. I'm not happy with Riverside County's lack of action after my numerous contacts with them, including meeting in person about two months ago:

To: Kari Verjil, Registrar of Voter, Riverside County, California.

Ms. Verjil and staff.

Thank your for your reply. I read the test reports and canvassing documents you provided.

Unfortunately the reply and reports are not satisfactory because they completely fail to address the very serious election results discrepancies I alerted your office about approximately two months ago.

We are witnessing a massive problem of vote exchange or "flipping" between candidates nationwide in the 2012 primaries. Similar vote problems were also present in 2008 Republican primaries in Riverside County as well as in San Bernardino county, were you worked in 2008.

I sat down with your staff to explain the problem and provided ample documentation to help you investigate to cause of the problem. I also gave a list of recommendations to help PREVENT the problem in 2012.

I have provided overwhelming evidence of this very serious problem, which is affecting thousands of votes. I did not see any specific attempt from your office to investigate "vote flipping" and prevent that specifically from happening again. I will gladly stand corrected if that's the case, but your office made no attempt contact me of that fact.

In your response, you state: "The Registrar of Voters strictly adheres to the vote counting procedures set forth by the California Secretary of State".

The California Canvass Process states on page 7: "Elections Code 15302. Tasks of the Official Canvass: The Official Canvass shall include, but not be limited to, the following tasks"

Note my emphasis on "not be limited to".

Just because you have completed the minimum procedure required by the State, does not mean that the job is complete. Let me explain and show the California Secretary of State procedures are inadequate.

The method by which this alleged election fraud takes place bypasses the weak security measures in place by the state and Riverside county.

Here are some examples:
1) In the California Canvass Process: "Tasks of the Official Canvass", section (b). "A reconciliation of the number of signatures on the roster with the number of ballots recorded on the ballot statement" (c) "... the number of ballots received from each polling place shall be reconciled with the number of ballots case, as indicated on the ballot statement." (d) "A reconciliation of the number of ballots counted, spoiled, canceled or invalidated due to identifying marks, overvote, or as otherwise provided by statute, with the number of votes recorded, including absentee and provisional ballots, by the vote counting system."

THIS CALIFORNIA STATE REQUIREMENT IS INADEQUATE in this regard and you are not LIMITED by it.

As I clearly explained to xxx xxx, counting total votes will not catch fraudulent vote switching of "flipping" between candidates, because the total will remain the same. You must check the total for EACH candidate at the precinct level. Your procedures must be updated.

2) I was also very clear about the manual sampling count. If you check the count of several machines in order to meet the minimum California State requirement of "Conduct the 1% Manual Tally of Votes", this will most likely not catch the fraud as it has been cleverly set up to avoid such detection.
The vote "flipping" occurs after a certain number of votes have been reached. It could be as high as 250. If no testing or canvassing seeks and tests voting machines with high vote counts, the problem will not be detected.

I read the testing report and no manual vote count exceeds 250 votes. They are all MUCH less than that, so the testing AND canvassing procedure is inadequate.

For example on page 15 of the report, the presidential candidates are assigned between 5-10 votes each. I clearly stated that a minimum of 250 votes (preferably) 500 is needed.

Let me add in this respect that the vote total TRANSFER between precinct and center must NOT be subject to a margin of error. The count at the precinct and the center much match EXACTLY for each candidate.

3) You state that "Riverside County" runs AVG Ver. 2012.0.1780 anti-virus software, but nowhere is it stated that the Central Tabulator WinEDS has that software installed. In fact the testing procedure lists the software installed, and the list does NOT show the use of AVG anti-virus. See section 5&6 of the Logic & Accuracy (L & A) tests of May 7, 2012.

4) I also have a huge problem with the same person being used to produce the "Expected Results" and the "Results" themselves in the L & A tests. In my aerospace field of work, different people always define the expectation and the final results.

Please note: The purpose of a test is NOT to get passing results. The purpose of a test is to do the best your can to make the test FAIL. That's why you are relatively safe flying airplanes. We try to make tests fail and when we can't we are much more confident that the aircraft is safe. Looking at the very weak L & A report you provided, I don't feel safe about the testing of the voting equipment in Riverside county.

5) I had requested that the Central Tabulator (WinEDS) be zero baselined, preferably with a new disk drive and NEVER connected to the internet. Why does section 7 of the L & A tests describe an "Internet Connectivity" demonstration?

I have more issues to discuss. However at this point is it only reasonable that I ask you to URGENTLY correct this situation.

1) Please get the help of a statistician to confirm my 2008 results (I attach the data files, which I extracted form Berkeley University data). The Statement of Vote from Riverside was inadequate.

2) Please hire a computer forensics expert to analyze the WinEDS central tabulator to see if any kind of infection has taken place. Have this person provide a detailed report on the date & time of and file changes or infections.

3) I need to have a file directory listing of the WinEDS central tabulator. It is my understanding, speaking to Bev Harris of BlackBoxVoting that this information is publically available.

The above steps are a minor expense to your department and will most likely uncover the cause of this massive election fraud.

Please don't take the contrary opinion of non-professionals. Seek professional advice from statistical and computer forensics experts, willing to go through the calculations and confirm my findings.

You can come out of this looking great or not. It's your choice.


Please respond as to your next steps. I am very easy to reach by email or at xxx xxx xxxx
 
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Just a spot check of a random county where Romney didn't do particularly well:

2012_AK_SearcyCountyPresidentialPreferenceRepcsv-1.png


Not enough data to make a case. Only 17 precincts, with the highest precinct vote count = 204.
 
Home of Walmart, Benton AK:

2012_AK_BentonCountyPresidentialPreferenceRepcsv.png


Not a whole lot to see, but I would call this one a flipper. 58 precincts with some around 1000 voters.
 
what am I going to do about WHAT? Have you done the other counties? How many counties were there?
 
what am I going to do about WHAT? Have you done the other counties? How many counties were there?

Massie clearly got votes stolen in Kenton county. Pick Kenton and investigate. You should know how many counties there are, but it's irrelevant. Kenton county is anomalous. It's all that matters.
 
Interview them without asking a single question? WTF are you talking about? I'm out of here, this thread sends my blood pressure through the roof.
 
Interview them without asking a single question? WTF are you talking about? I'm out of here, this thread sends my blood pressure through the roof.

Seriously though, if you live in Kentucky, especially Kenton county, your elections are rigged. If you want it fixed, you'll have to pursue it.

Besides my regular responsibilities, I spend a lot of time on this project, I'm an election judge in my state's primary next Tuesday, and I'm a delegate to the state convention. There is plenty for me to do right where I am.

RonRules is in California and similarly situated. There were some folks last week from North Carolina that have been going forward with what they learned from this thread and group.

Each of us has 24 hours a day to work with; you have to decide how to spend yours.
 
Here's Kentucky again with the 4th districts Tom Massie results:

Capture.png


Although he won, I like to analyze deeper:

Boon and Campbell flank Kenton on either side and they both look fine, chart wise.

2012_KY_BooneCountyUSCongressRepr4thDistrictRepcsv.png


2012_KY_CampbellCountyUSCongressRepr4thDistrictRepcsv-1.png


Kenton has serious shenanigans
2012_KY_KentonCountyUSCongressRepr4thDistrictRepcsv.png


I'd like to see the sofware update dates on the the central tabulators for those three counties. Can someone from KY check that out for me (US all I guess).
 
This does not give me a warm fuzzy feeling seeing this in these down ballot races. State senate in NC last week, Thomas Massie this week... but, as usual, this actually gives us more insight to who The Flipper is...

The Flipper is not just pro-Romney; The Flipper is viciously opposed to the freedom movement.

The Flipper has become arrogant enough to believe he/she won't get caught.

"Pride. Pride is a weakness."
"Personally, I would prefer stupidity."
"Pride will do."
 
The Flipper is not just pro-Romney; The Flipper is viciously opposed to the freedom movement.

The Flipper also hates Ron Paul delegates as I showed in Rhode Island.

I could do a thousand more charts, but at between 10 minutes to an hour each I just don't have enough time. It would be nice to have more "hands on deck". We need to check a lot more of these down ballot races.

I need to learn the XML interface with that SOE/SYCTL provides. By spending time learning and programming, maybe I could produce charts quicker.

It's always a tough call when you have to decide to automate or not.
 
If someone from KY wants to help, I need a directory list of ALL the files on the Central Tabulator computer for Kenton, Boon and Campbell counties.

The directory list must include all the file attributes, such as "Creation date", "Access date", "Modified date" etc.

A Windows System access Log file would be useful too.

With just that, I believe I can pin point when Kenton's computers were messed with.

I'm not at all a computer forensics person. If you know someone that's in that line of work, please convince them to look at this.
 
Egyptian elections!

Does anyone here have the patience to type these numbers in for me? I'll produce a chart from it. I just need columns B, F, G, H, I, J

2012-634735812003422186-342.jpg


I can't find any tabular data and I've written to the online paper to send me a spreadsheet about 12 hours ago.
http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsCon...es-Results-trickle-in-for-Egypts-preside.aspx
Still no response.

Oh BTW, it looks like the Muslim Brotherhood won, but there will be a run-off election. The opponent is Mubarak's last prime minister.

This may not end well.
 
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I found two online spreadsheets for the Egyptian elections and they're different! The numbers for Cairo are quite different for the Ex Mubarrak guy.

There's only 27 data points, so it's real rough and I can't call this one:

Data Source 1:
2012_EgyptianPresElectionsData1csv.png


Data Source 2:
2012_EgyptianPresElectionsData2csv.png


Data source 1:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AnDjICbGuDIEdDA4V3VIQ0tLcUN2ZG9pQ09OYzhQZGc#gid=0

Data source 2:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AvDP5TSiS82UdGR2UnROWnNWYnk1ejJBdkVpZHZjbHc#gid=0

If anybody finds the low-level data, please tell me.
 
It looks suspicious, but with so few data points I can't say for sure either way.


I found two online spreadsheets for the Egyptian elections and they're different! The numbers for Cairo are quite different for the Ex Mubarrak guy.

There's only 27 data points, so it's real rough and I can't call this one:

Data Source 1:
2012_EgyptianPresElectionsData1csv.png


Data Source 2:
2012_EgyptianPresElectionsData2csv.png


Data source 1:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AnDjICbGuDIEdDA4V3VIQ0tLcUN2ZG9pQ09OYzhQZGc#gid=0

Data source 2:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AvDP5TSiS82UdGR2UnROWnNWYnk1ejJBdkVpZHZjbHc#gid=0

If anybody finds the low-level data, please tell me.
 
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