Reuters 5 day moving avg: Gilmore (2.8%) surges above Rand (2.1%)

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Businessman Donald Trump 38.0%
Tex. Sen. Ted Cruz 11.6%
Surgeon and author Ben Carson 11.5%
Fla. Sen. Marco Rubio 8.2%
Wouldn’t vote 7.4%
Former Fla. Gov. Jeb Bush 5.7%
Former Ark. Gov. Mike Huckabee 3.2%
Ohio Gov. John Kasich 3.0%
Former Sen. candidate and business executive Carly Fiorina 2.8%
Former Va. Gov. Jim Gilmore 2.8%
Ken. Sen. Rand Paul 2.1%
NJ Gov. Chris Christie 1.8%
Former NY Gov. George Pataki 1.4%
Former Penn. Sen. Rick Santorum 0.1%

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR130/filters/PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20151113-20151124/type/day
 
The Reuters Poll means nothing for the debates, nor Iowa, nor New Hampshire. The only thing it is used for is for Trump's team to tweet out every week.
 
NVNvdSV.jpg
 
why is Gilmore surging? 2.8% is like a 5000% increase in his support.
 
AngryCanadian said:
Trump has to be taken down.
Click to expand...


GOP base is 10000 times more angry at Obama than at Trump.

Trump went up by attacking Obama. Rand attacking the man who is most vocal critic of Obama probably won't help him much and should allow Trump to self-distruct.

If Rand wants to get popular with GOP base, he will need to turn the heat on GOP base's enemy No.1.
 
Last edited:
Propaganda poll!

Besides Trump at the top (useful frontrunner) this poll can be considered the average between the amount TPTB want the candidate and the amount of support that candidate has, weighted toward the plausibility of reporting that number.

For instance, the amount of support Rand has is about 10%, and a strong second choice, while TPTB want him 0%. With so many new polls coming out with Rand at 5%, 2% is is a more plausible report than the desired 0%.

Cruz is wanted by TPTB 100%, whereas his actual support is around 10% - plausible reporting puts him in second place.
 
No way Gilmore is polling ahead of Rand. I do not even believe enough people even know who he is to have any standing in the polls. 368 people is also too small a sample.
 
Also worth mentioning:

People who answer the phone and respond to a poll are a different group of people than those who will vote in beauty pageant non-binding popular voting contests, and much different than the group of people who will attend binding caucuses (particularly in bad weather.)

In short, presidential polling is clickbait and not indicative of results.
 
Why are polls always called propaganda when they show Rand falling lower, but they are good news whenever they show Rand gaining? Even this very same poll a few weeks ago...

There is something wrong with this particular sample though. In this one Rand is doing better with women than men, and is polling at 0.0% among the youngest age demographic, which definitely isn't consistent with any other polling.
 
Crashland said:
Why are polls always called propaganda when they show Rand falling lower, but they are good news whenever they show Rand gaining? Even this very same poll a few weeks ago...

There is something wrong with this particular sample though. In this one Rand is doing better with women than men, and is polling at 0.0% among the youngest age demographic, which definitely isn't consistent with any other polling.
Click to expand...

There is your answer below.

The Gold Standard said:
Who the fuck is Gilmore?
Click to expand...
 
kahless said:
No way Gilmore is polling ahead of Rand. I do not even believe enough people even know who he is to have any standing in the polls. 368 people is also too small a sample.
Click to expand...

It's likely the media's punishment for Rand pulling ahead of Jeb in the Iowa poll.
 
Trump as dropped to 31%, Carson at 15%

Cruz is tied with Rubio at 8%, Bush is at 7%.
 
And Rand (4.3%) has surged back to above Gilmore (0.2%). Bush 10.7%???

Businessman Donald Trump 36.0%
Surgeon and author Ben Carson 17.0%
Former Fla. Gov. Jeb Bush 10.7%
Tex. Sen. Ted Cruz 10.7%
Fla. Sen. Marco Rubio 6.7%
Wouldn’t vote 5.4%
Ken. Sen. Rand Paul 4.3%
Former Ark. Gov. Mike Huckabee 2.1%
NJ Gov. Chris Christie 2.1%
Former Sen. candidate and business executive Carly Fiorina 1.9%
Former Penn. Sen. Rick Santorum 1.5%
Ohio Gov. John Kasich 1.1%
Former Va. Gov. Jim Gilmore 0.2%
 
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