The case for the occurence of algorithmic vote flipping

[RonRules]

Hello NegaFlippers! Let's see you explain THIS!

I have analyzed in great detail all the delegate races in PA as well as the State assembly, Congressional and Senatorial races, etc. I'll be posting those shortly.

If you recall Allegheny county (home of Pittsburg) was definitely a flipper for Romney, as usual:

Now, have a look at the Delegate Republican races for the 14th district:

If the Candidate exhibit flipping, because it is argued that Demographics come into play, then why don't the corresponding Delegates match the sloped curves? Why are all the Delegates flat-lining?

Go ahead and explain that.

PS: Legend: _RPAUL (Ron Paul Delegate) _NGRICH (Gingrich Delegate) _MROM (Romney Delegate) _ (Uncommitted)

 

[kathy88]

Can't explain it. PA folks, come on, get Ron what he needs. Private message him and he will tell you exactly what he needs. Tell him your county so he knows it's being taken care of.

 

[drummergirl]

If that's not a dead canary in the mine shaft, I don't know what is.

Hello NegaFlippers! Let's see you explain THIS!

I have analyzed in great detail all the delegate races in PA as well as the State assembly, Congressional and Senatorial races, etc. I'll be posting those shortly.

If you recall Allegheny county (home of Pittsburg) was definitely a flipper for Romney, as usual:

Now, have a look at the Delegate Republican races for the 14th district:

If the Candidate exhibit flipping, because it is argued that Demographics come into play, then why don't the corresponding Delegates match the sloped curves? Why are all the Delegates flat-lining?

Go ahead and explain that.

PS: Legend: _RPAUL (Ron Paul Delegate) _NGRICH (Gingrich Delegate) _MROM (Romney Delegate) _ (Uncommitted)

PS I'm working on a "Flipping Made Easy" paper for people who don't like math.

 

[RonRules]

Here's more flat lines for your enjoyment:

I want to thank Liberty1789 for finding that great delegate sheet on Gingrich's website. It was invaluable for assigning Delegate allegiance to Candidates.

I will reserve a delicious surprise for the end. (Something about stealth delegates!)

 

[RonRules]

Here's a couple of democrats. These two are running for Congress on the Democratic ticket.

 

[RonRules]

Here's a bunch of Democrats vying to go to Tampa:

 

[RonRules]

Republican Senator race:

The vote count is a bit low, but it certainly flat lines past 20%.

 

[RonRules]

Republican Congressman race:

 

[drummergirl]

Lines as flat as a pancake run over by a steamroller.

 

[RonRules]

Democrat Attorney General race:

Not exactly flat but certainly not Romneyesque.

 

[RonRules]

I think you get the idea by now, but I'm not done. There's a little jewel coming that I have to double check. Maybe tomorrow

 

[RonRules]

This one is kind of odd because the results are so close to each other.

BTW the data is here if anybody wan't to confirm my results:
http://www.alleghenycounty.us/elect/201204pri/el52.htm

Look for: Delegate to the National Convention 12TH DISTRICT (Towards the end) Notice how each candidate has about the same number of votes.

We'll let the Democrats worry about it.

 

[Scott_in_PA]

Dem Delegates (choose 8 on ballot) all have their presidential preferances listed, and all were for obama naturally.

You can view a sample ballot here for Westmoreland county. Allegheny would be similar. A dem would just go down the line and vote for all of them. I'm not sure what your PM would require of me, but let me know.

Most of the polling places are under 200 votes right ?
Does that fit your theory ?

 

[RonRules]

This one looks pretty odd:

It's the local assembly Republican Senator race. Only about 6,000 votes per candidate. I would not be surprised if there was a bit of ballot stuffing here.

 

[RonRules]

Most of the polling places are under 200 votes right ?
Does that fit your theory ?

The highest polling place count I saw was 202. Average more like around 40 or so.

The point at which the flipping starts may be a percentage of vote rather than a hard count. I have to study that more so I can see if I can predict things based on those stats.

I did not analyze Westmorland because of the screwy format. When I do and we see if it's a strong flipper I'll need the poll tapes form the output of the voting machines.

 

[RonRules]

More Democrat Delegates:

The green line is "Matt Smith". Not too sure why he curved weird like that, but it affected all others because the total has to be 100%

 

[RonRules]

I've analyzed all 285 candidates in Allegheny County. I found something interesting with three of them (charted, but not yet posted).

A stealthy husband & wife team for example. You'll see tomorrow!

Nite nite!

 

[KingNothing]

More Democrat Delegates:

The green line is "Matt Smith". Not too sure why he curved weird like that, but it affected all others because the total has to be 100%

THEY didn't want Smith to win!

 

[KingNothing]

Another good question.

The relationship does exist in caucus states like Iowa and Maine. This is actually incredibly meaningful information. It's what tells us that the problem is in the central tabulator (The computer at headquarters where all those hand counted and witnessed votes are added together).

And the poor souls who thought their votes were safe because they watched their neighbors and double checked the count are completely duped because the computer changed the numbers after they were put in.

But the vote totals were read out loud at each caucus location. And if there were differences between the actual totals and the reported, "centrally tabulated" total people would have noticed it.

Logically this doesn't entirely discredit your argument but it gives reasonable people pause for concern and reason to believe that the foundation of your entire argument is flawed.

 

[drummergirl]

But the vote totals were read out loud at each caucus location. And if there were differences between the actual totals and the reported, "centrally tabulated" total people would have noticed it.

Logically this doesn't entirely discredit your argument but it gives reasonable people pause for concern and reason to believe that the foundation of your entire argument is flawed.

I don't think you understand how election results are posted. Do you check the math? Do you go around to precinct chairs all around the state and collect their vote totals and add them up yourself and compare it to the reported total on the secretary of state website? Does anyone do this? No one does this. They turn in the results to county or state officials (depending on where you are talking about) and sometimes they hang around to see what the totals are when their results are added with other precincts/counties. WE ALL ASSUME THE COMPUTER KNOWS HOW TO ADD CORRECTLY.

Seriously, when was the last time you used a calculator for something and then checked the results by doing the math by hand? 7th grade math class maybe?