Paul isn't going to win California. A new rasmussen's poll confirms Romney's surge in California as it has McCain and Romney tied at 38. A win in California is huge for Romney and devastating for McCain as he was leading big and got the governor's endorsement. With that said, McCain is still going to win the big winner take all states like N.Y., N.J., Arizona, Missouri, Connecticut. Romney needs to win a lot of the states that haven't been polled yet to remain close. He also has the lead in the latest Georgia poll and needs to win that state. Huckabee may win Arkansas and maybe Georgia or Tennessee, but I think he and Paul will drop out Tuesday night.