Ron Paul Odds for 2012: 50/1

[Aratus]

if you want to crossbet, and counterbet, lay 100 on obama,
lay 100 on palin, and then bet 200 on ron paul at the 50 to 1 odds

if ron paul wins, your initial $200 becomes $10,ooo and you are in rEVOLUTIOnARy bliss
as you can actually get some bills paid. if "divine sarah" wins, your initial $400 dollar
decision to counterbet has you with a $300 profit most happily. this is sorta like
what voting g.o.p would do in 2012 would do to us as a country...methinks!
now as to why you tossed good money after bad when laying a C~note
on our current potus, okaaaay... if he squeaks in on this one again...
thats how things will be feeling. full-time becomes part-time and
yes, you need some compensation for the wad of cash you
just blew with all the 1990s and bush years panache...
as you get your initial 100 dollar bet back, the neat
differential that is the payout is our inflation rate...

cheer up! laying the $300 on both ron apul and divine sarah
has one at least briefly with hope voting one's heart...
even if the opinion polls have you seeing the wood for the trees!

 

[eok321]

Republican Presidential Nominee

David Petraeus 20 - 1
Ron Paul 25 - 1
Sarah Palin 3 - 1
John Ensign 25 - 1
Mitt Romney 5 - 1
George Allen 33 - 1
Mike Huckabee 7 - 1
Condoleezza Rice 33 - 1
Bobby Jindal 12 - 1
John McCain 33 - 1
Jon Huntsman 12 - 1
Bill First 40 - 1
Fred Thompson 16 - 1
George Pataki 40 - 1
Bill Owens 16 - 1
Sam Brownback 50 - 1
Lindsey Graham 20 - 1
Arnold Schwarzenegger 50 - 1
Jeb Bush 20 - 1
Dick Cheney 100 - 1
Rudolph Giuliani 20 - 1
Laura Bush 500 - 1
Tom Ridge 25 - 1

Winning Party
Democrats 4 - 6
Republicans 11 - 10
Any Other 80 - 1

Paddy Power U.S Presidential Betting

 

[Austin]

Republican Presidential Nominee

David Petraeus 20 - 1
Ron Paul 25 - 1
Sarah Palin 3 - 1
John Ensign 25 - 1
Mitt Romney 5 - 1
George Allen 33 - 1
Mike Huckabee 7 - 1
Condoleezza Rice 33 - 1
Bobby Jindal 12 - 1
John McCain 33 - 1
Jon Huntsman 12 - 1
Bill First 40 - 1
Fred Thompson 16 - 1
George Pataki 40 - 1
Bill Owens 16 - 1
Sam Brownback 50 - 1
Lindsey Graham 20 - 1
Arnold Schwarzenegger 50 - 1
Jeb Bush 20 - 1
Dick Cheney 100 - 1
Rudolph Giuliani 20 - 1
Laura Bush 500 - 1
Tom Ridge 25 - 1

Winning Party
Democrats 4 - 6
Republicans 11 - 10
Any Other 80 - 1

Paddy Power U.S Presidential Betting

Interesting.

 

[ClayTrainor]

I'll take those Odds!

 

[brandon]

I'll take those Odds!

Considering I've lost several hundred dollars playing roulette in the last month, I'm not satisfied with those odds. We need to get him to like 1 - 4 then i'll feel safe.

 

[PureCommonSense]

If we start raising money early enough, we can make those odds skyrocket. And Ron Paul has to spend a LOT of time in New Hampshire (the remainder in Iowa in the beginning) and then Nevada this time around without wasting time in places like New York or South Carolina. Prioritize to win strategy.

 

[homah]

Keep in mind that the true odds on these bets are much worse than are being offered by the sportsbook. They might be offering 50/1 on Paul, but his true odds are much, much worse. They are basically fishing for sucker bets.

 

[homah]

Lindsey Graham 40/1? What are these oddsmakers smoking? That video of him calling bigots whoever opposes his amnesty should ruin any chance he has.

They aren't smoking anything. They are relying on the general public smoking something and placing the bet. If the true odds are 10000/1 and they can get away with offering only 40/1, they will gladly do so.

 

[dr. hfn]

Doug Wead has it all thought out

 

[Lucille]

The PC crowd will crush him again. McArdle was proving (re-proving?) her anti-racist bonafides again this weekend by bring up the newsletters. If Paul ran against Bambam in '12, it is guaranteed the MSM (including all the so-called libertarian publications) would see to it those newsletters would be front page news.

Re-reading all that refreshed my hatred for the liberaltarians.

 

[rsvforronpaul]

Mark Sanford will be the next president!!!

 

[Paul or not at all]

it's still to early to tell. There is no guarentee that there will even be an election (or an America) in 2012

 

[amonasro]

it's still to early to tell. There is no guarentee that there will even be an election (or an America) in 2012

There will. And the people will desperately need someone who can fix the economy, not another status-quo liar.

 

[Lovecraftian4Paul]

Interesting. I don't understand how these statistics are calculated though. And why do they even bother with Democrats? We all know Obama is going to be their candidate in 2012 again, unless something cataclysmic happens to him. He could do a more crap job than Bush--and, in all likelyhood, he will--and still get re-nominated. Neither of the two parties in modern times have ever dumped an incumbent President. Even LBJ voluntarily decided not to go for re-election, he probably would have gotten their nomination again if he had.

 

[PureCommonSense]

I hope Sanford and Paul don't split the liberty vote if they BOTH go for the GOP nomination. Sometimes its better to have one figure to rally behind.

 

[eok321]

Update..

Republican Nominee

Mitt Romney 8/13
Rick Perry 5/2
Herman Cain 14/1
Ron Paul 14/1
Michele Bachmann 20/1
Jon Huntsman 22/1
Paul Ryan 33/1
Rudolph Giuliani 40/1
Newt Gingrich 66/1

Next President

Barack Obama 4/5
Mitt Romney 2/1
Rick Perry 7/1
Ron Paul 16/1
Herman Cain 25/1
Jon Huntsman 33/1
Hillary Clinton 33/1
Michele Bachmann 40/1
Paul Ryan 66/1
Rudolph Giuliani 80/1
Joe Biden 80/1

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/politics/other-politics/us-politics?ev_oc_grp_ids=482041

 

[eok321]

Iowa Caucus

Mitt Romney 6/4
Newt Gingrich 13/8
Herman Cain 5/1
Ron Paul 5/1
Rick Perry 9/1
Michele Bachmann 12/1
Rick Santorum 20/1
Jon Huntsman 40/1


Republican Nominee

Mitt Romney 1/2
Newt Gingrich 7/2
Rick Perry 10/1
Ron Paul 10/1
Herman Cain 14/1
Jon Huntsman 25/1
Michele Bachmann 50/1

Next President

Barack Obama 10/11
Mitt Romney 15/8
Newt Gingrich 8/1
Ron Paul 16/1
Rick Perry 22/1
Herman Cain 22/1

 

[eok321]

Ron Now 17/2 for the Nomination

Markets reacting to the slew of better polls

 

[eok321]

To Win Iowa
Newt Gingrich 8/11
Ron Paul 5/4
Mitt Romney 10/1


To Win New Hampshire
Mitt Romney 4/6
Newt Gingrich 2/1
Ron Paul 7/1


Republican Nominee
Newt 6/5
Mitt 6/5
Ron 7/1


Next President
Obama 5/6
Newt 10/3
Mitt 10/3
Ron 14/1

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/politics/other-politics/us-politics?ev_oc_grp_ids=482041