The case for the occurence of algorithmic vote flipping

[drummergirl]

It's a little technical after about page 10 melodic, but it should get you up to speed pretty quick.

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1EokVx9tDsrjAJ-7H9XoPv3KmZYDvVjSFJ4cuxJTo1iE/edit?pli=1

 

[melodicEntropy]

It's a little technical after about page 10 melodic, but it should get you up to speed pretty quick.

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1EokVx9tDsrjAJ-7H9XoPv3KmZYDvVjSFJ4cuxJTo1iE/edit?pli=1

Thanks. I'll take a look at this a bit later when I have more time. I have a fairly significant background in stats, so I'm very curious to see what this is all about.

 

[andrer]

It's a little technical after about page 10 melodic, but it should get you up to speed pretty quick.

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1EokVx9tDsrjAJ-7H9XoPv3KmZYDvVjSFJ4cuxJTo1iE/edit?pli=1

You could include the whole Swedish general election beneath the german.

Also this one should be included.

 

[drummergirl]

Sweden does have such lovely election data. I know I have both of those charts in my notes; I'm not sure why they aren't in the addendum (other than I was trying to get it done and had to pick and choose kinda fast). Oh, and I think at the time, I didn't want to open the 2008 can of worms. I've since come to understand that it isn't the flipping that's new; it's the detection method that's new.

You could include the whole Swedish general election beneath the german.

Also this one should be included.

 

[RonRules]

This may require a separate California thread, but here's about 15 charts I did for 2008.

These charts cover the entire state (8.1 Million votes, including absentee votes). Since we can't have enough flat lines, in case the die-hard skeptics don't think these lines MUST be flat, here's a whole bunch of them flat lines.

BTW, the data comes from here: http://swdb.berkeley.edu/d00/s08.html (SOV column)

American Independent Party:

Libertarian Party:

Peace & Freedom Party:

 

[RonRules]

Propositions:

Note that propositions are like separate elections for each proposition yes/no vote. If I put them all in the same chart all 7 elections (total of 700%) have to share the same scale. That's why they're all bunched up at the bottom here:

So, I split them up in groups of 2:

 

[RonRules]

Here's where the crooked crooks come in:

This one surprised me. I re-extracted the numbers and double checked everything.

The Green Party is a flipper!.

Either someone hates Ralph Nader (that's easy), or loves Cynthia McKinney (That's less likely, click here: http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_oOJMYL8TW6E/SwX0c6cJNYI/AAAAAAAAC-A/pnRwK9ZHoWs/s1600/cynthia_mckinney.jpg)

Here's our friend Romney, flipping the bird to all of California in 2008:

Next I'll do all 72 counties, county by county. I'll just post a few

All 5 SoCal counties are flippers. Shasta county is not:

I have to find out which of the 72 California counties are not flippers and what equipment/procedures they use. We'll hopefully be able to prevent the problem in California in 2012.

Texas is also URGENT to analyze. We need see which counties are flippers and write a report to all the county vote administrators well BEFORE their election in 3 weeks.

We need more volunteers here. This is crucially important and I'm convinced that we can win in 2012 by exposing this blatant Election Fraud.

 

[RonRules]

MASSIVE vote flipping against Ron Paul found in the 2008 North Carolina primaries, Wake county home of Raleigh (College Town)

I got an emergency charting request this morning, given that the NC elections are today.

I was given this screen shot taken during the 2008 elections. Note Ron's numbers at 70% of the vote reported compared to 100%. Normally, this is IMPOSSIBLE: Ron Paul dropped from 27% to 3% !!!

I downloaded the data from the NC Elections website and analyzed Wake county specifically.

What I found is THE most extreme case of vote flipping that have ever seen:

Ron Paul should have gotten about 34% of the vote and McCain 26%. This is absolutely outrageous.

Date source: http://www.ncsbe.gov/content.aspx?id=69

If you live in NC. DEMAND that these 2008 results be reviewed. Do not accept for an answer: "It was certified!"

In today's election:
DEMAND copies of the poll tapes,
DEMAND all the information you can about these voting machines and the Central Tabulator.
DEMAND Make, model, software version, time of last update, testing procedures, time of last test, time of last software update, connection to the internet yes/no, use of anti-virus software.
Ask anything you can.

IT GETS EVEN WORSE:
Note the second screen shot (to the right, with 100% of the vote in) It shows Ron Paul at 3%. That's nowhere what he actually got. His exact percentage was 11.36 %

Talk about a slap in the face to finish the night.



Wake county and North Carolina uses SOE voting equipment. This is from the Spanish owned Syctl company.

 

[Liberty1789]

I was given this screen shot taken during the 2008 elections. Note Ron's numbers at 70% of the vote reported compared to 100%. Normally, this is IMPOSSIBLE

40,000+ votes were cast in Wake County and the screenshot shows like 3,000... Not too sure what to make of this... Feels like rubbish...

 

[RonRules]

40,000+ votes were cast in Wake County and the screenshot shows like 3,000... Not too sure what to make of this... Feel like rubbish...

That's just the specific Raleigh precincts within Wake. Wake is the entire county.

Regardless, with 70% reporting, you know as well as I do that the final candidate percentages at 100% reported should be extremely close to those at 70%

 

[RonRules]

Hey Liberty, any chance we could get an update on this chart? We're in the process of writing to a LOT of election officials and we need an update on who's been cheated by this vote flipping.
Thanks

 

[Liberty1789]

That's just the specific Raleigh precincts within Wake. Wake is the entire county.

Regardless, with 70% reporting, you know as well as I do that the final candidate percentages at 100% reported should be extremely close to those at 70%

Hmm... Cannot see the Raleigh precinct in the dataset. What would "PRECINCTS: 70% reporting" mean then? I am just confused frankly.

Getting a vote count going back is easy anyway. You've showed it eloquently with Florida: just need to insert a card in the machine for a few seconds with a non-zero starting counter...

 

[dr.k.research]

... Feels like rubbish...

What? And your supposed to be a researcher? Statistically, this is indicative of gross fraud. Rubbish????

 

[Liberty1789]

What? And your supposed to be a researcher? Statistically, this is indicative of gross fraud. Rubbish????

OK, let me rephrase: the data feed looks erroneous. I cannot reconcile "Raleigh", "precincts: 100% reporting" and ca. 3,000 votes. Now the denomination on the chart might not match the denominations of the data set provided by RonRules. In which case, we could be looking at a beautiful evidence of real time, post polling station closure vote tampering. Which depresses me no end...

 

[RonRules]

I've been asked to analyze Indiana and West Virgina, but I've got trouble finding adequate data.

Indiana has scanned images, so I can't use that. Can someone here help find electronic text, Excel or ".csv" data to facilitate the analysis?

Here's what I found on the Indiana website:
http://www.in.gov/sos/elections/files/AR-M550N_20120404_152743.pdf

West Virginia does not seem to have precincl-level results, although it may be possible to do one county at a time by selecting the menus. Basically, it sucks. Can anybody help find the right type of data

http://apps.sos.wv.gov/elections/results/results.aspx?county=Statewide&electionid=3&type=0

Thanks.

 

[drummergirl]

I used to live near there. So, a couple of things. Wake county has several municipalities, Raleigh being one. It's the state capitol and used to be the largest. There are suburban communities that are most of the county population these days. It is home of NC State University, which I'd expect to be big for RP. Long history of election fraud in that area, so not too shocking if you know the tarheel state. And now I'm homesick for Brunswick stew... so the question becomes, do I have time to cook and watch election returns?

OK, let me rephrase: the data feed looks erroneous. I cannot reconcile "Raleigh", "precincts: 100% reporting" and ca. 3,000 votes. Now the denomination on the chart might not match the denominations of the data set provided by RonRules. In which case, we could be looking at a beautiful evidence of real time, post polling station closure vote tampering. Which depresses me no end...

 

[RonRules]

No flipping in North Carolina today! It was a total flat line:

I need to point out that this is THE FIRST TIME ROMNEY FLAT LINES in 2012. (Except Puerto Rico).

This is HUGE and we need to maximize the benefit of that information.

IMPORTANT: If you live in NC, PLEASE call your county clerk responsible for elections and ask when the voting machine software was last updated. This is especially the case for the Central Tabulator.

Please get all the information you can about the Central Tabulator. It should be an SOE, but I need the exact software version, when it was updated, if anybody came around to do maintenance on it, what date, etc. Ask if the Central Tabulator computer is ever connected to the internet, if USB keys are occasionally plugged into it, if they use Anti-Virus software.

With Romney now the "Presumptive Nominee" it looks like they though it was a good idea to turn off the vote flipping. That's only going to get them into more trouble because it shows they have recently accessed the machine.

Edit: Updated chart with 100% of the data and including absentee votes.

 

[drummergirl]

Hmm... Cannot see the Raleigh precinct in the dataset. What would "PRECINCTS: 70% reporting" mean then? I am just confused frankly.

That would mean 70% of the precincts had turned in their results to the state elections office.

 

[RonRules]

Here's preliminary results for Indiana. Not all the data is available yet but it looks like we have a flipper!

Note that the flipping was specifically targetted on Santorum. Interesting!

Data source: http://www.in.gov/apps/sos/primary/sos_primary12

 

[drummergirl]

So now the key piece of information is what software/firmware/whateverware update did they get in North Carolina but not in Indiana?

64 dollar question...