Romney Lost Because of Ron Paul Supporters? Speculative But Possible

[sailingaway]

The GOP must respect the Ron Paul supporter.

That is, at least, one of the lessons being derived from the 2012 Presidential election results, according to one analyst.

According to an analysis at PolicyMic.com, Ron Paul supporters may have contributed to the cause of Mitt Romney’s defeat in at least five states.

“New analysis reveals that in no less than five states, Romney’s margin of loss to President Obama in the general election was less than the number of votes received by Ron Paul in that state’s primary,” wrote PolicyMic contributor Hamdan Azhar.

In the states of Connecticut, Florida, New Hampshire, Ohio, and Virginia a combined total of 71 electoral colleges votes were at stake. Had Romney won those states and the support of the Ron Paul voter (assuming he didn’t win any or much of the Ron Paul vote in those states), Romney would have also won the electoral college in a narrow 277-261 victory, Azhar argued.

For example, in Connecticut where Romney’s loss margin was 7,614, Ron Paul’s primary vote count from the primaries held earlier in 2012 was 8,032. Had Ron Paul supporters not thrown their support to Romney and stayed home, Azhar explains that it did contribute to a loss for Romney in that state.

The margin of victory for President Obama in New Hampshire was 40,421 and the number of people who voted for Ron Paul in the New Hampshire Republican primary was 56,872.

“In New Hampshire, 71 percent of Paul votes are needed to make up the margin, while in Ohio and Virginia, that number is closer to 95 percent,” Azhar wrote.

Obama’s margin of victory was 107,241 in Ohio; and Ron Paul received 113,256 votes during primary season there.

more at link: http://politic365.com/2012/11/27/ro...ron-paul-supporters-speculative-but-possible/

 

[nobody's_hero]

Hmm . . .

Romney got 2 million less votes than McCain did in 2008. I like to think there are at least 2 million of us.

Then again, Obama got a whopping ten million less votes than he did in 2008, and if we'd had ten million democrats helping us out in the primary, we wouldn't be having conversations like this, lol. Ron Paul would be serving 4 more years in office.

 

[Mr.NoSmile]

I feel that putting this within the context of the rules change, power grab and other antics at the Republican National Convention in Tampa not only would have helped flesh out this article, but shed some more light on just what led to Romney's downfall.

 

[sevin]

Another example of someone assuming all Ron Paul supporters would have chosen Romney as the lesser of two evils.

 

[Spikender]

Perhaps we did play a role, but I also like to think that Romney deserves most of the blame for losing.

He's just a loser. Plain and simple. He brought nothing new to the table and was a lame brain who deserved to lose. Just like Obama, although, unfortunately for us, one of the two losers gets to be a winner every election.

 

[kahless]

The GOP and Romney campaign did everything possible to ensure I would write-in Ron Paul even though it would be listed as "Scatter" where I live.

 

[VIDEODROME]

FOX News and people like John Gibson or Dick Morris deserve blame for being in the bag for Romney and pushing this guy as the "presumed" nominee.

Honestly though, I also wonder if Mormonism really was to weird for some people. My mom asked her church pastor about the election and he said he didn't know if he could vote for a Mormon.

Also in more simple terms how to you square RomneyCare versus Obamacare? Romney failed to make a clear distinction on that with the public I think.

 

[John F Kennedy III]

FOX News and people like John Gibson or Dick Morris deserve blame for being in the bag for Romney and pushing this guy as the "presumed" nominee.

Honestly though, I also wonder if Mormonism really was to weird for some people. My mom asked her church pastor about the election and he said he didn't know if he could vote for a Mormon.

Also in more simple terms how to you square RomneyCare versus Obamacare? Romney failed to make a clear distinction on that with the public I think.

Correction: They were in the bag for Obama. Remember, it was the Establishment's plan all along for Obama to win.

 

[Starfield]

The analysis appears to have been done before all the returns were in, so it appears bogus. I don't think the numbers ultimately worked out the way the article says they did.

 

[Anti-Neocon]

The analysis appears to have been done before all the returns were in, so it appears bogus. I don't think the numbers ultimately worked out the way the article says they did.

Yep. Willard lot by 272,059 in CT, 143,360 in VA, and 74,309 in FL. I've seen this article posted here numerous times in different forms, but it's still bogus.

 

[jmdrake]

Hmm . . .

Romney got 2 million less votes than McCain did in 2008. I like to think there are at least 2 million of us.

I doubt that many of us voted for McCain in 2008.

Then again, Obama got a whopping ten million less votes than he did in 2008, and if we'd had ten million democrats helping us out in the primary, we wouldn't be having conversations like this, lol. Ron Paul would be serving 4 more years in office.

Well some of us were saying we should have done more to reach out to disgruntled dems. Oh well.....

 

[trey4sports]

I hope he DID lose because of us.

Patriot-act supportin', RomneyCare creatin', bailout lovin', war-mongering liberal DESERVED to lose. It's just a shame the other guy had to win.

 

[Fredom101]

How is this shocking or surprising. Romney needed all the help he could get. In many states RP got 10-15% of the vote in the primaries. Romney lost to McCain who lost to Obama. Anyone could have predicted a Romney loss to Obama long before it happened. InTrade had it right once again.

 

[Constitutional Paulicy]

He may or may not have won without us, but one thing is certain, he never stood a chance without us.

 

[Kregisen]

One thing is for certain: A republican will not be able to win in 2016 without the votes of the liberty movement. This is why Rand Paul is the GOP's only hope.

If the GOP simply adopts states rights for gay marriage and marijuana legalization (I bet another dozen states will have marijuana legal by next election anyway), and admits that there is HUGE waste in our world defense budget (over $1 trillion....which is enough to give 100,000 citizens $1 million every year), then they would steamroll the Democrats every election. The majority of America wants low taxes and the government out of their lives. The thing that hurts the GOP so much is their liberalness on social issues, trying to get the government to control people's lives in any way possible.

 

[LibertyEagle]

I think it was largely the failure of his campaign's GOTV. After reading about that big mess, that cost them a ton of votes.

 

[Anti Federalist]

He may or may not have won without us, but one thing is certain, he never stood a chance without us.

That's all that needs to be said about it.

 

[nobody's_hero]

I doubt that many of us voted for McCain in 2008.

Eh, you're right. That's wasn't what I mean to imply but I guess it was not a good way to look at it. One reason it's so hard to measure Ron Paul's support is because it's difficult to measure the number of voters who don't, well, . . . vote. I'm sure we had a lot of people who were so disgusted after the RNC convention that they just stayed home on election day, and I can't really blame them.

 

[nobody's_hero]

I think it was largely the failure of his campaign's GOTV. After reading about that big mess, that cost them a ton of votes.

Romney had very little grassroots support. I think a lot of people humored romney by going out and listening to him speak, and they were resolved to vote for him over the alternative, but I never saw much action by regular people other than a few yard signs spread around. They don't have people making youtube tribute videos and phone-from-home stuff like Ron Paul.

 

[FindLiberty]

I hope he DID lose because of us.Patriot-act supportin', RomneyCare creatin', bailout lovin', war-mongering liberal DESERVED to lose. It's just a shame the other guy had to win.

:->