1. People think Paul represents them well as a Congressman, but doubt Paul's ability to make a good President.
2. Chris Peden is an unknown commodity, John McCain is not.
3. They thought Ron Paul dropped out of the Presidential race.
4. McCain practically had the nomination wrapped up so they viewed voting for Paul as a waste.
There are probably many sensible variables that go into this. Those who automatically assume fraud obviously are incapable of thinking logically.
- This could be true to some extend but not to the disparity that the number show. 70% to 6% seems a little drastic.
- It is true that maybe some McCain supporters living in District 14 just didn't like Peden, though he is cut from the same mold as McCain so I'm not sure why this would be the case.
- Maybe this is the case in other states, but not in his home state. They see his name on the ballot.
- This argument could also be used the other way. If they feel that McCain has practically won, why vote for him? Why not just vote for Ron then? It wouldn't hurt anything.
I don't instantly think it was fraud, though I don't rule it out either because there has been proof of it in the past. But one is not exclusive to the other.
I don't deny the mountain of evidence that suggests that the MSM has in fact blacked out Ron Paul during this campaign (and/or discredited him), and I don't deny that the GOP itself has taken great lengths to silence Ron Paul supporters and to keep him from gaining any momentum (like in Louisiana - just ask Torchbearer).
HOWEVER, I'm also not tying victory to these truths.
It is entirely possible and of course rational to concede that even if EVERYTHING was completely fair, Ron Paul may not have won ANYWAY. This is just the truth of it and it is illogical to think otherwise.
It would have certainly at least been a closer race and would have promoted legitamate debate on our policies which is often what Ron Paul wants. Certainly the possibility of winning would have been greatly increased.
I believe in Ron Paul and support his views but more than that I believe in the truest form of Democracy even if that means the guy I support loses fair and square. The frustration comes when we see that it clearly isn't fair.
My point is that there ARE conspiracies and greater powers at work but they don't account for EVERY failure in the campaign. There are also legit reasons why someone might not win and I think it is important to explore all of these and make the destinction between them. This is the only way we can learn and get better results next time.
This is a difficult task because often these factors are intertwined. It is hard really to know how people would react given different information on which to make their decision.