Ok, heres my resoning:
The MSM has figures they can't release until the polls close. They take exit polls that can be fairly accurate, but don't release them until the polls close so they don't influence the election.
After a full week of hyping how important the NH primary is, and who is going to get the huge bounce going in to Super Tuesday, all of a sudden EVERY media outlet (literally within the last couple hours) is talking about nothing except how NH doesn't reflect the true voting pattern of America. They are all of a sudden stressing how many independents they have, and how no other state will vote like NH.
Combine that with the HUGE 70% turnout, and my senses are telling Paul is going to come in BIG. With a capital B. And they know it. The blackouts didn't work, the smearing didn't work. They are trying to cover their asses now, and marginalize the good Doctor before the news comes out.
Now I believe that a lot of the new voter turnout and and independents are going to benifit Obama, but on our side of the isle Dr. Paul is going to recieve some "pissed offf independent lovin" himself.
Thoughts?
Edited to add the text of a post I made in reply, that is burried here:
I'm trying to not get my hopes up also. I'm not necessarially predicting Paul is going to come in first or second, theres a HUGE marging between second and third right now, I'm suggesting more of a third place finish, but with a lot bigger margine than anyone thought over fourth.
I'll be happy with 4th, estatic with third place, and probably have to change my pants if anything else (after I'm done jumping up and down while cackeling like a mad man.
The MSM has figures they can't release until the polls close. They take exit polls that can be fairly accurate, but don't release them until the polls close so they don't influence the election.
After a full week of hyping how important the NH primary is, and who is going to get the huge bounce going in to Super Tuesday, all of a sudden EVERY media outlet (literally within the last couple hours) is talking about nothing except how NH doesn't reflect the true voting pattern of America. They are all of a sudden stressing how many independents they have, and how no other state will vote like NH.
Combine that with the HUGE 70% turnout, and my senses are telling Paul is going to come in BIG. With a capital B. And they know it. The blackouts didn't work, the smearing didn't work. They are trying to cover their asses now, and marginalize the good Doctor before the news comes out.
Now I believe that a lot of the new voter turnout and and independents are going to benifit Obama, but on our side of the isle Dr. Paul is going to recieve some "pissed offf independent lovin" himself.
Thoughts?
Edited to add the text of a post I made in reply, that is burried here:
I'm trying to not get my hopes up also. I'm not necessarially predicting Paul is going to come in first or second, theres a HUGE marging between second and third right now, I'm suggesting more of a third place finish, but with a lot bigger margine than anyone thought over fourth.
I'll be happy with 4th, estatic with third place, and probably have to change my pants if anything else (after I'm done jumping up and down while cackeling like a mad man.
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However, 10% = 1 out of 10 people... that's a lot of people in my book.
