Surprise: Trump Falls Behind Cruz in National NBC/WSJ Poll

[CPUd]

The results from the poll — conducted after Trump's victory in New Hampshire and Saturday's GOP debate in South Carolina — are a significant reversal from last month, when Trump held a 13-point lead over Cruz, 33 percent to 20 percent.

Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducted this survey with Democratic pollster Peter Hart and his firm Hart Research Associates, says Trump's drop could signal being "right on top of a shift in the campaign."

"When you see a number this different, it means you might be right on top of a shift in the campaign. What you don't know yet is if the change is going to take place or if it is a momentary 'pause' before the numbers snap back into place," he said.

McInturff added, "So, one poll post-Saturday debate can only reflect there may have been a 'pause' as Republican voters take another look at Trump. This happened earlier this summer and he bounced back stronger. We will have to wait this time and see what voters decide."

This poll comes after other surveys -- both nationally and in South Carolina, the site of Saturday's next Republican contest -- show Trump with a commanding lead. But some of those weren't conducted entirely after the last debate like the NBC/WSJ poll.

...

And in hypothetical one-on-one match ups, Trump trails both Cruz (56 percent to 40 percent) and Rubio (57 percent to 41 percent). In January, Trump was ahead of Rubio (by seven points) but behind Cruz (by eight points).

The NBC/WSJ poll was conducted Feb. 14-16 of 800 registered voters (which has a margin of error of plus-minus 3.5 percentage points) and 400 GOP primary voters (which has a margin of error of plus-minus 4.9 percentage points).

https://www.scribd.com/doc/299591277/NBC-WSJ-February-Poll-GOP?secret_password=JnP82QeNxD9kHWxwZuHr

http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/surprise-trump-falls-behind-cruz-national-nbc-wsj-poll-n520296

 

[nikcers]

Here's what didn't make sense, so Trump attacks George W Bush before SC. I could understand maybe in Iowa, but why would he do it before SC?

 

[Origanalist]

Um....woo hoo?

 

[CPUd]

This is the first post-debate poll, Trump's support seems to be cratering. If he loses in SC, his campaign could be over.

 

[enhanced_deficit]

A day after dronegangsta comes out against Trump, News Corp owned WSJ pulls Cruz ahead of Trumpster in its poll?

Smells like a fishy poll with radically different result from other polls.


National poll: Sanders tied with Clinton, Trump up 8 points

By Nick Gass
02/17/16 06:22 AM EST
Donald Trump's lead among Republicans nationally has soared back to double digits, according to the results of the latest Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday, while on the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are locked in a virtual tie.
Trump grabbed 39 percent, up eight points from the previous two weeks, followed by Florida Sen. Marco Rubio at 19 percent, who remained static. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz dropped four points to third place with 18 percent, with Ohio Gov. John Kasich at 6 percent and no other candidate polling above the margin of error, with 9 percent undecided.
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/poll-who-is-winning-2016-219360


REUTERS: TRUMP 40%, CRUZ 17%, RUBIO 11%...
February 17, 2016



Trump accuses NBC/WSJ poll of being a 'Rupert Murdoch hit'
Politico-1 hour ago
Donald Trump discounted the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released Wednesday as "phony," remarking in a radio interview that the survey represented a "Rupert Murdoch hit."

“In my opinion, it was a fix, you want to know the truth," the Republican candidate told Sirius XM's Breitbart News Daily in an interview with host Stephen Bannon on Thursday. "CBS just came out with a poll that says the same as every other poll. You know, Wall Street Journal came out with a poll, ‘cause I’m not a big fan of the Wall Street Journal."
[h=1]Fox owner hosted fund raiser for Hillary Clinton, his daughter hosted fund raiser for Obama[/h]



O'Reilly and Megyn Kelly 'at War,' Fox Loser With Trump
Feb 10, 2016

 

[Fivezeroes]

So in a sample of 400 people nationally, that averages out to 8 people each state. Yea, I'll definitely believe this poll over today's Quinnipiac poll.

 

[AuH20]

From my understanding, the Cruz folks have circulated the NBC/WSJ poll for morale purposes. They sense the end is near and need some much needed positive energy. See the vast disparity that separates Trump and Cruz by the other major polling organizations.

 

[sparebulb]

This is a psy-op.

Trump is shredding these guys with Joe Average.

This is the Empire telling Joe that Trump isn't the droid that he's voting for.

 

[CPUd]

The MSM blackout of dark horse candidate Jim Gilmore is in full swing. Look for him to make a surprise showing in SC.

 

[seapilot]

That poll is flawed. No way Jeb! is only at 4%.

 

[CPUd]

That poll is flawed. No way Jeb! is only at 4%.

Jeb doesn't do very well when they poll real people. Have you ever met a Jeb supporter IRL?

 

[Fivezeroes]

Jeb doesn't do very well when they poll real people. Have you ever met a Jeb supporter IRL?

They exist?

 

[AuH20]

The lemmings at Red Statist are going bonkers over this poll. It's like watching a glut of Africans fighting over a bag of flour. That's how hope deprived they have become, since Trumpzilla has strode ashore.

 

[seapilot]

They exist?

I saw one once, only for a a few seconds. Then it ran back into the dark forest. Some scary sh**!

 

[Fivezeroes]

I saw one once, only for a a few seconds. Then it ran back into the dark forest.

A wild Jebsupporter appears

 

[puppetmaster]

A day after dronegangsta comes out against Trump, News Corp owned WSJ pulls Cruz ahead of Trumpster in its poll?

Smells like a fishy poll with radically different result from other polls.


National poll: Sanders tied with Clinton, Trump up 8 points

By Nick Gass
02/17/16 06:22 AM EST
Donald Trump's lead among Republicans nationally has soared back to double digits, according to the results of the latest Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday, while on the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are locked in a virtual tie.
Trump grabbed 39 percent, up eight points from the previous two weeks, followed by Florida Sen. Marco Rubio at 19 percent, who remained static. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz dropped four points to third place with 18 percent, with Ohio Gov. John Kasich at 6 percent and no other candidate polling above the margin of error, with 9 percent undecided.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/poll-who-is-winning-2016-219360



[h=3]O'Reilly and Megyn Kelly 'at War,' Fox Loser With Trump[/h]Feb 10, 2016

fox is dead to me and anything they own.

 

[Indy Vidual]

They exist?

Jeb! is the kinder, gentler Bush brother!

No, I have never met anyone who supports him.

 

[squirl22]

This poll is fraudulent.

 

[misterx]

This poll is a outlier. All other polls in the last week have Trump solidly in the lead. They are pulling out all the stops right now because if he wins SC and Nevada it's all over for the establishment.

 

[misterx]

Jeb doesn't do very well when they poll real people. Have you ever met a Jeb supporter IRL?

I don't talk to many people over 70, so no.