Rasmussen - Medina up another 4 pts. 16%!

[AmericasLastHope]

I'm surprised Nolan Ryan endorsed Kay. I thought he was a Ron Paul guy

Yep.

NY TIMES: "Paul had only two prominent backers: the tax activist Steve Forbes and the pitcher Nolan Ryan, Paul’s constituent and old friend, who cut a number of ads for him."

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/07/22/m...ner=permalink&exprod=permalink&pagewanted=all

 

[devil21]

This is BS I have trouble believing that Perry is at 44% when everyone in Texas I have talked to say "anyone but perry"!
Also let me share a little story a friend just told me.
A local sports station "The Fan" was talking about Nolan Ryans endorsement of Kay Bailout just now. Saying over and over again how there are two candidates running for the R Nom. So my friend calls in and gets on the air. The second he mentions that there are 3 candidates he is hung up on. In the delay as he listened they had the rest of his call but cut him off before he started his thing about Medina.

I think the media is going to do a replay of the tactic they used against RP right before the primaries. Just act as if he doesn't exist. No name mention, no polling numbers, no interviews or editorials, etc. Just flat out ignore and hope the majority of voters don't have a clue who she is until the primary. What your friend describes is EXACTLY the sort of stuff talk radio across the country was doing to Ron Paul in 2008.

 

[thasre]

I think the media is going to do a replay of the tactic they used against RP right before the primaries. Just act as if he doesn't exist. No name mention, no polling numbers, no interviews or editorials, etc. Just flat out ignore and hope the majority of voters don't have a clue who she is until the primary. What your friend describes is EXACTLY the sort of stuff talk radio across the country was doing to Ron Paul in 2008.

I disagree. In the conservative media there are some of these types, but I actually think many of the news outlets are giving increasingly more and fairer coverage of Medina, in part because I think many of them genuinely kind of like her spunkiness, and in part because I think they know she forces a run-off, which is good for business.

 

[ForLiberty-RonPaul]

I disagree. In the conservative media there are some of these types, but I actually think many of the news outlets are giving increasingly more and fairer coverage of Medina, in part because I think many of them genuinely kind of like her spunkiness, and in part because I think they know she forces a run-off, which is good for business.

That, and local news stations typically give more air time to all candidates. It was the national news that screwed us so badly in '08. I was quite honestly surprised with the moderators at the Belo debate. They were very tough on all the candidates. It was actually fair. Unlike Dr. Paul's appearances which were so obviously stacked against him.

 

[devil21]

I disagree. In the conservative media there are some of these types, but I actually think many of the news outlets are giving increasingly more and fairer coverage of Medina, in part because I think many of them genuinely kind of like her spunkiness, and in part because I think they know she forces a run-off, which is good for business.

You are entitled to your opinion and I am not from Texas so you may have a better feel than I do for the local politics. However, there's still 4 weeks left until the primary and if my prediction is true, expect the media blackout to start in another couple weeks, not right now. Always remember that Medina is not part of the "club" so expecting a fair shake that would threaten the "club" is not likely to happen. Guess we'll see but I'm not confident she'll get a fair shake at the point when the average person (people who didn't watch the debates) starts tuning in to the governor's race.

 

[Romulus]

That, and local news stations typically give more air time to all candidates. It was the national news that screwed us so badly in '08. I was quite honestly surprised with the moderators at the Belo debate. They were very tough on all the candidates. It was actually fair. Unlike Dr. Paul's appearances which were so obviously stacked against him.

I agree.. they did equally hard on all of them.

 

[Ron_Paul_Knows]

I was hoping to be a little closer to 20% but this is still good news. The storyline in all the media coverage I have seen regarding this poll is that Medina is surging and Kay is faltering; pretty much all of the coverage has been positive towards Debra. Fox 4 DFW, who has consistently given Medina very good coverage, had a particularly positive segment about the new poll numbers:

[URL="http://www.myfoxdfw.com/dpp/news/politics/medina-gaining-on-hutchison-in-polls"][URL="http://www.myfoxdfw.com/dpp/news/politics/medina-gaining-on-hutchison-in-polls"][URL="http://www.myfoxdfw.com/dpp/news/politics/medina-gaining-on-hutchison-in-polls"][URL="http://www.myfoxdfw.com/dpp/news/politics/medina-gaining-on-hutchison-in-polls"][URL="http://www.myfoxdfw.com/dpp/news/politics/medina-gaining-on-hutchison-in-polls"][URL]http://www.myfoxdfw.com/dpp/news/politics/medina-gaining-on-hutchison-in-polls[/URL][/URL][/URL][/URL][/URL][/URL]

The poll has generated a lot more press for her and the media is starting to take her more seriously. She is now viewed as a more legitimate candidate and a threat to overtake Kay Bailey to make the run-off. Now that her name is going to be in the news more a lot more people will be learning about her and she will begin to pick up momentum hopefully. Meanwhile, after being energized by Debra's first two debate performances that just concluded, her supporters are just starting to come out in full force doing whatever they can to spread word of her candidacy and help get her elected.

 

[undergroundrr]

Judging by this and his report after the debate, it's pretty obvious that Fox 4 reporter Shaun Rabb LOVES Debra.

 

[nayjevin]

So the lesson is, the debate video works? Spread it round the state!

 

[Ron_Paul_Knows]

Judging by this and his report after the debate, it's pretty obvious that Fox 4 reporter Shaun Rabb LOVES Debra.

Yeah, Shaun Rabb is awesome. He also gave some nice coverage to the moneybomb the day before it happened:
[URL="http://www.myfoxdfw.com/dpp/news/politics/medina-begins-online-fundraising-campaign"][URL="http://www.myfoxdfw.com/dpp/news/politics/medina-begins-online-fundraising-campaign"][URL="http://www.myfoxdfw.com/dpp/news/politics/medina-begins-online-fundraising-campaign"][URL="http://www.myfoxdfw.com/dpp/news/politics/medina-begins-online-fundraising-campaign"][URL="http://www.myfoxdfw.com/dpp/news/politics/medina-begins-online-fundraising-campaign"][url]http://www.myfoxdfw.com/dpp/news/politics/medina-begins-online-fundraising-campaign[/URL][/URL][/URL][/URL][/URL][/URL]

Here is the video of Rabb after the Belo debate if anyone hasn't seen it. That is the best one.
[URL="http://www.myfoxdfw.com/dpp/news/politics/final-gop-candidate-debate-in-dallas"][url]http://www.myfoxdfw.com/dpp/news/politics/final-gop-candidate-debate-in-dallas[/URL][/URL]

 

[Ron_Paul_Knows]

NBC affiliate KXAN 36 in Austin had a news segment about the recent poll numbers that was particularly favorable to Debra. Most of the segment is about Medina and they say that Debra could make the run-off and if so Perry's job could be in jeopardy.

[URL="http://www.kxan.com/dpp/news/politics/TX-republican-primary-heating-up"][URL="http://www.kxan.com/dpp/news/politics/TX-republican-primary-heating-up"][url]http://www.kxan.com/dpp/news/politics/TX-republican-primary-heating-up[/URL][/URL][/URL]

 

[Ron_Paul_Knows]

One thing to keep in mind with this race is that it is an open primary, which means that Democrats and independents are also allowed to vote for the Republican nominee. So the outcome of this race is very unpredictable and the poll numbers might not even come close to representing the actual results. This news segment recently aired on News 8 Austin underscores that point.

Video: [URL="http://www.news8austin.com/shared/video/video_pop.asp?destlist=76586"][URL="http://www.news8austin.com/shared/video/video_pop.asp?destlist=76586"][URL="http://www.news8austin.com/shared/video/video_pop.asp?destlist=76586"][URL]http://www.news8austin.com/shared/video/video_pop.asp?destlist=76586[/URL][/URL][/URL][/URL]
Article: [URL="http://www.news8austin.com/content/top_stories/default.asp?ArID=265796"][URL="http://www.news8austin.com/content/top_stories/default.asp?ArID=265796"][URL="http://www.news8austin.com/content/top_stories/default.asp?ArID=265796"][URL]http://www.news8austin.com/content/top_stories/default.asp?ArID=265796[/URL][/URL]

"If it is a traditional Republican primary, 600,000 to 700,000, the odds favor Governor Perry," Kronberg said. "If we have a bunch of November Republicans show up, or we have Democrats crossover or independents come in and we get to a million voters, all these polls may well be for not."

The KXAN article I posted above also makes the same point:

Kronberg said that excitement could actually make these polls virtually worthless. Since pollsters contact people who have previously voted in a Republican primary, the thousands who are new participants haven't been taken into account.

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