Ron Paul Republican: Ordered By Odds of Success

life_boy said:
Terbolizard has Republican competition. If he can seal the nomination then he could have a very good chance.
Click to expand...

I agree. Since you mentioned it, I added some info on that:
"three candidates have sought the Republican nomination including Iraq War Veteran Eric Egland, former Auburn mayor Mike Holmes and Theodore Terbolizard"
 
da32130 said:
Any reason why?

If their isn't much distinction between each of the MD candidates chances I may just keep them all at the same level.
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It's less about the distinction among the RP Republicans and more about the District they're in and the opponent they're facing.

District 2 is merely "mostly liberal" as opposed to the "overwhelmingly liberal" Districts 4, 5, and 7.

The District 2 opponent is Dutch Ruppersberger, only in his 3rd term.
The District 4 opponent is Donna Edwards, who beat the incumbent Al Wynn in the primary on Tuesday. If she took down the incumbent, she's going to be formidable.
The District 5 opponent is Steny Hoyer, Senate Majority Leader, and longest-serving Congressman in Maryland history. Easy win for us. :rolleyes:
The District 7 opponent is Elijah Cummings, who replaced Kweisi Mfume in 1996.

I'm in District 7 and I will fight all the way to November for Mike. A good showing, even if not an outright win, will wake up both parties to our growing influence, especially in a state like MD. I do think the Presidential race will make it tough. How many Democrats are going to pull the trigger for Obama and then vote for a Republican Congressman? Not as many as I would like, I'm sure.

However, we need to build up the base now. A Democratic President and Democratic Congress who do what Democrats do for 2 years will open the door wide for 2010. But this thing starts now. I bet if a poll were taken now, Districts 5 and 7 would show at least 80% for the Dem. If we can get that under 60%, what a huge showing that would be.

Z
 
Just to add...

Added:
7) Jason Thompson (GA-7th,Primary: July 15, 2008)
http://www.votejasonthompson.us/
John Linder(R-I)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Linder
In 2006, he was re-elected with 70.9% of the vote.
Click to expand...


John Linder has become your typical "neo-con" and has quite a few Republicans unhappy with him. This is a very heavy Republican District and if he can be defeated in the primary this district can be won.



Hello,


My name is Jason Thompson, and I am a Republican running for Congress in Georgia’s 7th Congressional District. I have been a steady worker in the grassroots Ron Paul campaign, and I think you’ll find I share many of his small government ideals.

My background is pretty simple. I am a Social Studies Teacher who has served our country in the United States Marine Corps. My Social Studies background gives me an understanding of the working of our government and the makeup of our Constitution. As a Marine I took a direct oath to defend that Constitution.

I am asking for your support in this upcoming election season.

Many might worry over not voting for John Linder, the incumbent. However, in our district the Republican candidate is assured a victory. That being the case, it is my belief that we need a Republican Candidate who will stand up for the small government, and fiscally conservative ideals that our party seems to have lost.

John Linder has proven he is not that person.

He has followed the Republican Party and has voted for many of the social programs that have driven up the domestic spending in our country the last few years (NCLB being the most prominent one, being he was a co-sponsor and still proudly defends the program).

It is time for a new direction for the Republican Party. That direction is: a return to the principles of small government, low taxes, and more personal freedom that we have always stood for.

Help me lead the party in that direction.

Please, visit my website at www.votejasonthompson.us

Sign in, volunteer, and donate.


Thank you,


Jason Thompson
Click to expand...
 
zadrock said:
It's less about the distinction among the RP Republicans and more about the District they're in and the opponent they're facing.

District 2 is merely "mostly liberal" as opposed to the "overwhelmingly liberal" Districts 4, 5, and 7.

The District 2 opponent is Dutch Ruppersberger, only in his 3rd term.
The District 4 opponent is Donna Edwards, who beat the incumbent Al Wynn in the primary on Tuesday. If she took down the incumbent, she's going to be formidable.
The District 5 opponent is Steny Hoyer, Senate Majority Leader, and longest-serving Congressman in Maryland history. Easy win for us. :rolleyes:
The District 7 opponent is Elijah Cummings, who replaced Kweisi Mfume in 1996.

I'm in District 7 and I will fight all the way to November for Mike. A good showing, even if not an outright win, will wake up both parties to our growing influence, especially in a state like MD. I do think the Presidential race will make it tough. How many Democrats are going to pull the trigger for Obama and then vote for a Republican Congressman? Not as many as I would like, I'm sure.

However, we need to build up the base now. A Democratic President and Democratic Congress who do what Democrats do for 2 years will open the door wide for 2010. But this thing starts now. I bet if a poll were taken now, Districts 5 and 7 would show at least 80% for the Dem. If we can get that under 60%, what a huge showing that would be.

Z
Click to expand...


Thanks. I included a link to this comment.
 
usmc4paul said:
John Linder has become your typical "neo-con" and has quite a few Republicans unhappy with him. This is a very heavy Republican District and if he can be defeated in the primary this district can be won.
Click to expand...

Thanks for the info. Any idea of what it would take to beat Linder?
 
Added:

3) John Mitchel, LtCol, USAF (Ret) (OH-District 7)
http://www.reformcongress.com/
Open Seat (had been republican)
Dave Hobson (R-I, stepping down)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dave_Hobson

3) John Wallace (NY-District 20, Primary: Sept. 9, 2008)
NOTE: Wants to Finish Surge and Iraq Conflict
http://www.johnwallaceforcongress.com/
Kirsten Gillibrand (D-I)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kirsten_Gillibrand
only in office 2 years, normally a republican district


11) John D. Diamond (OH 15th district, Primary: March 4, 2008)
http://www.diamondforcongress.com/Home.htm
Open Seat (normally heavily Democrat)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electio..._15th_District

11) Dave Ryon ((OH 12th district, Primary: March 4, 2008)
http://www.daveryon.com/
Pat Tiberi (R-I)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pat_Tiberi

11) Tom Brinkman (OH 2nd district,Primary: March 4, 2008)
http://www.gobrinkman.com/
Jean Schmidt (R-I)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean_Schmidt
 
A little name recognition

Thanks for the info. Any idea of what it would take to beat Linder?
Click to expand...


It is going to take about 44,000 votes.

I've had emails saying Linder stood up and lied to folks at his last "town hall" meeting. There is a great undercurrent of resentment towards the man.

However, the big problem is he and Neal Boortz (sp) wrote the "Fair Tax" book together.

So name recognition is a key.

That is going to take money.

We recently had the voter list of past primary Republican Voters donated to us, and I every day we have someone else volunteer.

It can be done. We are fighting for the right cause, and we will continue.

thank you.
 
Yes

Even though he voted for the Patriot act (and to make it forever), and all the other "Acts"

Even though he supports the war in Iraq

Even though he voted for NCLB, and Medicare "D"

Even though he is a NAFTA and CAFTA Supporter.

There are folks who support Dr. Paul who say they will still vote for Linder because of the Fair Tax.

Hopefully, with name recognition will come the understand that he isn't the only one in the race that supports tax reform.
 
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I think Theodore Terbolizard should be bumped down. He had low name recognition. He raised very little money. After the DUI, I think a win is very unlikely.

I think we should focus on Murray Sabrin and Jim Forsythe. Because they are the only two Ron Paul endorsed, if they win it immediately gives Ron Paul more power within the GOP. Also, Murray Sabrin is the only one running for the Senate, which makes him especially important. It is Lautenberg's year to lose, and I want him to lose to Murray Sabrin.
 
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We need to work very quickly because many of the candidates are in primaries that occur by June 3rd. Every candidate faces an uphill battle. They need as much support as possible NOW!
 
boggie08 said:
I think Theodore Terbolizard should be bumped down. He had low name recognition. He raised very little money. After the DUI, I think a win is very unlikely.

I think we should focus on Murray Sabrin and Jim Forsythe. Because they are the only two Ron Paul endorsed, if they win it immediately gives Ron Paul more power within the GOP. Also, Murray Sabrin is the only one running for the Senate, which makes him especially important. It is Lautenberg's year to lose, and I want him to lose to Murray Sabrin.
Click to expand...

I didn't change the order, but made note of the DUI. Also made note of who Ron Paul endorsed.
 
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