Ron Paul can still get 2nd in NV. Here's the math.

[Paulistinian]

Did our people wait behind at the Adelson caucus to become delegates?

 

[Paulistinian]

Did our people wait behind at the Adelson caucus to become delegates?

Is that why they are doing the slow count? To get people to go home and not become delegates in Clark?

 

[rachmiel]

Did our people wait behind at the Adelson caucus to become delegates?

On the live stream, I saw quite a few of the RP speakers sticking around for the counting and later. So I think so.

 

[JJ2]

The 50 Ron Paul voters (my guess) that were turned away because they refused to perjure themselves may be the difference!

 

[JJ2]

Did our people wait behind at the Adelson caucus to become delegates?

The Adelson caucus was not allowed to select delegates (since it wasn't for a specific precinct, I guess?).

 

[The One]

The 50 Ron Paul voters (my guess) that were turned away because they refused to perjure themselves may be the difference!

//

 

[1836]

That's a bit uncalled for...

 

[The One]

That's a bit uncalled for...

Didn't mean it in the spirit in which it was apparently received...but deleted nevertheless.

 

[Draco33]

Holy shit.

Latest numbers from Clark confirm this line of logic.

We are closing the gap on Newt. It was about 1260 votes, now it is only 1240. Seems small, but a couple of updates have inched us closer. That's with 5.8% of Clark reporting....

Clark 5.8% reporting:

Mitt 54.7% 400
Paul 21.5% 157
Newt 15.8% 116
Rick 7.8% 57

Based on these percentages, if we extrapolate them to the model of 35,000 total votes (meaning 18846 more voters from the beginning of this thread's original vote count) then:

Romney 17166
Newt 7225
Paul 7093
Rick 3571

In other words, if the numbers stay similar to right now in Clark, things will be very, very close.

In fact, if they were that close, the Adelson caucus we crushed at the end of the night would be enough to win it by a nose.

I was doing the same math till is dawned on me at not all caucus have an equal number of voters .... so the math isn't accurate.
However .. I do believe this one is going to be close.

Lets go bunny ranch girls!

 

[1836]

I was doing the same math till is dawned on me at not all caucus have an equal number of voters .... so the math isn't accurate.
However .. I do believe this one is going to be close.

Lets go bunny ranch girls!

Right, it's absolutely pure speculation that those percentages would end up being near the real ones. The point is, we are within striking distance. This isn't your usual "hopeful we can come back" scenario, the fact is that we really have a shot at closing this gap because the majority of votes aren't even counted yet and it is clear Newt's best areas are well behind him.

 

[Aratus]

anyway... Intrade has Dr. Ron loosing second to Newt even though Clark Co and Lander are less than 50% in!
i think 1836 is 100% correct. we might see Doctor Ron Paul in second or so darn close as to be a photo finish.

 

[splint]

My ultra fuzzy math prediction based on Clark County results @ 5.2% reporting.

Clark County - 100%
RP - 14789
NG - 10927

Final Nevada Results
RP - 17832
NG - 15214

 

[JJ2]

It's going to get very close. That's why they are giving themselves another 8 hours to rig the results.

 

[Aratus]

do not jest. i feel that 2nd place could
be as tight as first place was for iowa.

 

[JJ2]

Maybe there will be some missing precincts again?

 

[splint]

It's going to get very close. That's why they are giving themselves another 8 hours to rig the results.

Yeah Ron Paul got 2nd, but i'll be damned if I'm going to let that be plastered in the Sunday morning paper. Let's hold the results until it's too late.

 

[Student Of Paulism]

It's going to get very close. That's why they are giving themselves another 8 hours to rig the results.

Yep, that is exactly why it cracks me up when some people here try refuting voter fraud. It's an open secret this crap goes on, if Ron can't take a placing in 1st or 2nd by a wide margin. If public polling shows him too close to Newt, and that is reflected in the actual caucus, you can bet it will be switched to show Newt ahead, and in the MOE so no one can complain about it, and if they try to, it gets rejected based on that fallacy.

I can rattle off 15 different signs of fraud in IA, it's a dead horse already and something that simply can't be argued unless you just want to remain ignorant to it and not realize the megalithic power grab that these cockroaches refuse to let go of. Ffs, since when does it take this long to get the results in? How much more obvious can it be?

 

[Peace&Freedom]

It's going to get very close. That's why they are giving themselves another 8 hours to rig the results.

That, or to deprive a 2nd place win for Paul to be included in the Sunday morning paper news cycle.

 

[John F Kennedy III]

Lol Newt is ahead of us? Were fucked.

 

[seapilot]

Holy shit.

Latest numbers from Clark confirm this line of logic.

We are closing the gap on Newt. It was about 1260 votes, now it is only 1240. Seems small, but a couple of updates have inched us closer. That's with 5.8% of Clark reporting....

Clark 5.8% reporting:

Mitt 54.7% 400
Paul 21.5% 157
Newt 15.8% 116
Rick 7.8% 57

Based on these percentages, if we extrapolate them to the model of 35,000 total votes (meaning 18846 more voters from the beginning of this thread's original vote count) then:

Romney 17166
Newt 7225
Paul 7093
Rick 3571

In other words, if the numbers stay similar to right now in Clark, things will be very, very close.

In fact, if they were that close, the Adelson caucus we crushed at the end of the night would be enough to win it by a nose.