Rubio gaining in NH with 3/4ths vote counted

[Jan2017]

Republican primary

[TABLE="class: eln-table eln-results-table"]
[TR]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-candidates"]Candidates[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-votes"]Vote[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-percent"]Pct.[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-delegates"]Delegates[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-trump-8639 eln-donald-trump eln-party-republican eln-has-image eln-winner"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Donald J. Trump[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes"]72,577[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent"]34.4%[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates eln-has-delegates"]10[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-kasich-36679 eln-john-kasich eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] John Kasich[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes"]34,596[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent"]16.4[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates eln-has-delegates"]3[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-cruz-61815 eln-ted-cruz eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Ted Cruz[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes"]24,156[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent"]11.5[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates eln-has-delegates"]2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-bush-1239 eln-jeb-bush eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Jeb Bush[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes"]23,578[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent"]11.2[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates eln-has-delegates"]2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-rubio-53044 eln-marco-rubio eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Marco Rubio[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes"]22,151[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent"]10.5[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

210,720 votes, 76% reporting (229 of 300 precincts)

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/new-hampshire

Cruz Jeb and Rubio neck and neck to "place" in this horse race down the stretch.

 

[Jan2017]

Republican primary

[TABLE="class: eln-table eln-results-table"]
[TR]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-candidates"]Candidates[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-votes"]Vote[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-percent"]Pct.[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-delegates"]Delegates[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-trump-8639 eln-donald-trump eln-party-republican eln-has-image eln-winner"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Donald J. Trump[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes"]73,609[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent"]34.5%[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates eln-has-delegates"]10[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-kasich-36679 eln-john-kasich eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] John Kasich[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes"]34,955[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent"]16.4[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates eln-has-delegates"]3[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-cruz-61815 eln-ted-cruz eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Ted Cruz[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes"]24,600[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent"]11.5[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates eln-has-delegates"]2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-bush-1239 eln-jeb-bush eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Jeb Bush[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes"]23,842[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent"]11.2[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates eln-has-delegates"]2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-rubio-53044 eln-marco-rubio eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Marco Rubio[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes"]22,353[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent"]10.5[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-candidate-rollup eln-others eln-party- eln-no-image eln-row-hidden"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Others[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes"]34,058[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent"]16.0[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
213,417 votes, 77% reporting (231 of 300 precincts)



Democratic primary

[TABLE="class: eln-table eln-results-table"]
[TR]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-candidates"]Candidates[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-votes"]Vote[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-percent"]Pct.[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-delegates"]Delegates[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-sanders-1445 eln-bernie-sanders eln-party-democrat eln-has-image eln-winner"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Bernie Sanders[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes"]112,666[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent"]59.6%[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates eln-has-delegates"]13[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-clinton-1746 eln-hillary-clinton eln-party-democrat eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Hillary Clinton[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes"]73,152[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent"]38.7[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates eln-has-delegates"]9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-other-999999 eln-other eln-party- eln-no-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Other[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes"]3,151[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent"]1.7[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

 

[AuH20]

Everything is breaking Trump's way atm. The entire field is muddled. Kasich riding momentum will not perform well in the upcoming SEC states. Rubio shot his toes off in the prior debate. It's going to come down to Pastor Rafael Cruz to pull a rabbit out of his bible and defeat Trump in South Carolina.

 

[Jan2017]

Now with 84% of vote in - those 3-4-5 spots are the same . . .
the bottom grouping shows Carson only 2.3 % . . . this should be it for him now.


[TABLE="class: eln-table eln-results-table, width: 564"]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-christie-60051 eln-chris-christie eln-party-republican eln-has-image eln-row-hidden"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"]Chris Christie[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]18,972[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]7.6[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-fiorina-60339 eln-carly-fiorina eln-party-republican eln-has-image eln-row-hidden"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Carly Fiorina[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]10,415[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]4.2[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-carson-64509 eln-ben-carson eln-party-republican eln-has-image eln-row-hidden"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Ben Carson[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]5,662[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]2.3[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-gilmore-45650 eln-jim-gilmore eln-party-republican eln-has-image eln-row-hidden"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Jim Gilmore[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]119[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]0.0[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-other-999999 eln-other eln-party- eln-no-image eln-row-hidden"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"]Other[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]4,319[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]1.7[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]-[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
250,316 votes, 84% reporting (252 of 300 precincts)

 

[Jan2017]

Could almost be spin as 11% tie for 3-4-5 with rounding -lol

[TABLE="class: eln-table eln-results-table, width: 564"]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-rubio-53044 eln-marco-rubio eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-cruz-61815 eln-ted-cruz eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Ted Cruz[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]30,264[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]11.5[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates eln-has-delegates, align: center"]2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-bush-1239 eln-jeb-bush eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"]
Jeb Bush[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]29,083[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]11.1[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates eln-has-delegates, align: center"]2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-rubio-53044 eln-marco-rubio eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"]
Marco Rubio[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]27,695[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]10.6[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
262,063 votes, 88% reporting (265 of 300 precincts)

 

[CPUd]

Cruz benefits from the split between Bush and Rubio. Cruz is #4 in many counties, including the 2 biggest ones. But he stays close enough for the split to matter. If Jeb was out, Kasich would be a much closer 2nd, Rubio and Christie a close 3rd,4th.

 

[Liberty74]

Carly and Carson should drop out now...

Kasich and Christie have no real national support as they are in the low single digits, hence should drop out...

Race is on between Trump, Cruz and Rubio if both decide to stay after SC.

Bush beat Rubio after several weeks of the media pumping Rubio LMAO.

Gary Johnson 2016 unless a Ron Paul or Judge NAP jumps in to beat Bloomberg for the Indy slot.

 

[adam220891]

Carly and Carson should drop out now...

Kasich and Christie have no real national support as they are in the low single digits, hence should drop out...

Race is on between Trump, Cruz and Rubio if both decide to stay after SC.

Bush beat Rubio after several weeks of the media pumping Rubio LMAO.

Gary Johnson 2016 unless a Ron Paul or Judge NAP jumps in to beat Bloomberg for the Indy slot.

Kasich finished second. Why would he drop? His plan was obviously to do well in NH and hope for a subsequent bump in future polls.

Don't confuse this for me thinking he has a chance. Just noting that he got the result he was looking for.

 

[Erazer]

There's no reason for Kasich to quit now.

 

[TheNewYorker]

Trump will be nominee of GOP. On GOP side, whoever wins NH becomes nominee, because it shows they can do well in the purple and blue states. Iowa winner is irrelevant for GOP. Iowa is a red state. GOP nominee will take red states anyway in the general.

For the demoncrats, it's opposite. NH winner (Sernie Banders) is irrelevant. Instead, Iowa winner will go on to be nominee. It shows they can do well in purple and red states, not just blue states. Clinton will be the nominee.

 

[TheNewYorker]

Trump will be nominee of GOP. On GOP side, whoever wins NH becomes nominee, because it shows they can do well in the purple and blue states. Iowa winner is irrelevant for GOP. Iowa is a red state. GOP nominee will take red states anyway in the general.

For the demoncrats, it's opposite. NH winner (Sernie Banders) is irrelevant. Instead, Iowa winner will go on to be nominee. It shows they can do well in purple and red states, not just blue states. Clinton will be the nominee.

The general will be Trump vs Hillary. As I predicted months ago and am still predicting. Trump and the Clintons are friends. Trump is running to get Hillary elected. He will end up going bonkers once nominated and lose the election. It's all part of the plan. Hillary knew she would have trouble after Obama getting elected, so she called up Trump to run as controlled opposition.

These people are intelligent and know how to play the game. They have been doing politics for years. This was all planned out.

 

[RonPaulMall]

Trump will be nominee of GOP. On GOP side, whoever wins NH becomes nominee, because it shows they can do well in the purple and blue states. Iowa winner is irrelevant for GOP. Iowa is a red state. GOP nominee will take red states anyway in the general.

For the demoncrats, it's opposite. NH winner (Sernie Banders) is irrelevant. Instead, Iowa winner will go on to be nominee. It shows they can do well in purple and red states, not just blue states. Clinton will be the nominee.

Iowa has voted for the Democrat in 5 out of the last 6 Presidential elections. It is not a "red state" at all. It should be a red state, and is a perfect example of the problems the GOP has had in attracting white voters in recent elections, but the same can be said of New Hampshire. Both these states should be solidly Republican, but aren't, and until the GOP can figure out how to win states like Iowa and New Hampshire they will keep losing the White House.

 

[Jan2017]

Iowa has voted for the Democrat in 5 out of the last 6 Presidential elections. It is not a "red state" at all. It should be a red state, and is a perfect example of the problems the GOP has had in attracting white voters in recent elections, but the same can be said of New Hampshire. Both these states should be solidly Republican, but aren't, and until the GOP can figure out how to win states like Iowa and New Hampshire they will keep losing the White House.

Iowa went with George W. in 2004, and was important for his nomination in 2000 I think -
It has a Republican governor and now two Republican Senators

I think Iowa is a battleground state.
Indiana is a traditional red state that lost to Obama (ok Chicago metro area factor) - it still should still be red state, but I dunno.

 

[willwash]

The general will be Trump vs Hillary. As I predicted months ago and am still predicting. Trump and the Clintons are friends. Trump is running to get Hillary elected. He will end up going bonkers once nominated and lose the election. It's all part of the plan. Hillary knew she would have trouble after Obama getting elected, so she called up Trump to run as controlled opposition.

These people are intelligent and know how to play the game. They have been doing politics for years. This was all planned out.

Trump is no one's dog on a leash. His ego is far too big. If he thinks he has a chance at genuinely winning, he's going to go for it.

6 months ago people were saying Trump had no real intention of being the GOP nominee; just of stirring up shit in the GOP, then running Independent to guarantee a Hillary win. I don't see that happening.

If Hillary's original plan was to use Trump as a tool to help her win, it was a huge mistake. The genie is out of the bottle and nothing will put him back in.

 

[AuH20]

Trump is no one's dog on a leash. His ego is far too big. If he thinks he has a chance at genuinely winning, he's going to go for it.

6 months ago people were saying Trump had no real intention of being the GOP nominee; just of stirring up shit in the GOP, then running Independent to guarantee a Hillary win. I don't see that happening.

If Hillary's original plan was to use Trump as a tool to help her win, it was a huge mistake. The genie is out of the bottle and nothing will put him back in.

Correct. Trump would never risk his empire and brand for the Clintons. The payoff is too small. How do the Clintons restore his reputation among the SJW oriented business community, if this is all a ruse? The theory is not logical. Then factor in all the years Trump toiled in the Reform Party and you can start to assemble the pieces.

 

[CPUd]

Trump is no one's dog on a leash. His ego is far too big. If he thinks he has a chance at genuinely winning, he's going to go for it.

6 months ago people were saying Trump had no real intention of being the GOP nominee; just of stirring up shit in the GOP, then running Independent to guarantee a Hillary win. I don't see that happening.

If Hillary's original plan was to use Trump as a tool to help her win, it was a huge mistake. The genie is out of the bottle and nothing will put him back in.

In a general election, Trump only brings half the GOP to the polls at most. He will bring all the Democrats and independents to vote against him, no matter who the Dems are running.

 

[AuH20]

Trump is no one's dog on a leash. His ego is far too big. If he thinks he has a chance at genuinely winning, he's going to go for it.

6 months ago people were saying Trump had no real intention of being the GOP nominee; just of stirring up shit in the GOP, then running Independent to guarantee a Hillary win. I don't see that happening.

If Hillary's original plan was to use Trump as a tool to help her win, it was a huge mistake. The genie is out of the bottle and nothing will put him back in.

Preliminary polls have Trump getting 20 to 25% of democrats who feel that the party of Obama has left them behind. He's also getting 20% of African Americans, which leads me to believe that his Apprentice persona and alpha male personality, is paying dividends.

 

[PaleoPaul]

Iowa went with George W. in 2004, and was important for his nomination in 2000 I think -
It has a Republican governor and now two Republican Senators

I think Iowa is a battleground state.
Indiana is a traditional red state that lost to Obama (ok Chicago metro area factor) - it still should still be red state, but I dunno.

You can factor in Indianapolis too. Indianapolis and its suburbs are swiftly trending blue.