Ron Paul Takes Lead at 27.5% in Iowa KCRG/Gazette Poll

[RonPaulFanInGA]

http://www.kcrg.com/news/local/Vote-2012-Ron-Paul-Takes-Lead-in-KCRGGazette-Poll-135977303.html

CEDAR RAPIDS, Iowa - Just two weeks before Iowa’s first-in-the-nation precinct caucuses there’s a new leader, but the race remains “remarkably fluid,” according to a new Iowa State University/Gazette/KCRG poll likely Republican caucus-goers.

Texas Rep. Ron Paul has moved into first place – the fifth candidate to hold that spot since the mid-August Iowa GOP Straw Poll. The data collected between Dec. 8 and 18 suggest that unlike the previous frontrunners, Paul’s support is more solid.

Paul is the first choice of 27.5 percent of 333 likely caucus-goers among the 740 registered Republicans and 200 registered independents contacted by ISU. That’s up from 20.4 percent in an ISU/Gazette/KCRG poll in November. He’s followed closely by former U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich whose support increased from 4.8 percent to 25.3 percent. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney came in at 17.5 percent, up from 16.3.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry is the only other candidate to poll in double digits at 11.2 percent – an increase from 7.9 percent a month earlier.

Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann slipped four-tenths of a percentage point to 7.4 percent. Former Pennsylvania Gov. Rick Santorum edged up two-tenths of a percentage point to at 4.9 percent. Georgia businessman Herman Cain, who suspended his campaign while he was the frontrunner at 24.5 percent, fell to 0.4 percent. Former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman polled 0.3 percent and “can’t decide” at 5.4 percent. The poll's margin of error is plus or minus 5 percentage points.

 

[Fermli]

why has no one posted this poll yet. this is great news! RCP should be including it tomorrow. They included the last poll done by ISU/Gazette/KCRG in November.

 

[JoshLowry]

 

[RonPaulFanInGA]

why has no one posted this poll yet. this is great news! RCP should be including it tomorrow. They included the last poll done by ISU/Gazette/KCRG in November.

Google News said it was posted five minutes ago.

 

[tsai3904]

More data here:

http://www.news.iastate.edu/news/2011/dec/ISUpoll2

 

[Karsten]

nevermind

 

[sofia]

"Remarkably fluid" my ass!

Once you go Ron u never go back!

 

[SchleckBros]

Ceiling was at 25%.

And it is now moving up to 30%

 

[Fermli]

ISU/Gazette/KCRG - Iowa Poll
333 likely caucus voters
12/8 - 12/18

Paul 28
Gingrich 25
Romney 18
Perry 11
Bachmann 7
Santorum 5
Huntsman 0

 

[ryanmkeisling]

These polls just keep getting better!

 

[archangel689]

GOOD. Win by a landslide that'll shut em the hell up!

 

[braane]

27.5% is amazing! Just two more weeks to weather the media's firestorm, we can do this!

 

[schiffheadbaby]

can i get a breakdown of how many of our voters are "firm voters" compared to the salamander and mitt

 

[Fermli]

Google News said it was posted five minutes ago.

the kcrg link says its at least an hour old. be quick! hah, just kidding. thanks for posting.

 

[sofia]

Ceiling was at 25%.

And it is now moving up to 30%

It's like the Dallas Cowboys stadium......ceiling is retractable

 

[Fermli]

can i get a breakdown of how many of our voters are "firm voters" compared to the salamander and mitt

..

While Paul’s lead is easily within the margin of error, James McCormick, professor and chair of political science at Iowa State and coordinator of the poll, says the polling found that 51 percent of those naming the libertarian-leaning Texan as their first choice are “definitely” backing him.

The percentage for the next two candidates is much weaker, at 16.1 percent for Romney and 15.2 for Gingrich, McCormick said.

 

[Karsten]

Remember just a week ago most polls were showing us in the teens. I think we owe a lot to the brochures to be honest.

 

[cdc482]

Gingrich is surging!?

 

[tsai3904]

Gingrich is surging!?

No. This poll was conducted over 11 days.

 

[schiffheadbaby]

..

thanks boss, didn't see that on first glance. promising