Should Rand live in Iowa for the next two months?

[adam220891]

Should Rand live in Iowa for the next month?

Given the numbers seen in some of the early states, it seems that Iowa is Rand's best chance to win early on.

We saw Santorum devote most if his resources to Iowa in 2012 and he won, which probably prolonged his campaign longer than it should've been (no doubt the media gave him a timely pump). Christie seems to be focused on NH right now and is seeing his numbers improve there.

Could surprising everyone and winning in Iowa put Rand in a position to succeed, or would it leave his organization lacking in the remaining states and not be a viable option?

Need something to ponder on, so let's discuss.

 

[Suzu]

Is it something Rand is considering?

 

[CPUd]

No, an outright win in NV would be huge; they need to do what they can out there to make that happen. They already know what they need to do in Iowa, and have mostly been doing it since day 1.

 

[movingstone]

hmm he doesn't have 2 months. Campaign during Christmas is very limited. So he probably got a tad more than a month left.

 

[adam220891]

Is it something Rand is considering?

It doesn't appear so.

I'm just curious because his numbers in NH and SC aren't any good (and his Iowa numbers are only marginally better, but the SFR push is hard there, we are told)

I think it's a good idea because:

-Evangelical vote is currently split a few ways
-Audit the Fed bill takes place a couple weeks before the caucus
-There's 1 or 2 more debates before the caucus
-SFR is heavily organized there + college will be in session
-Ron did quite well in Iowa
-SC is almost certainly not going to be Rand's first state won
-The campaign is fragile enough that I don't know it can stand a poor showing in Iowa, NH, and SC

 

[derek4ever]

Rand will place in the top 3! I'm positive about it! There was a map from latinsforpaul about the average age per county!

 

[luctor-et-emergo]

Pretty much but he'll also have to visit NH, SC and NV. As well as showing up in congress.

If only we could donate some of our excess energy to Rand. He's going to be tired at the end of this.

 

[nikcers]

I saw a mockup where they changed the head on all the candidates and made them all into Donald Trumps, and the only one the really stood out was the really fat Donald Trump so the real question is, should Rand adopt wearing a constitution costume

 

[KEEF]

I'd like him to be on the Senate floor giving a riveting speech about the Audit the Fed bill coming up. Get him some national spotlight similar to what his filibusters have done. Then go live in Iowa.

But I am no campaign manager not politician, so WTF do I know? I trust the campaign will do what needs to be done.

 

[dusman]

I saw a mockup where they changed the head on all the candidates and made them all into Donald Trumps, and the only one the really stood out was the really fat Donald Trump so the real question is, should Rand adopt wearing a constitution costume

Bahaha. Not sure which is my favorite. The Cruz kind eyes is great, though.

 

[adam220891]

Given the newly released debate criteria (top 5 in NH or IA or top 6 nationally) I'd say an Iowa push makes even more sense.

The media won't be on our side and won't make this easy. I feel like boots on the ground in Iowa is the only way.

 

[CPUd]

They just expanded campaign operations in NH. The worst thing that could happen is the press starts reporting they are putting all their resources in Iowa. Not saying they shouldn't be doing "extra" in Iowa (they are already busting their ass up there), but it should be on the down low, and not take away from operations in other states.

 

[cindy25]

NH is the key, as is SC. Rand will do ok in IA.

 

[CPUd]

NH will be highly competitive, but Rand has been competitive there in certain demographics, like age 45-54. SC is very hard to predict right now, he does well in certain demos there too, but not sure how that turnout is going to be when they vote.

 

[derek4ever]

Pretty much but he'll also have to visit NH, SC and NV. As well as showing up in congress.

If only we could donate some of our excess energy to Rand. He's going to be tired at the end of this.

I wonder what the campaign is going to come up with. Anybody have the campaign's e-mail to see if it's possible to help the campaign from abroad?

 

[Peace&Freedom]

Rand doesn't have to live there, but he has to get the youth vote out to vote. He should have an aggressive early vote game in place in Iowa to get as many younger voters to absentee vote as possible, instead of trusting a demographic with a 15% turnout record to show up at the caucus sites.

 

[CPUd]

Rand doesn't have to live there, but he has to get the youth vote out to vote. He should have an aggressive early vote game in place in Iowa to get as many younger voters to absentee vote as possible, instead of trusting a demographic with a 15% turnout record to show up at the caucus sites.

That's covered. The campaign is also making sure they get registered.

 

[CPUd]

Meanwhile at the Las Vegas Review-Journal after being bought by Adelson:

 

[alucard13mm]

People putting emphasis on Nevada, Nevada will be a lot harder if Iowa doesn't do well because the narrative would be.. Paul cant win. That would not go well with Nevada. If not Top 3, its gg. I think its possible. I think Rand has a good chance for 2nd or 3rd, but that largely depends if he can overcome Carson and take back some votes from Cruz fans.

 

[CPUd]

People putting emphasis on Nevada, Nevada will be a lot harder if Iowa doesn't do well because the narrative would be.. Paul cant win. That would not go well with Nevada. If not Top 3, its gg. I think its possible. I think Rand has a good chance for 2nd or 3rd, but that largely depends if he can overcome Carson and take back some votes from Cruz fans.

Rand will be top 3 in Iowa just by continuing what they're doing out there now.