STOP!!! DO THIS IF YOU WANT TO WIN!! ID, ND!! + RoboBOMB!

[ATXRevolutionary]

3/5/2012
Receipt ID 3a0ec44XXXXXXXXX
For: Win ND on Super Tues!
Method: PayPal
Total: $25.00

 

[RPit]

Anyone willing to donate google voice acc, if you don't have one just create a new gmail and then setup a new google voice acc. Your phone WON'T ring, everything happens in the background..

As soon as we get it we can kick this one and hopefully the donations will keep trickling in.

 

[gerryb]

http://parocks.com/ronpaul/robobomb.htm

grab the code from above

You should incorporate "PaulBot" instead of "Robobomb" and use the android ron paul bot picture

With a tagline(hopefully catchier =P )
"Automated low-cost, high impact phone survey's to ID voters"

 

[da32130]

bump

 

[gerryb]

Let's win this!

 

[eff]

50 bucks for Idaho?

 

[da32130]

50 bucks for Idaho?

Focusing on ND first. Cheapest and Paul has a better chance there.

 

[parocks]

You should incorporate "PaulBot" instead of "Robobomb" and use the android ron paul bot picture

With a tagline(hopefully catchier =P )
"Automated low-cost, high impact phone survey's to ID voters"

does not appear that people care. also, would need more instruction as to what SIZE was required.

 

[PolicyReader]

50 bucks for Idaho?

and 3 donors... which means I might be on a first name bases with all of them

 

[fez2008]

bump

 

[Origanalist]

and 3 donors... which means I might be on a first name bases with all of them

My first name is Doug, good to meet you. I'm two of the three..........

 

[Origanalist]

The caucus is tomorrow. Is there a list yet. Or is this dead?

Good question, wtf is up with this. Is it dead or not? I now have time to make calls, what's up?

 

[RPit]

Update:

The reason there is no list is because the donations came in at a very slow pace... The calls were thus started pretty late. It takes too long to then compile the list and have the volunteers call.

So for all of today's callers ID, all of the data was used to use callbank to call the 'list'..

As more callers ID'd we do we will use to compile the list, this night, and have the volunteers call tomorrow. Since ND caucus starts at 5:30pm and they can vote till 8pm. We will have time..

Since the time was of the essence thus the decision was made to use the callbank first so we can get back to the people quicker rather than rely on a volunteer list of people most of the time being less than 20 calling..

So please help us tomorrow as we compile the list tonight for our volunteers.. and again we still need the money another $2000 to complete ND.. I was very hopeful but the fundraising has been very sluggish. It takes time to do the calls, receive a response, and then compile the list. Thats why due to the lack to time it was better to use the callbank today..

So let me repeat: we need another $2000 and we need our volunteers to be making calls tomorrow!

 

[PolicyReader]

My first name is Doug, good to meet you. I'm two of the three..........

Well good, and drat. Good that you donated, drat because it means that even few of the people I've been trying to persuade came through (unless they missed the chipin and donated directly to the PAC, I'd be fine with that too ).
Either way +rep

 

[PolicyReader]

Update:

The reason there is no list is because the donations came in at a very slow pace... The calls were thus started pretty late. It takes too long to then compile the list and have the volunteers call.

So for all of today's callers ID, all of the data was used to use callbank to call the 'list'..

As more callers ID'd we do we will use to compile the list, this night, and have the volunteers call tomorrow. Since ND caucus starts at 5:30pm and they can vote till 8pm. We will have time..

Since the time was of the essence thus the decision was made to use the callbank first so we can get back to the people quicker rather than rely on a volunteer list of people most of the time being less than 20 calling..

So please help us tomorrow as we compile the list tonight for our volunteers.. and again we still need the money another $2000 to complete ND.. I was very hopeful but the fundraising has been very sluggish. It takes time to do the calls, receive a response, and then compile the list. Thats why due to the lack to time it was better to use the callbank today..

So let me repeat: we need another $2000 and we need our volunteers to be making calls tomorrow!

Still pushing donations via socialnetworks and people I know. I'm not sure how much headway I've actually made (I know there's been at least a little but not sure how much). I will keep at it and hope to chisel away at that number for you. Do you know aprox. when calls are slated to start tomorrow?

 

[PolicyReader]

Enjoy-

#1 North Dakota

What's at stake?

-28 delegates: 10 base at-large / 3 re: 1 congressional district / 3 party / 12 bonus
The winner is essentially guaranteed 15/25 winnable delegates.
-Caucus
-Voter must have voted for republicans in 2008, or intend to vote for the reps. in 2012 (not really sure how you check up on that one...)
March 30th-April 1st: State convention in Bismarck

Where are the people?

North Dakota actually has fewer people than Alaska (but has more than Vermont), which puts into perspective how wide open the state actually is. The state is really just a bunch of towns and small cities in the middle of the prairie. Not much going on between population centers. Lets look at the largest towns.

Fargo (eastern part of state) --------105,000
Bismarck (central part of state)------61,000
Grand Forks (eastern part of state)---52,000
Minot (northwest part of state)--------40,000

The key thing to note here is that the majority of the population lives relatively close to the MN border. The east is more developed than the west.


What happened last time?

Candidate     Votes  	Percentage	Delegates
Mitt Romney	     3,490	35.82%	           8
John McCain	     2,224	22.83%	           5
Ron Paul	     2,082	21.37%	           5
Mike Huckabee	     1,947	19.98%	           5
Total	             9,743	100%	          23

Like Alaska, Ron placed a close third, with Romney in the lead. Again, it is crucial people remember that Romney ran as the conservative alternative to John McCain in 2008 and as a result, excelled in the western, anti-establishment states.

County by county breakdown is relatively mundane and doesnt reveal that much. Romney won nearly every county, Paul managed to pull away 3 counties on the canadian border in the northeast and 3 more in the south/central. Huckabee won 3 next to Paul's 3 in the south/central, and McCain won a random county.

But like I said, that doesnt reveal much, lets break it down by legislative district and look at some cities. Remember, Paul received 21% of the overall vote.

Grand Forks (Overall: 15.25%)

District         Paul%
42             16
43             13
18             25
17              7

Fargo (Overall 31.4%)

District        Paul %
44             29
21             48
11             28
46             24
45             33
13             27
27             31

Bismarck (Overall=23%)

District      Paul%
30            23
31            30
32            22
34            24
35            17

Minot (Overall=14.5%)

District      Paul%
3               18
5               13
38              8
40              19

Math time.

Total votes in cities= 4,477 (45.75% of total)

Total Paul average vote in cities= 21.03%

Paul total vote in cities=941.5 (round that half person up to 942)

Paul vote in rural areas= 1,140/5308 (21.5%)


Paul urban vote: 21.03%
Paul rural vote: 21.50%

Long way of saying that Paul's city vote is equal to his rural vote.

Also of note, Paul's vote in the largest city in the state averaged way above normal. If Paul can pull down huge numbers in Fargo, it should provide a perfect safety cushion in case something goes wrong elsewhere. Fairly interesting that he actually did below average in the smallest of the 'big 4' while placing above average in the largest of the 'big 4'.


What to expect this time


I stated in the Alaska post that if Paul couldnt win in Alaska, where could he win.....well the answer is here. Literally the perfect storm for our good Dr.

-low turnout caucus
-northern, lowly populated state
-good support in 2008
-good donations.


To say that Paul is leading in donations would be the understatement of the year. Paul is the titanic iceberg to the Republican ship in terms of donations. He's crushing everyone.

I wont post the usual maps, just look at the total 2011 donations.

A few things jump out.

1) Paul is out-raising the democrats nearly 2-1

2) Michelle Bachmann is 2nd in republican donations...tells you what North Dakotans thought of the other 'flavor of the month' candidates

3) Our friend Willard is barely out-raising a guy who dropped out in August. This perhaps is the most amazing thing, not only is Romney loosing to Bachman, he's supposed to be the front runner...you know, the guy who raises a lot of money. Guess ND didnt get the message.

Let that sink in for a minute, and then come back and explain to me why Paul should not win the state.




Now, the one thing, the only thing that gets me nervous is Santorum. I DO NOT expect him to win in ND, but if any surprises came out Tuesday night, it would most likely be in his favor. Santorum dominated the counties just across the border in MN, and I know its weeks later, but if one thing is going against Paul, its that Santorum won nearly 50% from the state next door. But again, Santorum is on the down swing, and I dont expect him to pull any miracles like he did that night.


So, to summarize the past couple of posts I made.

I expect Ron to WIN:

-AK
-ND

I expect Ron to place a solid, if not close second in:

-VT
-ID



Thank you all for reading and the kind, words. I will try to continue this sort of thing going forward, you have been a great and patient audience.

If anyone needs to persuade donors or voters here's some information that might be helpful (be sure to go to the thread and +rep the author who did a great job on this)

 

[PolicyReader]

bump