Ron Paul can win the Iowa caucus
With 13,111 new peace voters, Ron Paul can win the Iowa caucus which
will shape the national media coverage.
Washington, DC - If 2008 turnout and a recent Des Moines Register poll
give an accurate picture of what would happen if the Iowa Republican
presidential caucus were held today, that would indicate that the
addition of 13,111 new peace voters by January 3 could carry the Iowa
caucus for Ron Paul.
I claim the following:
1. It is plausible that this result could come to pass, and therefore
the attempt to bring it about is a winnable fight. The number of
potential voters who need to be moved is "relatively small", and while
victory would require some 13,000 peace voters to behave differently
than they have behaved in the past, the rare absence of a contested
Democratic presidential caucus, combined with the unhappiness of peace
voters about the war in Afghanistan, the failure of Washington to
significantly cut military spending, and the prospect of US-Israeli
military confrontation with Iran create ideal conditions for mobilising
peace voters to behave differently than they have behaved in the past.
....
http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2011/11/2011111614466642583.html
An Al Jazeera columnist plumping for Ron Paul? Stranger things have
happened.
I bring this up because it is worth considering, not only in Iowa but elsewhere.
With 13,111 new peace voters, Ron Paul can win the Iowa caucus which
will shape the national media coverage.
Washington, DC - If 2008 turnout and a recent Des Moines Register poll
give an accurate picture of what would happen if the Iowa Republican
presidential caucus were held today, that would indicate that the
addition of 13,111 new peace voters by January 3 could carry the Iowa
caucus for Ron Paul.
I claim the following:
1. It is plausible that this result could come to pass, and therefore
the attempt to bring it about is a winnable fight. The number of
potential voters who need to be moved is "relatively small", and while
victory would require some 13,000 peace voters to behave differently
than they have behaved in the past, the rare absence of a contested
Democratic presidential caucus, combined with the unhappiness of peace
voters about the war in Afghanistan, the failure of Washington to
significantly cut military spending, and the prospect of US-Israeli
military confrontation with Iran create ideal conditions for mobilising
peace voters to behave differently than they have behaved in the past.
....
http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2011/11/2011111614466642583.html
An Al Jazeera columnist plumping for Ron Paul? Stranger things have
happened.
I bring this up because it is worth considering, not only in Iowa but elsewhere.
